Quay lại trận đấu Thứ sáu, Tháng 5 15, 2026

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals — Tháng 5 15, 2026 | Dự đoán AI & Thống kê

Busch Stadium, St. Louis
79°F, Cloudy
11 mph, R To L
W Gordon Graceffo L Steven Cruz

Bảng tỷ số

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 R H E
Royals 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 7 0
Cardinals 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 12 0

DỰ ĐOÁN AIDự báo mạng thần kinh

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Royals 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 3
Cardinals 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 68% Cardinals favored
This interleague matchup features a stark contrast in momentum and venue performance. Michael Wacha brings exceptional form to Busch Stadium with a 2.63 ERA and 0.99 WHIP, showcasing the veteran savvy that has defined his resurgent 2026 campaign. His changeup-heavy approach (23.6% usage) should challenge a Cardinals lineup that has shown power but inconsistency, particularly with Lars Nootbaar sidelined. However, Wacha faces Jordan Walker, who has emerged as a legitimate middle-of-the-order threat with 11 home runs, and the Cardinals have shown they can manufacture runs at home despite their .500 record at Busch. Dustin May presents the more volatile element in this pitching matchup. His 4.85 ERA and 1.43 WHIP suggest struggles with command, though his stuff remains electric with a four-seam fastball averaging 97 mph. The Royals counter with Bobby Witt Jr., who continues his ascension as one of baseball's premier young stars with a .306 average and excellent plate coverage. Starling Marte adds veteran presence at .308, but Kansas City's abysmal 6-15 road record looms large. Their four-game skid includes concerning late-inning collapses, and the pitching staff remains decimated with Cole Ragans, Alec Marsh, and others on the IL. The Cardinals enter with subtle advantages that should prove decisive. They're coming off a series victory against Oakland and have shown resilience in close games this season. While their bullpen lacks dominant names, they've been serviceable enough to protect leads. Kansas City's road woes are systemic - they've struggled to score away from Kauffman Stadium and their makeshift rotation behind Wacha lacks depth. The weather conditions favor offense with 81-degree temperatures and minimal wind, but the Cardinals' familiarity with Busch Stadium's dimensions should provide the edge needed to snap the Royals' recent momentum.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Wacha solid early, May vulnerable first time through
Middle (4-6) 4R Both starters show fatigue, Cardinals capitalize better
Late (7-9) 2R Cardinals bullpen holds small lead, add insurance

Matchup Analysis

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's power surge (11 HR)
Home field advantage at Busch
Coming off series win momentum
Missing Lars Nootbaar in outfield
Inconsistent .500 home record

Royals

Bobby Witt Jr. (.306 avg, 7 HR)
Michael Wacha's excellent form (2.63 ERA)
Starling Marte's hot bat (.308)
Terrible road record (6-15)
Four-game losing streak
Depleted pitching staff with multiple IL

Risk Factors

May's inconsistency (4.85 ERA)
Royals' road struggles could worsen

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Michael Wacha batter Walker's power vs Wacha's changeup
Bobby Witt Jr. vs Dustin May batter Witt excels vs power sinkers
JJ Wetherholt vs Michael Wacha pitcher Young hitter vs veteran finesse

Statistical Edges

First to Score Royals 55%
Strikeouts 13 11-16
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Michael Wacha takes the mound in familiar territory, having spent his early career with the Cardinals before this return to St. Louis. He'll attack the strike zone early, using his refined changeup to keep Jordan Walker and the Cardinals' power hitters off balance. Bobby Witt Jr. gives Kansas City the early lead in the first inning, working a productive at-bat against Dustin May's fastball-heavy approach and driving in Maikel Garcia with a sharp single to right field. The Cardinals respond in the second when Walker launches his 12th home run of the season, a towering drive that carries over the left field wall despite Wacha's attempts to keep him off the fastball. The middle innings become a chess match as both starters settle into rhythm. Wacha's experience shines through the third and fourth, but May's inconsistent command catches up to him in the fifth inning. JJ Wetherholt draws a leadoff walk, and consecutive RBI singles from José Fermín and Victor Scott II put the Cardinals ahead 3-1. Wacha battles through six innings but shows fatigue in his final frame, allowing a solo home run to Walker that extends the Cardinals' lead. The Royals mount a late rally in the seventh when Witt Jr. doubles and scores on Starling Marte's clutch two-out RBI single, but the Cardinals' bullpen preserves the advantage. A ninth-inning insurance run off the Kansas City bullpen seals a 5-3 victory that continues the Royals' road struggles while giving St. Louis momentum heading deeper into May.
The confidence level reflects Kansas City's severe road struggles (6-15) and four-game losing streak against St. Louis' home-field advantage and recent series win. While Wacha has been excellent, the Cardinals' power potential and the Royals' systemic away-from-home issues provide enough edge for a home victory.
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Kansas City Royals — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia
3B .265318.335.400
Bobby Witt Jr.
SS .309723.381.506
Vinnie Pasquantino
1B .200521.286.344
Salvador Perez
C .200618.238.335
Carter Jensen
DH .242619.336.422
Lane Thomas
RF .20518.354.256
Isaac Collins
LF .225315.345.342
Michael Massey
2B .210312.233.407
Kyle Isbel
CF .264310.319.400

St. Louis Cardinals — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .237822.358.408
Yohel Pozo
PH .25905.259.296
Alec Burleson
1B .276631.344.447
Jordan Walker
RF .3091334.382.606
Nolan Gorman
3B .234523.313.366
Masyn Winn
SS .257116.333.358
Nathan Church
CF .244518.284.397
Pedro Pagés
C .21149.255.368
José Fermín
LF .24417.340.378

Lượt ghi điểm

4
Carter Jensen doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nathan Church. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez to 3rd.
1-0
4
Isaac Collins out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Salvador Perez scores. Carter Jensen to 3rd.
2-0
4
Jordan Walker homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. Iván Herrera scores.
2-2
5
Pedro Pagés homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.
2-3
6
Isaac Collins grounds out to first baseman Alec Burleson. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Carter Jensen to 3rd. Jac Caglianone to 2nd.
3-3
10
Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Maikel Garcia scores.
4-3
10
Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Thomas Saggese scores.
4-4
11
Yohel Pozo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lane Thomas. Nathan Church scores. JJ Wetherholt to 2nd.
4-5

Kansas City Royals — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Maikel Garcia3B
6100000.265.735
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
5021020.309.887
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
3200210.200.630
Salvador PerezC
5110010.200.573
Carter JensenDH
4021100.242.758
Lane ThomasRF
1000110.205.610
Isaac CollinsLF
2002200.225.687
Michael Massey2B
5000000.210.640
Kyle IsbelCF
5010010.264.719
Tổng38474770
BATTING
2B: Jensen (5, May); Witt Jr. (12, Stanek).
TB: Caglianone; Isbel; Jensen 3; Perez, S; Witt Jr. 3.
RBI: Collins 2 (15); Jensen (19); Witt Jr. (23).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Massey 3; Thomas, L; Garcia, M.
SF: Collins.
GIDP: Garcia, M.
Team RISP: 3-for-12.
Team LOB: 11.
FIELDING
DP: 3 (Massey-Pasquantino; Garcia, M-Massey-Pasquantino; Garcia, M-Pasquantino).
a-Walked for Caglianone in the 8th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
5000110.237.766
Yohel PozoPH
1011000.259.555
Alec Burleson1B
5021020.276.791
Jordan WalkerRF
5132011.309.988
Nolan Gorman3B
4020110.234.679
Masyn WinnSS
5010020.257.691
Nathan ChurchCF
4110110.244.681
Pedro PagésC
4111021.211.623
José FermínLF
1000200.244.718
Tổng4051255112
BATTING
2B: Winn (8, Lynch IV).
HR: Walker, J (13, 4th inning off Wacha, 1 on, 2 out); Pagés, P (4, 5th inning off Wacha, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Burleson 2; Church; Gorman 2; Herrera; Pagés, P 4; Pozo; Walker, J 6; Winn 2.
RBI: Burleson (31); Pagés, P (9); Pozo (5); Walker, J 2 (34).
2-out RBI: Pozo; Walker, J 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Church; Wetherholt; Winn; Herrera.
SAC: Pagés, P.
GIDP: Pagés, P; Walker, J; Winn.
Team RISP: 2-for-13.
Team LOB: 12.
BASERUNNING
SB: Church (4, 2nd base off Strahm/Perez, S).
FIELDING
DP: (Winn-Wetherholt-Burleson).
a-Walked for Scott II in the 7th.
b-Singled for Saggese in the 11th.
1-Ran for Herrera in the 10th.

Kansas City Royals — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Michael Wacha
6.053315287-572.83
Daniel Lynch IV
1.010012020-141.96
Nick Mears
1.020011016-102.87
Matt Strahm
0.210011015-83.86
John Schreiber
0.10000001-13.63
Lucas Erceg(BS, 3)
1.021002012-113.44
Steven Cruz(L, 0-1)
0.21101005-48.31

St. Louis Cardinals — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Dustin May
6.043343091-544.81
George Soriano
0.21000109-63.38
JoJo Romero
1.100011021-133.22
Riley O'Brien
1.010000010-62.45
Ryne Stanek
1.011012013-96.52
Gordon Graceffo(W, 3-1)
1.000010014-71.90

Thông tin trận đấu

Trọng tài: Home Plate: Will Little; First Base: Ryan Additon; Second Base: Ryan Wills; Third Base: Lance Barksdale
Sân vận động: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Thời tiết: 79°F, Cloudy
Gió: 11 mph, R To L

Kansas City Royals — Tin tức

St. Louis Cardinals — Tin tức

So sánh mùa giải

Royals
STAT
Cardinals
35-50 Thành tích 43-38
41.2% Win % 53.1%
.412 PCT .531
357 Điểm ghi được 362
427 Điểm để thua 370
85 Trận đã đấu 81
W1 Chuỗi W1
5-5 10 trận gần nhất 3-7
19-22 Thành tích sân nhà 23-21
16-28 Thành tích sân khách 20-17

Đối đầu

3
Gần nhất 5 lần gặp
2
Tháng 6 21
Cardinals 12 - 10 Royals
Tháng 6 19
Cardinals 5 - 6 Royals
Tháng 6 18
Cardinals 6 - 14 Royals
Tháng 5 17
Royals 2 - 0 Cardinals
Tháng 5 16
Royals 2 - 4 Cardinals

Royals Gần đây

Tháng 6 28 @ White Sox 5-4 W
Tháng 6 27 @ White Sox 1-2 L
Tháng 6 26 @ White Sox 1-22 L
Tháng 6 25 @ Rays 2-13 L
Tháng 6 24 @ Rays 3-5 L

Cardinals Gần đây

Tháng 6 28 vs Marlins 1-2 W
Tháng 6 27 vs Marlins 5-1 L
Tháng 6 26 vs Marlins 4-0 L
Tháng 6 24 vs Diamondbacks 9-4 L
Tháng 6 23 vs Diamondbacks 4-3 L

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