Quay lại trận đấu Thứ bảy, Tháng 4 25, 2026

Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants — Tháng 4 25, 2026 | Dự đoán AI & Thống kê

Oracle Park, San Francisco
56°F, Overcast
10 mph, Out To CF
W Matt Gage L Eury Pérez

Bảng tỷ số

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Marlins 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 6 0
Giants 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 2 - 6 11 1

DỰ ĐOÁN AIDự báo mạng thần kinh

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Marlins 1 0 2 0 1 1 0 1 0 6
Giants 0 1 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 5
Confidence: 68% Marlins favored
This matchup features two pitchers heading in opposite directions. Robbie Ray has been the Giants' most reliable starter with a 2.86 ERA and excellent strikeout rate (9.85 K/9), though his 2-3 record reflects San Francisco's offensive struggles. The 32-year-old lefty's slider remains his money pitch, comprising 33.7% of his arsenal and generating swings and misses against both righties and lefties. However, Ray's recent velocity readings show slight decline, with his average fastball sitting around 87-88 mph compared to his peak years. Eury Pérez brings raw talent but concerning control issues to Oracle Park. The 22-year-old's triple-digit fastball (averaging 98 mph) creates immediate intrigue, but his 4.15 BB/9 and 1.35 WHIP suggest he's still learning to harness his stuff. His recent starts show inconsistent command, particularly with his breaking balls, which could be exploited by a patient Giants lineup. The cool, overcast conditions and westerly winds at Oracle Park may help both pitchers keep balls in the yard, but Pérez's tendency to elevate fastballs remains problematic. Miami enters with significant momentum after dismantling these same Giants 9-4 yesterday, while San Francisco has lost four of six and struggles to generate consistent offense. Xavier Edwards (.330 AVG) and Otto Lopez (.315 AVG) have emerged as legitimate top-of-order threats, providing the Marlins with early-inning run creation that has been missing in recent years. The Giants counter with Matt Chapman's power and Luis Arraez's contact ability, but their recent offensive inconsistency (3.27 runs per game) suggests they'll need Ray to dominate to have a chance. The bullpen matchup slightly favors Miami, whose relievers have been more dependable in high-leverage situations. San Francisco's pen has been taxed recently due to starter inefficiency, and with several key relievers on the IL, depth becomes a concern if Ray can't provide length. Weather conditions favor pitching with the marine layer likely keeping balls down, but both teams have shown they can manufacture runs without relying solely on the long ball.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Pérez's velocity advantage early, Giants respond in 2nd
Middle (4-6) 5R Both pitchers tire, bullpens enter with runners on
Late (7-9) 3R Marlins bullpen holds narrow lead, Giants threaten but fall short

Matchup Analysis

Giants

Robbie Ray's strikeout ability
Chapman and Adames power threats
Oracle Park pitcher-friendly dimensions
Struggling offense (85 runs in 26 games)
Poor home record (5-9)
Missing key players (Susac, Bader)

Marlins

Edwards and Lopez leading offense (.330/.315 AVG)
Positive run differential (+7)
Recent momentum (W2 streak)
Poor road record (3-7)
Pérez's control issues (4.15 BB/9)
Young pitcher in tough environment

Risk Factors

Oracle Park wind affecting fly balls
Pérez's youth and inconsistency
Giants' recent offensive struggles

Key Matchups

Xavier Edwards vs Robbie Ray batter Edwards' contact approach vs Ray's slider dependency
Matt Chapman vs Eury Pérez batter Chapman's power vs Pérez's fastball command issues
Luis Arraez vs Eury Pérez batter Arraez's bat-to-ball skills exploit young pitcher's control

Statistical Edges

First to Score Marlins 62%
Strikeouts 16 13-19
Total Runs 11 8-13

Game Preview

The game opens with Eury Pérez showcasing his electric fastball, but Xavier Edwards works a leadoff walk and eventually scores on an Otto Lopez RBI single in the first inning. Robbie Ray responds by striking out the side in the bottom half, but Miami draws first blood. The Giants answer quickly in the second when Matt Chapman doubles and comes home on a Willy Adames sacrifice fly, evening the score at 1-1. The third inning proves pivotal as Pérez's command wavers with two outs. After walking the bases loaded, he grooves a fastball that Lopez drives into the gap for a two-run double, putting Miami ahead 3-1. Ray settles into a rhythm through the middle innings, but the Giants chip away with solo runs in the fourth and fifth to tie it 3-3. Chapman's solo homer in the fourth showcases his power against Pérez's elevated fastballs. Both starters exit after five innings with the game knotted, setting up a bullpen battle. Miami's relievers prove more effective, as Edwards adds an insurance run with an RBI triple in the sixth and another run scores on a wild pitch in the eighth. The Giants mount a final rally in the ninth, loading the bases with one out, but Miami's closer induces a double play to escape and secure a 6-5 victory, completing a successful road series win at pitcher-friendly Oracle Park.
Moderate confidence based on Miami's recent offensive surge and momentum from yesterday's blowout win, combined with San Francisco's ongoing struggles at home and offensive inconsistency. However, Ray's quality and Oracle Park's pitcher-friendly environment keep this competitive.
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Miami Marlins — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Agustín Ramírez
C .235212.303.367
Otto Lopez
SS .327312.373.505
Kyle Stowers
LF .33300.455.500
Connor Norby
1B .238310.340.413
Xavier Edwards
2B .35319.431.480
Heriberto Hernández
RF .16409.282.197
Owen Caissie
PH .227214.277.387
Liam Hicks
PH .313524.355.530
Jakob Marsee
CF .18418.303.272

San Francisco Giants — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Willy Adames
SS .20736.248.378
Luis Arraez
2B .32408.355.382
Matt Chapman
DH .286112.342.381
Rafael Devers
1B .21329.248.296
Casey Schmitt
3B .295310.341.513
Jung Hoo Lee
RF .287210.337.436
Heliot Ramos
LF .277314.320.426
Drew Gilbert
CF .23324.281.433
Patrick Bailey
C .15615.229.203

Lượt ghi điểm

3
Xavier Edwards singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Agustín Ramírez scores. Connor Norby to 3rd.
1-0
5
Drew Gilbert homers (2) on a line drive to right field.
1-1
6
Casey Schmitt homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Matt Chapman scores.
1-3
6
Patrick Bailey singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Heriberto Hernández. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd. Patrick Bailey to 2nd.
1-4
8
Heliot Ramos homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.
1-5
8
Luis Arraez doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Patrick Bailey scores.
1-6
9
Jakob Marsee singles on a ground ball to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Owen Caissie scores.
2-6

Miami Marlins — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Agustín RamírezC
5120010.235.670
Otto LopezSS
4010000.327.878
Kyle StowersLF
3000100.333.955
Connor Norby1B
2000210.238.753
Xavier Edwards2B
4021020.353.911
Heriberto HernándezRF
4000000.164.479
Owen CaissiePH
1100000.227.664
Liam HicksPH
1000000.313.885
Jakob MarseeCF
2011000.184.575
Tổng32262560
BATTING
TB: Edwards, X 2; Lopez, O; Marsee; Ramírez 2.
RBI: Edwards, X (9); Marsee (8).
2-out RBI: Edwards, X.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Sanoja; Hernández, H 2; Edwards, X.
GIDP: Ramírez; Stowers.
Team RISP: 2-for-6.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
SB: Ramírez (2, 2nd base off Ray/Bailey); Edwards, X (4, 2nd base off Ray/Bailey).
a-Flied out for Ruiz, E in the 7th.
b-Reached on error for Jiménez, L in the 9th.
c-Grounded out for Sanoja in the 9th.

San Francisco Giants — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Willy AdamesSS
5000020.207.626
Luis Arraez2B
5021000.324.737
Matt ChapmanDH
3110210.286.723
Rafael Devers1B
4000010.213.544
Casey Schmitt3B
3122101.295.854
Jung Hoo LeeRF
3120100.287.773
Heliot RamosLF
4121011.277.746
Drew GilbertCF
4111001.233.714
Patrick BaileyC
3111120.156.432
Tổng346116573
BATTING
2B: Schmitt (8, Pérez, Eu); Lee, J 2 (8, Pérez, Eu, Pérez, Eu); Chapman, M (5, Pérez, Eu); Arraez (2, Phillips).
HR: Gilbert (2, 5th inning off Pérez, Eu, 0 on, 0 out); Schmitt (3, 6th inning off Pérez, Eu, 1 on, 1 out); Ramos, H (3, 8th inning off Phillips, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Arraez 3; Bailey; Chapman, M 2; Gilbert 4; Lee, J 4; Ramos, H 5; Schmitt 6.
RBI: Arraez (8); Bailey (5); Gilbert (4); Ramos, H (14); Schmitt 2 (10).
2-out RBI: Arraez; Bailey.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Adames 2; Gilbert; Ramos, H 2; Lee, J; Chapman, M.
Team RISP: 3-for-11.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Bailey (2, 2nd base off Phillips/Ramírez).
FIELDING
E: Bailey (2, throw).
DP: 2 (Adames-Devers; Walker, R-Arraez-Devers).

Miami Marlins — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Eury Pérez(L, 2-2)
5.174426294-604.60
Anthony Bender
0.22000107-66.30
Tyler Phillips
2.022230146-261.59

San Francisco Giants — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Robbie Ray
5.041134097-552.70
Matt Gage(W, 2-0)
1.010010023-131.64
Keaton Winn(H, 5)
1.000000011-82.53
Erik Miller(H, 3)
1.000012021-94.00
Ryan Walker
1.011000012-83.00

Thông tin trận đấu

Trọng tài: Home Plate: Mark Ripperger; First Base: Shane Livensparger; Second Base: Dan Merzel; Third Base: Dan Bellino
Sân vận động: Oracle Park, San Francisco
Thời tiết: 56°F, Overcast
Gió: 10 mph, Out To CF

Miami Marlins — Tin tức

San Francisco Giants — Tin tức

So sánh mùa giải

Marlins
STAT
Giants
29-34 Thành tích 24-38
46.0% Win % 38.7%
.460 PCT .387
268 Điểm ghi được 238
286 Điểm để thua 304
63 Trận đã đấu 62
W3 Chuỗi W1
5-5 10 trận gần nhất 3-7
18-15 Thành tích sân nhà 12-16
11-19 Thành tích sân khách 12-22

Đối đầu

1
Gần nhất 2 lần gặp
1
Tháng 4 26
Marlins 3 - 6 Giants
Tháng 4 24
Marlins 9 - 4 Giants

Marlins Gần đây

Tháng 6 3 @ Nationals 4-1 W
Tháng 6 2 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Tháng 6 1 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Tháng 5 31 @ Mets 1-10 L
Tháng 5 30 @ Mets 1-6 L

Giants Gần đây

Tháng 6 3 @ Brewers 1-0 W
Tháng 6 2 @ Brewers 3-8 L
Tháng 6 1 @ Brewers 2-16 L
Tháng 5 31 @ Rockies 19-6 W
Tháng 5 30 @ Rockies 3-8 L

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