Quay lại trận đấu Thứ hai, Tháng 5 25, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers — Tháng 5 25, 2026 | Dự đoán AI & Thống kê

American Family Field, Milwaukee
80°F, Partly Cloudy
8 mph, In From RF
W Jacob Misiorowski L Matthew Liberatore

Bảng tỷ số

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cardinals 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1
Brewers 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 - 5 11 0

DỰ ĐOÁN AIDự báo mạng thần kinh

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cardinals 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Brewers 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 6
Confidence: 72% Brewers favored
This matchup features a fascinating contrast in pitching styles and team trajectories. Jacob Misiorowski brings elite velocity averaging 99.5 mph on his fastball with devastating slider secondary, but his recent start patterns show he's still learning pitch efficiency at the major league level. The young right-hander's 101.5-103.6 mph max velocities are eye-popping, yet managing his pitch counts remains crucial for Milwaukee's success. Matthew Liberatore presents a different challenge entirely - his 4.70 ERA and 1.55 WHIP indicate significant control issues that Milwaukee's patient hitters should exploit. The Cardinals southpaw's diverse six-pitch mix lacks the commanding presence needed against a Brewers lineup featuring hot-hitting Brice Turang (.292) and the consistent William Contreras (.304). The team dynamics heavily favor Milwaukee despite their recent two-game skid against the Dodgers. The Brewers' +67 run differential dwarfs St. Louis's meager +1 mark, and their 30-20 record reflects superior depth and consistency. Jordan Walker remains St. Louis's primary offensive weapon with 15 home runs, but the supporting cast lacks the production needed to consistently challenge quality pitching. The Cardinals' recent bullpen addition of Ryan Fernandez provides some late-game insurance, though their offense must generate early opportunities against Misiorowski before his slider becomes dominant. Weather conditions at American Family Field should favor pitching slightly with overcast skies and moderate southwest winds, but the 84-degree temperature suggests favorable hitting conditions for both sides. Milwaukee's 16-11 home record demonstrates their comfort level in familiar surroundings, while St. Louis's impressive 16-9 road mark keeps them competitive. The key will be whether Liberatore can locate his diverse arsenal effectively - his recent velocity readings around 89 mph show consistency, but his elevated walk rate creates too many free baserunners for a team already struggling to score consistently.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Cardinals strike first against Misiorowski's settling phase
Middle (4-6) 4R Brewers offense capitalizes on Liberatore's control issues
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpens exchange blows in final frames

Matchup Analysis

Brewers

Jacob Misiorowski's elite velocity and swing-and-miss potential
Strong offensive depth with Turang and Contreras hot
Excellent home record (16-11) and run differential (+67)
Coming off two-game losing streak to Dodgers
Multiple key pitchers on IL affecting depth

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's elite power production (15 HR, .302 avg)
Strong road record (16-9)
Recent recall of Ryan Fernandez adds bullpen depth
Matthew Liberatore's control issues (1.55 WHIP, 4.70 ERA)
Offensive inconsistency beyond Walker

Risk Factors

Misiorowski's pitch count management as young starter
Cardinals' road success could surprise

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Jacob Misiorowski batter Walker's power vs rookie's occasional wildness
Brice Turang vs Matthew Liberatore batter Turang's hot streak (.292) vs Liberatore's struggles
William Contreras vs Matthew Liberatore batter Contact hitter vs high-WHIP pitcher favors offense

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cardinals 65%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Jordan Walker steps in for the Cardinals' first at-bat, looking to capitalize on Jacob Misiorowski's early-inning adjustment period. The young Milwaukee starter's 99+ mph fastball command wavers slightly, and Walker connects on a hanging slider for an RBI double, giving St. Louis the early 1-0 advantage. Misiorowski settles quickly though, using his devastating slider to retire the next six Cardinals hitters while generating swings and misses. The Brewers respond in the second when Brice Turang works a patient at-bat against Matthew Liberatore, eventually drawing a walk before William Contreras drives him home with a sharp single to right. Milwaukee's patient approach pays dividends as Liberatore's control issues become apparent - his 1.55 WHIP manifests in multiple deep counts and elevated pitch totals. The fourth inning proves pivotal as the Brewers string together quality at-bats, with Garrett Mitchell and Andrew Vaughn producing RBI hits that chase Liberatore after just 4.1 innings. Misiorowski grows stronger as the game progresses, his slider becoming increasingly unhittable while touching 102 mph with his fastball. The Cardinals manage one more run against Milwaukee's middle relief, but Walker's power threat neutralizes as he faces fresh arms with better command. The Brewers add insurance runs in the eighth inning against St. Louis's overworked bullpen, ultimately securing a 6-3 victory that showcases their superior depth and home-field advantage while ending their brief losing streak.
The 72% confidence reflects Milwaukee's significant advantages in starting pitching velocity and team run differential, balanced against St. Louis's strong road record and Jordan Walker's individual threat. The Brewers' superior offensive depth should capitalize on Liberatore's control issues.
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St. Louis Cardinals — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .239925.359.401
Iván Herrera
DH .262626.387.426
Alec Burleson
1B .288735.359.460
Jordan Walker
RF .2971542.367.585
Nolan Gorman
3B .218625.303.347
Masyn Winn
SS .235118.316.324
Bryan Torres
CF .27312.385.545
Pedro Pagés
C .21649.261.351
José Fermín
LF .22828.308.386

Milwaukee Brewers — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jackson Chourio
LF .27815.321.405
Brice Turang
2B .287730.410.478
William Contreras
C .304431.374.408
Christian Yelich
DH .262415.326.476
Andrew Vaughn
1B .33318.424.510
Luis Rengifo
3B .208014.272.264
Blake Perkins
RF .09507.186.143
Garrett Mitchell
CF .233225.352.353
Joey Ortiz
SS .195111.290.239

Lượt ghi điểm

1
William Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Torres. Jackson Chourio scores.
0-1
1
Christian Yelich homers (4) on a line drive to left center field. William Contreras scores.
0-3
6
Iván Herrera grounds out, third baseman Luis Rengifo to first baseman Andrew Vaughn. Victor Scott II scores. JJ Wetherholt to 2nd.
1-3
6
Garrett Mitchell singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Torres. Andrew Vaughn scores. Luis Rengifo to 2nd.
1-4
7
Andrew Vaughn hits a ground-rule double (6) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Brice Turang scores. Christian Yelich to 3rd.
1-5

St. Louis Cardinals — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
3010110.239.760
Iván HerreraDH
4001030.262.813
Alec Burleson1B
4000010.288.819
Jordan WalkerRF
3000010.297.952
Nolan Gorman3B
3000030.218.650
Masyn WinnSS
3000010.235.640
Bryan TorresCF
3000010.273.930
Pedro PagésC
3010010.216.612
José FermínLF
1000000.228.694
Tổng291211130
BATTING
TB: Pagés, P; Wetherholt.
RBI: Herrera (26).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Burleson.
Team RISP: 0-for-2.
Team LOB: 2.
FIELDING
E: Pagés, P (4, throw).
Outfield assists: Walker, J (Yelich at home).
DP: (Walker, J-Pagés, P).
a-Popped out for Scott II in the 8th.

Milwaukee Brewers — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jackson ChourioLF
3100120.278.726
Brice Turang2B
3100130.287.888
William ContrerasC
3111110.304.782
Christian YelichDH
4122011.262.802
Andrew Vaughn1B
4131010.333.934
Luis Rengifo3B
3020100.208.536
Blake PerkinsRF
4000010.095.329
Garrett MitchellCF
4021010.233.705
Joey OrtizSS
4010020.195.529
Tổng3251154121
BATTING
2B: Vaughn 2 (6, Liberatore, Mautz).
HR: Yelich (4, 1st inning off Liberatore, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Contreras, Wm; Mitchell 2; Ortiz, J; Rengifo 2; Vaughn 5; Yelich 5.
RBI: Contreras, Wm (31); Mitchell (25); Vaughn (8); Yelich 2 (15).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mitchell; Chourio, J 2; Yelich.
Team RISP: 4-for-11.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Chourio, J 2 (5, 2nd base off Liberatore/Pagés, P, 2nd base off Liberatore/Pagés, P).
CS: Rengifo (1, 2nd base by Liberatore/Pagés, P); Mitchell (4, 2nd base by Liberatore/Pagés, P).

St. Louis Cardinals — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Matthew Liberatore(L, 2-3)
5.07332101101-664.76
Brycen Mautz
3.042222059-336.00

Milwaukee Brewers — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jacob Misiorowski(W, 5-2)
7.0211112096-711.83
Aaron Ashby
2.000001021-132.18

Thông tin trận đấu

Trọng tài: Home Plate: Marvin Hudson; First Base: Nick Mahrley; Second Base: Tripp Gibson; Third Base: Tyler Jones
Sân vận động: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Thời tiết: 80°F, Partly Cloudy
Gió: 8 mph, In From RF

St. Louis Cardinals — Tin tức

Milwaukee Brewers — Tin tức

So sánh mùa giải

Cardinals
STAT
Brewers
31-28 Thành tích 37-21
52.5% Win % 63.8%
.525 PCT .638
252 Điểm ghi được 292
266 Điểm để thua 199
59 Trận đã đấu 58
L2 Chuỗi W3
3-7 10 trận gần nhất 7-3
15-16 Thành tích sân nhà 21-11
16-12 Thành tích sân khách 16-10

Đối đầu

1
Gần nhất 4 lần gặp
3
Tháng 5 27
Cardinals 1 - 2 Brewers
Tháng 5 26
Cardinals 0 - 6 Brewers
Tháng 5 6
Brewers 6 - 2 Cardinals
Tháng 5 4
Brewers 3 - 6 Cardinals

Cardinals Gần đây

Tháng 6 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
Tháng 6 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
Tháng 5 31 vs Cubs 1-5 W
Tháng 5 30 vs Cubs 6-1 L
Tháng 5 29 vs Cubs 5-6 W

Brewers Gần đây

Tháng 6 2 vs Giants 3-8 W
Tháng 6 1 vs Giants 2-16 W
Tháng 5 31 @ Astros 2-0 W
Tháng 5 30 @ Astros 2-9 L
Tháng 5 29 @ Astros 5-4 W

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