New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners — 四月 1, 2026 | AI 预测与数据

Max Fried’s mix of late life on the four-seamer and the unhittable curve should neutralize Seattle’s left-handed thunder early. He’s coming off 6⅓ shutout innings and owns a WHIP barely over 1.0 dating back to last season, so a quick first-inning strike from the Yankees’ offense—Judge’s opposite-field solo shot—sets the tone. Logan Gilbert will compete, but the Yankees’ left-handed trio of Bellinger, Grisham and Jazz Chisholm lengthens the order in a way Seattle did not see in Tuesday’s 2-1 game. Gilbert has been homer-prone to lefties (20 long balls last year); a third-inning RBI double by Bellinger and a sixth-inning Stanton laser give New York a 3-2 edge heading into the late frames. Seattle’s lineup remains too top-heavy. Julio Rodríguez’s timing is still off and Fried can expand the zone with the slider, so the Mariners’ rallies rely on red-hot Brendan Donovan and Randy Arozarena. They scratch single tallies in the second and fifth, but Fried strands traffic twice and hands a 3-2 lead to a rested bullpen. From there, New York’s relief depth—Jake Bird for the seventh, Camilo Doval in the eighth, Bednar in the ninth—outclasses a Mariners pen that has already burned Muñoz and Speier heavily this week. A two-run eighth, fueled by a Judge walk and Stanton’s ringing two-bagger off Eduard Bazardo, gives the Yankees breathing room. Seattle plates one in the eighth on a Dominic Canzone sac fly, but Bednar slams the door. Yankees 6, Mariners 3.