Quay lại trận đấu Thứ hai, Tháng 5 25, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles — Tháng 5 25, 2026 | Dự đoán AI & Thống kê

Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
69°F, Rain
2 mph, Out To LF
W Dietrich Enns L Jesse Scholtens

Bảng tỷ số

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 R H E
Rays 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 2 7 12 4
Orioles 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 4 9 12 1

DỰ ĐOÁN AIDự báo mạng thần kinh

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rays 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 2 0 6
Orioles 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Rays favored
This matchup presents a clear contrast between Tampa Bay's AL East-leading form and Baltimore's struggles against quality pitching. Shane McClanahan enters with a sparkling 2.82 ERA and has been the Rays' most reliable starter, while Kyle Bradish carries concerning peripherals including a 1.51 WHIP and elevated walk rate. The Orioles' recent three-game sweep at Tampa Bay's hands looms large, as Baltimore managed just 10 total runs across those contests while surrendering 25. McClanahan's four-pitch mix, anchored by a 95+ mph fastball and devastating changeup, should neutralize Baltimore's power threats like Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso. The weather presents an additional wrinkle, as rain conditions at Camden Yards could favor Tampa Bay's superior pitching depth if the game becomes a bullpen battle. Baltimore's rotation has been decimated by injuries to Dean Kremer, Zach Eflin, and others, putting additional pressure on their relievers. The Rays' +40 run differential speaks to their balanced approach, while Baltimore's -57 mark reflects their struggles in close games. Yandy Díaz's .311 average leads a Tampa Bay offense that has shown remarkable consistency, particularly against right-handed pitching like Bradish offers. The Orioles' recent offensive uptick against Detroit provides some hope, but facing McClanahan represents a significant step up in competition. Tampa Bay's recent loss to the Yankees shouldn't overshadow their 7-3 record in their last ten games, and their road performance (15-11) remains solid for a team built on pitching and situational hitting.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both starters showing control issues early, Rays capitalize first
Middle (4-6) 4R Bradish settles but McClanahan maintains edge through 6th
Late (7-9) 3R Orioles bullpen struggles, Rays add insurance runs in 8th

Matchup Analysis

Orioles

Home field advantage at Camden Yards
Gunnar Henderson's power potential
Improved recent offensive showing
Kyle Bradish's elevated ERA and WHIP
Depleted pitching staff with multiple IL arms
Poor record against Tampa Bay this season

Rays

Shane McClanahan's dominant 2.82 ERA
AL East leading record and run differential
Strong recent head-to-head dominance
Road record slightly weaker than home
Coming off loss to Yankees
Missing some outfield depth with injuries

Risk Factors

Rain potential could affect game flow
Bradish's recent high pitch counts

Key Matchups

Gunnar Henderson vs Shane McClanahan pitcher McClanahan's changeup neutralizes power hitters
Yandy Díaz vs Kyle Bradish batter Díaz's .311 average vs Bradish's control issues
Junior Caminero vs Kyle Bradish batter 13 home runs against struggling right-handed pitching

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rays 68%
Strikeouts 16 14-18
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

The game begins with Shane McClanahan immediately establishing his presence, working around a Gunnar Henderson leadoff single with three consecutive strikeouts to escape the first unscathed. Kyle Bradish struggles from the outset as Yandy Díaz works a leadoff walk and Junior Caminero follows with a two-run double down the left field line, giving Tampa Bay an early 2-0 advantage. Baltimore responds in the second when Taylor Ward connects on a solo home run to right field, cutting the deficit to 2-1. The fourth inning proves pivotal as Bradish's command issues resurface - he walks the bases loaded with one out before Pete Alonso clears them with a bases-clearing double, putting Baltimore ahead 4-2. However, McClanahan's dominance continues as he retires 12 of the next 13 batters through the seventh inning, allowing Tampa Bay's offense to chip away. The Rays tie it in the fifth on a Ryan Vilade RBI single, then take the lead for good in the eighth when their bullpen holds while Baltimore's falters. With two outs and runners on second and third, Nick Fortes delivers a clutch two-run single against Orioles reliever Danny Coulombe, extending Tampa Bay's lead to 6-4. McClanahan exits after seven strong innings, having allowed four runs while striking out nine. The Rays add an insurance run in the ninth on a sacrifice fly before closing out a 6-5 victory that extends Baltimore's frustrations against their division rivals.
The 72% confidence reflects Tampa Bay's clear pitching advantage with McClanahan versus Bradish, their recent dominance in head-to-head matchups, and their superior overall record. However, baseball's inherent unpredictability and Baltimore's home field advantage prevent higher confidence.
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Tampa Bay Rays — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson
LF .291012.322.347
Junior Caminero
3B .2651327.356.490
Jonathan Aranda
1B .268940.369.464
Oliver Dunn
DH .00000.500.000
Richie Palacios
2B .269115.378.333
Cedric Mullins
CF .194315.263.284
Victor Mesa Jr.
RF .20012.200.800
Nick Fortes
C .256110.293.328
Taylor Walls
SS .202014.303.282

Baltimore Orioles — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Taylor Ward
LF .254215.403.363
Gunnar Henderson
DH .2211126.275.420
Adley Rutschman
C .254726.325.478
Pete Alonso
1B .2351033.319.441
Jeremiah Jackson
2B .255626.270.414
Leody Taveras
CF .264220.370.392
Blaze Alexander
SS .24507.303.300
Jackson Holliday
3B .13313.263.333
Colton Cowser
RF .200314.287.316

Lượt ghi điểm

6
Jonathan Aranda homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-0
7
Blaze Alexander singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Leody Taveras scores.
1-1
7
Taylor Ward singles on a line drive to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Blaze Alexander scores. Taylor Ward to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Victor Mesa Jr.
1-2
8
Richie Palacios singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Colton Cowser. Oliver Dunn scores.
2-2
11
Victor Mesa Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Cedric Mullins scores.
4-2
11
Pete Alonso singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Adley Rutschman scores. Pete Alonso to 2nd. Pete Alonso advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Chandler Simpson.
4-3
11
Jeremiah Jackson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Pete Alonso scores. Jeremiah Jackson to 2nd.
4-4
12
Jonathan Aranda out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Taylor Ward. Chandler Simpson scores.
5-4
12
Orioles challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Orioles challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Gunnar Henderson reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Colton Cowser scores.
5-5
13
Cedric Mullins singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Oliver Dunn scores. Richie Palacios to 2nd.
6-5
13
Nick Fortes out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Richie Palacios scores.
7-5
13
Leody Taveras doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Jeremiah Jackson scores.
7-6
13
Jackson Holliday out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Leody Taveras scores. Blaze Alexander to 2nd.
7-7
13
Colton Cowser homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Blaze Alexander scores.
7-9

Tampa Bay Rays — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Chandler SimpsonLF
6130010.291.669
Junior Caminero3B
6010020.265.846
Jonathan Aranda1B
4122111.268.833
Oliver DunnDH
1200110.000.500
Richie Palacios2B
6121010.269.711
Cedric MullinsCF
4111200.194.547
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
5112011.2001.000
Nick FortesC
3001000.256.621
Taylor WallsSS
6010030.202.585
Tổng4771274102
BATTING
2B: Aranda (9, Bradish); Simpson (3, Wolfram); Díaz, Y (9, Nunez).
HR: Aranda (9, 6th inning off Bradish, 0 on, 0 out); Mesa Jr. (1, 11th inning off Wells, T, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Aranda 6; Caminero; Díaz, Y 2; Mesa Jr. 4; Mullins; Palacios, R 2; Simpson 4; Walls.
RBI: Aranda 2 (40); Fortes (10); Mesa Jr. 2 (2); Mullins (15); Palacios, R (15).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Díaz, Y; Caminero 2; Walls; Aranda; Mullins 2; Mesa Jr.
SAC: Mesa Jr.
SF: Aranda; Fortes.
Team RISP: 4-for-14.
Team LOB: 12.
BASERUNNING
CS: Simpson (8, 2nd base by Garcia, Ri/Rutschman).
FIELDING
E: McClanahan (2, throw); Bigge (1, pickoff); Mesa Jr. (1, throw); Simpson (1, throw).
Pickoffs: McClanahan (Alexander at 1st base); Bigge (Henderson at 2nd base).
DP: (Caminero-Palacios, R-Aranda).
a-Flied out for Feduccia in the 7th.
1-Ran for Díaz, Y in the 8th.

Baltimore Orioles — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Taylor WardLF
5010100.254.766
Gunnar HendersonDH
5001010.221.695
Adley RutschmanC
5100110.254.803
Pete Alonso1B
5131110.235.760
Jeremiah Jackson2B
3111000.255.684
Leody TaverasCF
4221110.264.762
Blaze AlexanderSS
5231100.245.603
Jackson Holliday3B
4001130.133.596
Colton CowserRF
4212011.200.603
Tổng459128691
BATTING
2B: Taveras, L (8, Scholtens).
HR: Cowser (3, 13th inning off Scholtens, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Alexander 3; Alonso 3; Cowser 4; Jackson, J; O'Neill; Taveras, L 3; Ward.
RBI: Alexander (7); Alonso (33); Cowser 2 (14); Henderson (26); Holliday (3); Jackson, J (26); Taveras, L (20).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Henderson; Rutschman; O'Neill; Cowser 2; Basallo; Jackson, J.
SAC: Taveras, L.
SF: Holliday.
GIDP: Jackson, J.
Team RISP: 6-for-18.
Team LOB: 12.
BASERUNNING
SB: Taveras, L (5, 2nd base off Bigge/Fortes).
CS: Alexander (2, 2nd base by McClanahan/Feduccia); Henderson (3, 3rd base by Bigge/Feduccia).
PO: Alexander (1st base by McClanahan); Henderson (2nd base by Bigge).
FIELDING
E: Taveras, L (2, fielding).
a-Grounded out for Wilson, W in the 6th.
b-Struck out for O'Neill in the 7th.

Tampa Bay Rays — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Shane McClanahan
5.130023084-522.52
Hunter Bigge(BS, 1)
0.212120017-75.89
Casey Legumina
2.020002032-233.32
Bryan Baker
1.000001012-72.42
Ian Seymour
2.022022030-204.50
Jesse Scholtens(L, 5-3)(BS, 1)
1.145301130-213.82

Baltimore Orioles — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kyle Bradish
6.051123192-593.86
Grant Wolfram
0.210001011-74.61
Yennier Cano
0.10000106-31.40
Anthony Nunez(BS, 3)
1.021100018-125.11
Rico Garcia
2.010021032-170.77
Tyler Wells
2.013103129-193.20
Dietrich Enns(W, 3-0)
1.022101012-103.94

Thông tin trận đấu

Trọng tài: Home Plate: Ryan Additon; First Base: Ryan Wills; Second Base: Lance Barksdale; Third Base: Will Little
Sân vận động: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Thời tiết: 69°F, Rain
Gió: 2 mph, Out To LF

Tampa Bay Rays — Tin tức

Baltimore Orioles — Tin tức

So sánh mùa giải

Rays
STAT
Orioles
36-22 Thành tích 29-32
62.1% Win % 47.5%
.621 PCT .475
271 Điểm ghi được 279
261 Điểm để thua 315
58 Trận đã đấu 61
L2 Chuỗi W3
3-7 10 trận gần nhất 7-3
21-8 Thành tích sân nhà 19-15
15-14 Thành tích sân khách 10-17

Đối đầu

3
Gần nhất 5 lần gặp
2
Tháng 5 27
Rays 2 - 11 Orioles
Tháng 5 26
Rays 1 - 6 Orioles
Tháng 5 20
Orioles 3 - 5 Rays
Tháng 5 19
Orioles 1 - 4 Rays
Tháng 5 18
Orioles 6 - 16 Rays

Rays Gần đây

Tháng 6 3 vs Tigers 7-2 L
Tháng 6 2 vs Tigers 8-0 L
Tháng 6 1 vs Tigers 10-9 L
Tháng 5 31 vs Angels 2-5 W
Tháng 5 30 vs Angels 14-3 L

Orioles Gần đây

Tháng 6 2 @ Red Sox 4-2 W
Tháng 5 31 vs Blue Jays 5-9 W
Tháng 5 30 vs Blue Jays 5-6 W
Tháng 5 29 vs Blue Jays 6-5 L
Tháng 5 28 vs Blue Jays 2-1 L

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