Quay lại trận đấu Thứ ba, Tháng 6 9, 2026

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays — Tháng 6 9, 2026 | Dự đoán AI & Thống kê

Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
72°F, Dome
0 mph, None
W Nick Martinez L Payton Tolle SV Bryan Baker

Bảng tỷ số

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Red Sox 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 6 1
Rays 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 - 4 12 0

DỰ ĐOÁN AIDự báo mạng thần kinh

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Red Sox 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3
Rays 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 67% Rays favored
This matchup features contrasting styles as Tampa Bay's Nick Martinez brings pinpoint control against Boston's hard-throwing Payton Tolle making another early-career start. Martinez has been exceptional with a 2.29 ERA and microscopic 1.66 BB/9 rate, relying on his six-pitch mix led by a 31% sinker usage. His ability to command the strike zone gives him a significant edge over the inexperienced Tolle, who despite impressive velocity (96+ mph fastball) lacks the track record and command refinement of his counterpart. The Rays' 22-9 home record speaks to their comfort at Tropicana Field, where Martinez has thrived in his veteran role. Offensively, Tampa Bay holds the clear advantage with Yandy Díaz leading a more balanced attack. Díaz's .325 average and 11 home runs anchor a lineup that has outscored opponents by 9 runs this season, compared to Boston's -11 differential. Junior Caminero provides additional pop with 14 homers, giving the Rays multiple threats against Tolle's fastball-heavy approach. Boston counters with Willson Contreras (.298, 13 HR) and Wilyer Abreu, but their supporting cast has been inconsistent, particularly with key injuries to Trevor Story, Triston Casas, and Roman Anthony depleting their depth. The bullpen situation heavily favors neither team due to injuries. Tampa Bay has lost closer Craig Kimbrel and setup man Steven Wilson to the IL, while Boston's relief corps has been similarly decimated with Garrett Whitlock and multiple arms sidelined. This creates uncertainty in the later innings, though Martinez's efficiency should help preserve the Rays' bullpen for crucial moments. The weather conditions—90 degrees and overcast with WNW winds—could slightly favor hitters, but Martinez's ground-ball tendencies should neutralize any atmospheric advantages. Boston's recent 2-game losing streak and overall struggles (27-37 record) suggest continued difficulties against a Tampa Bay team looking to bounce back from a poor 4-6 stretch in their last ten games.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Martinez faces early pressure but escapes jams
Middle (4-6) 2R Both pitchers settle in for quieter middle frames
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpen battle favors Rays depth despite injuries

Matchup Analysis

Rays

Nick Martinez's elite control (1.66 BB/9)
Strong home record (22-9)
Yandy Díaz's hot hitting (.325 avg, 11 HR)
Depleted bullpen with Kimbrel and Wilson injured
Poor recent form (4-6 L10)

Red Sox

Willson Contreras providing power (.298 avg, 13 HR)
Better road record (17-16)
Payton Tolle's velocity (96+ mph fastball)
Tolle lacks established MLB track record
Struggling overall record (27-37)
Multiple key injuries including Casas and Story

Risk Factors

Tolle's inexperience in key spots
Rays bullpen depth concerns with injuries

Key Matchups

Yandy Díaz vs Payton Tolle batter Díaz excels vs velocity with .325 average
Willson Contreras vs Nick Martinez batter Power hitter vs contact pitcher favors offense
Wilyer Abreu vs Nick Martinez pitcher Martinez's changeup confuses young hitters

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rays 58%
Strikeouts 11 8-14
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Nick Martinez sets the tone early for Tampa Bay, working around a leadoff single from Wilyer Abreu in the first inning before Yandy Díaz opens the home half with his signature opposite-field approach, driving Payton Tolle's 96-mph fastball into the right field corner for a standup double. Junior Caminero follows with a sacrifice fly to give the Rays an early 1-0 lead. Tolle's velocity impresses but his command wavers, walking two in the second inning before Martinez responds by retiring nine of the next ten batters he faces. The game's pivotal moment arrives in the third inning when Tampa Bay breaks through for two runs. Díaz singles with one out, and after a stolen base, both Caminero and Nick Fortes deliver clutch two-out hits to extend the lead to 3-0. Boston finally answers in the top of the fourth when Willson Contreras takes Martinez deep to left field for his 14th homer, cutting the deficit to 3-1. The middle innings become a chess match as both starters settle into a rhythm, with Martinez mixing his changeup and sinker effectively while Tolle begins locating his fastball better. Boston threatens in the sixth when Connor Wong doubles and scores on an Andruw Monasterio single, making it 3-2. However, Tampa Bay responds immediately in the bottom half as Ryan Vilade's clutch hit extends the lead back to two runs. The late innings see both bullpens tested due to the injury situations, but the Rays manage to add an insurance run in the ninth on a Taylor Walls RBI single. Despite a final Boston rally that produces one run in the eighth, Martinez's early dominance and the Rays' timely hitting prove decisive in a 5-3 victory that improves their home record to 23-9.
The confidence level of 67% reflects Martinez's clear pitching advantage over the inexperienced Tolle, combined with Tampa Bay's superior home record and better offensive balance. However, both teams' bullpen injuries create late-game uncertainty that prevents higher confidence.
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Boston Red Sox — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jarren Duran
LF .2091034.270.385
Ceddanne Rafaela
CF .281524.340.421
Wilyer Abreu
RF .277729.338.422
Willson Contreras
1B .2881339.383.523
Masataka Yoshida
DH .236110.329.323
Mickey Gasper
C .28405.325.351
Caleb Durbin
3B .193123.255.289
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2B .271112.327.344
Marcelo Mayer
SS .224317.282.318

Tampa Bay Rays — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Yandy Díaz
DH .3251244.401.534
Junior Caminero
3B .2771430.376.496
Chandler Simpson
LF .271012.307.322
Ryan Vilade
1B .309322.373.474
Austin Slater
RF .22002.286.240
Cedric Mullins
CF .187519.275.295
Ben Williamson
2B .263018.344.328
Nick Fortes
C .250114.294.322
Taylor Walls
SS .203014.309.273

Lượt ghi điểm

3
Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.
1-0
4
Cedric Mullins singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Ryan Vilade scores. Cedric Mullins to 2nd.
1-1
4
Ben Williamson doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Cedric Mullins scores.
1-2
4
Nick Fortes doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Ben Williamson scores.
1-3
6
Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Ben Williamson scores. Nick Fortes to 2nd.
1-4
8
Marcelo Mayer doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Austin Slater. Caleb Durbin scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.
3-4

Boston Red Sox — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jarren DuranLF
4011010.209.655
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
4000000.281.761
Wilyer AbreuRF
4010000.277.760
Willson Contreras1B
4000010.288.906
Masataka YoshidaDH
4000000.236.652
Mickey GasperC
4000000.284.676
Caleb Durbin3B
3110000.193.544
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
3220000.271.671
Marcelo MayerSS
3012000.224.600
Tổng33363020
BATTING
2B: Kiner-Falefa (4, Martinez, N); Abreu, W (13, Martinez, N); Mayer (7, Martinez, N).
TB: Abreu, W 2; Duran, Ja; Durbin; Kiner-Falefa 3; Mayer 2.
RBI: Duran, Ja (34); Mayer 2 (17).
2-out RBI: Duran, Ja.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Abreu, W; Gasper.
Team RISP: 2-for-9.
Team LOB: 3.
FIELDING
E: Tolle (2, dropped foul).
Outfield assists: Rafaela (Mullins at 1st base).
PB: Gasper 2 (2).
DP: 2 (Durbin; Rafaela-Contreras, Wn).

Tampa Bay Rays — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Yandy DíazDH
3010100.325.935
Junior Caminero3B
4010010.277.872
Chandler SimpsonLF
4000020.271.629
Ryan Vilade1B
4130000.309.847
Austin SlaterRF
4010000.220.526
Cedric MullinsCF
4111010.187.570
Ben Williamson2B
4221000.263.672
Nick FortesC
3021000.250.616
Taylor WallsSS
0000000.203.582
Tổng344124150
BATTING
2B: Caminero (11, Tolle); Vilade (5, Tolle); Williamson (7, Tolle); Fortes (8, Tolle).
TB: Caminero 2; Díaz, Y; Fortes 3; Mullins; Palacios, R; Slater; Vilade 4; Williamson 3.
RBI: Fortes (14); Mullins (19); Palacios, R (20); Williamson (18).
2-out RBI: Fortes; Williamson; Palacios, R; Mullins.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Díaz, Y; Palacios, R; Slater 2.
Team RISP: 5-for-10.
Team LOB: 8.

Boston Red Sox — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Payton Tolle(L, 3-3)
6.094413094-712.70
Tommy Kahnle
1.020001015-120.00
Garrett Whitlock
1.010001017-143.05

Tampa Bay Rays — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nick Martinez(W, 6-2)
7.063302073-492.43
Kevin Kelly(H, 14)
1.00000006-42.43
Bryan Baker(S, 18)
1.000000013-71.98

Thông tin trận đấu

Trọng tài: Home Plate: Roberto Ortiz; First Base: Jim Wolf; Second Base: John Bacon; Third Base: Alan Porter
Sân vận động: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Thời tiết: 72°F, Dome
Gió: 0 mph, None

Boston Red Sox — Tin tức

Tampa Bay Rays — Tin tức

So sánh mùa giải

Red Sox
STAT
Rays
27-39 Thành tích 40-25
40.9% Win % 61.5%
.409 PCT .615
258 Điểm ghi được 297
272 Điểm để thua 285
66 Trận đã đấu 65
L4 Chuỗi W3
4-6 10 trận gần nhất 5-5
10-21 Thành tích sân nhà 24-9
17-18 Thành tích sân khách 16-16

Đối đầu

1
Gần nhất 5 lần gặp
4
Tháng 6 10
Red Sox 5 - 7 Rays
Tháng 6 8
Red Sox 1 - 3 Rays
Tháng 5 10
Rays 4 - 1 Red Sox
Tháng 5 8
Rays 0 - 2 Red Sox
Tháng 5 7
Rays 8 - 4 Red Sox

Red Sox Gần đây

Tháng 6 10 @ Rays 5-7 L
Tháng 6 8 @ Rays 1-3 L
Tháng 6 7 @ Yankees 1-6 L
Tháng 6 5 @ Yankees 5-3 W
Tháng 6 4 vs Orioles 8-2 L

Rays Gần đây

Tháng 6 10 vs Red Sox 5-7 W
Tháng 6 8 vs Red Sox 1-3 W
Tháng 6 7 @ Marlins 1-4 L
Tháng 6 6 @ Marlins 3-4 L
Tháng 6 5 @ Marlins 6-0 W

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