返回比赛 星期日, 四月 26, 2026

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets — 四月 26, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

Citi Field, Flushing
57°F, Clear
8 mph, In From RF
W Chase Dollander L Kodai Senga SV Zach Agnos

记分板

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Rockies 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 0
Mets 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1

AI预测神经网络预测

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rockies 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 5
Mets 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Rockies favored
This matchup features two struggling clubs in vastly different situations. The Mets enter with baseball's worst record at 9-17, having lost 12 straight before splitting their last two games. Francisco Lindor's calf injury removes their most reliable offensive contributor (.341 OBP), though Juan Soto's return from the IL provides a significant boost. Kodai Senga has been a disaster through two starts with an 8.83 ERA, though his 12.34 K/9 suggests some upside if he can harness his command. The Rockies, while hardly impressive at 11-16, show more life with a 5-5 record in their last ten games. Jose Quintana's 6.23 ERA indicates his own struggles, but he's historically been more reliable than his current numbers suggest. The veteran lefty's changeup-heavy approach could neutralize some of the Mets' right-handed hitting, particularly with the cold, rainy conditions potentially affecting grip and ball flight. Hunter Goodman leads Colorado's offense with 6 home runs, while TJ Rumfield provides steady contact at .264. The weather becomes a significant factor here - 44-degree temperatures and rain will favor pitchers and likely suppress offensive production. Both bullpens have been overworked due to starter struggles, creating potential late-game volatility. The Rockies' superior recent form and momentum from yesterday's victory give them a slight edge in what should be a competitive, weather-affected contest.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both struggling starters allow early damage
Middle (4-6) 4R Quintana settles while Senga continues to struggle
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens hold serve with some difficulty

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Juan Soto's return from IL
Senga's strikeout ability (12.34 K/9)
Home field advantage at Citi Field
Worst record in baseball (9-17)
Missing Francisco Lindor
Rotation ERA struggles (4.24)

Rockies

Better road record than Mets' home record
Hunter Goodman's power (6 HR)
Momentum from yesterday's win
Poor road record (4-10)
Quintana's 6.23 ERA
Missing Kris Bryant's veteran presence

Risk Factors

Cold, rainy weather affecting both offenses
Both teams' bullpen usage from early starter exits

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Jose Quintana batter Elite hitter returning from IL vs struggling lefty
Hunter Goodman vs Kodai Senga batter Power hitter vs pitcher with 8.83 ERA
TJ Rumfield vs Kodai Senga batter Team's best hitter (.264) vs struggling starter

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rockies 65%
Strikeouts 14 12-16
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The game begins under gray skies with temperatures barely above 40 degrees. Jose Quintana immediately faces adversity as Juan Soto, fresh off the IL, works a leadoff walk in the first inning. However, Quintana escapes with minimal damage. In the bottom of the first, Hunter Goodman jumps on a hanging splitter from Kodai Senga, driving it over the left field wall for a solo home run that gives Colorado an early 1-0 lead. The second inning sees the Mets respond as Brett Baty doubles down the right field line and scores on a Luis Torrens single, knotting the game at 1-1. The third inning becomes pivotal as Senga's command issues resurface. TJ Rumfield leads off with a single, and after a sacrifice bunt, Ezequiel Tovar delivers a clutch two-RBI double to put the Rockies ahead 3-1. The cold conditions clearly affect both pitchers' grips, leading to multiple wild pitches and walks. In the fifth, the Mets mount their biggest rally when Soto doubles and Ronny Mauricio, making his first start since Lindor's injury, delivers a two-run single to tie the game at 3-3. Colorado responds immediately in their half of the fifth as Goodman adds an RBI single for a 4-3 lead. The Mets tie it again in the seventh on a Tyrone Taylor sacrifice fly, but the Rockies get the decisive run in the eighth when a combination of walks and a Brett Sullivan single pushes across what proves to be the winning run in a 5-4 victory.
My 72% confidence reflects the clear talent disparity favoring Colorado despite both teams' struggles. The Rockies have better recent form and momentum, while the Mets are dealing with significant injuries to key players like Lindor and battling historically poor performance.
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Colorado Rockies — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Edouard Julien
2B .284110.369.392
Hunter Goodman
C .263711.340.547
Mickey Moniak
LF .316815.353.684
Tyler Freeman
RF .27107.352.292
TJ Rumfield
1B .250316.327.400
Kyle Karros
3B .18813.333.263
Troy Johnston
DH .315216.371.449
Ezequiel Tovar
SS .20016.236.305
Brenton Doyle
CF .20812.274.273

New York Mets — 阵容

球员位置AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Bo Bichette
3B .233112.268.302
Juan Soto
DH .30415.418.413
Francisco Alvarez
C .24047.333.427
Brett Baty
1B .220112.250.329
MJ Melendez
LF .27312.333.545
Marcus Semien
2B .22018.275.300
Carson Benge
RF .17924.247.282
Ronny Mauricio
SS .28601.286.286
Tyrone Taylor
CF .21427.233.381

得分记录

2
Troy Johnston singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Tyler Freeman scores. Kyle Karros to 2nd.
1-0
3
Hunter Goodman homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Edouard Julien scores.
3-0

Colorado Rockies — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Edouard Julien2B
4110100.284.761
Hunter GoodmanC
4112021.263.887
Mickey MoniakLF
3010110.3161.037
Tyler FreemanRF
3100000.271.644
TJ Rumfield1B
3000100.250.727
Kyle Karros3B
2000210.188.596
Troy JohnstonDH
3011110.315.820
Ezequiel TovarSS
4000020.200.541
Brenton DoyleCF
4000020.208.547
总计30343691
BATTING
HR: Goodman (7, 3rd inning off Senga, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Goodman 4; Johnston, T; Julien; Moniak.
RBI: Goodman 2 (11); Johnston, T (16).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Doyle, B; Tovar 2.
Team RISP: 1-for-5.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
PO: Moniak (1st base by Weaver).
FIELDING
PB: Goodman (2).
DP: (Rumfield).

New York Mets — 打击

球员ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Bo Bichette3B
4000010.233.570
Juan SotoDH
2010210.304.831
Francisco AlvarezC
4000020.240.760
Brett Baty1B
3000100.220.579
MJ MelendezLF
4010010.273.878
Marcus Semien2B
4010010.220.575
Carson BengeRF
4020000.179.529
Ronny MauricioSS
3010010.286.572
Tyrone TaylorCF
3000000.214.614
总计31060370
BATTING
2B: Melendez, M (3, Agnos).
TB: Benge 2; Mauricio; Melendez, M 2; Semien; Soto, J.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Benge; Melendez, M; Bichette.
Team RISP: 0-for-6.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
CS: Semien (1, 2nd base by Dollander/Goodman).
FIELDING
E: Baty (2, throw).
Pickoffs: Weaver (Moniak at 1st base).

Colorado Rockies — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Chase Dollander(W, 3-2)
7.0500270105-632.25
Seth Halvorsen(H, 2)
1.000010015-90.00
Zach Agnos(S, 2)
1.010000011-85.71

New York Mets — 投球

投手IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kodai Senga(L, 0-4)
2.233331150-309.00
Carl Edwards Jr.
3.100035049-290.00
Luke Weaver
1.01000009-74.91
Brooks Raley
1.000001011-91.86
Devin Williams
1.000002014-109.00

比赛信息

裁判: Home Plate: Louie Krupa; First Base: Marvin Hudson; Second Base: Tyler Jones; Third Base: Ryan Blakney
球场: Citi Field, Flushing
天气: 57°F, Clear
风: 8 mph, In From RF

Colorado Rockies — 新闻

New York Mets — 新闻

赛季对比

Rockies
STAT
Mets
25-42 战绩 29-37
37.3% Win % 43.9%
.373 PCT .439
291 得分 265
386 失分 277
67 比赛场次 66
W1 连胜/负 L1
5-5 最近10场 6-4
13-19 主场战绩 15-16
12-23 客场战绩 14-21

交手记录

3
最近 5 次交手
2
五月 7
Mets 2 - 6 Rockies
五月 6
Mets 10 - 5 Rockies
五月 4
Mets 4 - 2 Rockies
四月 26
Rockies 3 - 1 Mets
四月 24
Rockies 4 - 3 Mets

Rockies 近期

六月 9 vs Cubs 3-7 W
六月 7 vs Brewers 12-4 L
六月 6 vs Brewers 7-1 L
六月 5 vs Brewers 9-7 L
六月 3 @ Angels 4-11 L

Mets 近期

六月 9 vs Cardinals 7-0 L
六月 7 @ Padres 7-3 W
六月 6 @ Padres 2-3 L
六月 5 @ Padres 5-0 W
六月 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W

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