Quay lại trận đấu Chủ nhật, Tháng 7 26, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals — Tháng 7 26, 2026 | Dự đoán AI & Thống kê

Nationals Park, Washington
83°F, Cloudy
5 mph, Out To RF
W Riley Cornelio L Jonathan Loáisiga SV Clayton Beeter

Bảng tỷ số

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Diamondbacks 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 2 7 9 1
Nationals 0 1 1 0 4 0 3 1 - 10 15 0

DỰ ĐOÁN AIDự báo mạng thần kinh

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Diamondbacks 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 3
Nationals 1 0 2 0 1 1 0 1 0 6
Confidence: 58% Nationals favored
Miles Mikolas takes the hill for Washington in the rubber game of this three-game set, and the concern is real — his 5.60 ERA and 1.34 WHIP paint a picture of a veteran running on fumes. His recent outings have been abbreviated (66 and 59 pitches in his last two starts), raising questions about workload and durability. His average fastball sits at 87-88 mph, and his pitch mix relies on soft contact and weak ground balls rather than swing-and-miss ability (just 4.68 K/9). Against an Arizona lineup that, while depleted, still has Corbin Carroll and a functional middle of the order, Mikolas figures to be vulnerable in the early innings. The wild card on the Arizona side is Kohl Drake, a near-complete unknown with only 5 innings of MLB experience this season. His 1.80 ERA is a statistical mirage over such a tiny sample. Drake throws a 91.4 mph four-seamer and leans heavily on it (48%), mixing a curve and changeup. Washington's lineup — led by James Wood (28 HR), Luis García Jr. (21 HR, 70 RBI), and recently acquired Curtis Mead — has real power and could do damage against a rookie under pressure in a day game at Nationals Park. The Nats' home record (21-32) is concerning, but they took yesterday's series opener convincingly, 5-3, and carry a W1 streak. Arizona is 24-28 on the road this year and missing several key contributors to the IL — Zac Gallen, Corbin Burnes, Jordan Lawlar, and both Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Tommy Troy in the outfield. The bullpen edge leans Washington if they can get through Drake early and hand a lead to their relievers. Overall, this is a matchup that tilts Washington's way given Drake's inexperience, Mikolas's familiarity advantage, and the Nats' lineup depth versus an Arizona club thinned by injuries.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Mikolas vulnerable; Nats jump on rookie Drake
Middle (4-6) 3R Drake tires; AZ scratches vs. soft contact
Late (7-9) 2R Nats bullpen holds slim lead late

Matchup Analysis

Nationals

James Wood power threat
García Jr. RBI production
Strong road-to-home split
Depleted starting rotation
Poor home record 21-32

Diamondbacks

Corbin Carroll speed/gap power
7-3 last ten games
Solid run prevention
Kohl Drake very limited sample
Key IL injuries in OF/rotation

Risk Factors

Kohl Drake upside unknown
Mikolas short recent outings

Key Matchups

James Wood vs Kohl Drake batter Wood's 28 HR power vs. rookie with only 5 IP sample
Corbin Carroll vs Miles Mikolas batter Carroll's speed exploits Mikolas's 5.60 ERA and soft stuff
Luis García Jr. vs Kohl Drake batter García Jr.'s .277 AVG/21 HR tests unproven Drake

Statistical Edges

First to Score Nationals 58%
Strikeouts 12 9-15
Total Runs 9 7-12

Game Preview

Under clear July skies at Nationals Park, the rubber game of this three-game set has all the makings of an early-action affair. James Wood leads off Washington's half of the first with an aggressive at-bat against Kohl Drake, working a walk before Luis García Jr. deposits a two-run shot to left-center off the rookie's elevated four-seamer. Washington is rolling early, 2-0 after one. Mikolas settles in but can't avoid contact — Corbin Carroll singles and eventually scores on an Ildemaro Vargas sac fly in the second to make it 2-1. The Nationals answer in the third when Daylen Lile and Curtis Mead work back-to-back doubles off a tired Drake, pushing the lead to 4-1. Drake exits after four-plus innings having thrown around 80 pitches with two earned runs allowed — respectable given his inexperience, but not enough to keep Washington's bats quiet. Mikolas labors through five innings, surrendering a solo shot to James McCann in the fourth that keeps Arizona in striking distance at 4-2. Washington's bullpen takes over in the sixth and holds the line. García Jr. adds an insurance RBI single in the sixth, and Wood launches a solo homer in the eighth off Arizona's bullpen to seal the 6-3 final. The Nats take the series two games to one, with their lineup's depth proving the difference against an Arizona club thin on pitching and outfield options.
Moderate confidence: Washington's lineup advantages over an unknown rookie are real, but Mikolas's shaky numbers and the Nats' poor home record introduce variance. Drake's small sample makes him unpredictable in either direction.
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Arizona Diamondbacks — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Corbin Carroll
RF .2501549.344.487
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .233837.358.357
Gabriel Moreno
C .315741.396.458
Ketel Marte
2B .2541961.307.457
Ryan Waldschmidt
LF .268113.313.384
Nolan Arenado
3B .2431449.323.421
Jorge Barrosa
PR .193210.278.353
Tyler Locklear
1B .31616.417.526
Tim Tawa
CF .233420.293.400

Washington Nationals — Đội hình

Cầu thủVị tríAVGHRRBIOBPSLG
James Wood
RF .2713072.396.557
Daylen Lile
DH .2441151.296.406
Dylan Crews
LF .228823.310.381
CJ Abrams
SS .2972782.367.573
Brady House
3B .232726.286.411
Jacob Young
CF .235935.289.386
Harry Ford
C .23514.350.471
Luis García Jr.
1B .2782170.310.544
Nasim Nuñez
2B .247130.331.291

Lượt ghi điểm

1
Gabriel Moreno doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Crews. Geraldo Perdomo scores.
1-0
2
Jacob Young singles on a line drive to center fielder Tim Tawa. Brady House scores.
1-1
3
Geraldo Perdomo homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.
2-1
3
Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: CJ Abrams homers (26) on a fly ball to center field.
2-2
4
Ketel Marte homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.
3-2
5
Gabriel Moreno out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.
4-2
5
James Wood homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. Nasim Nuñez scores.
4-4
5
CJ Abrams homers (27) on a fly ball to center field. Daylen Lile scores.
4-6
7
Brady House doubles (9) on a line drive to center fielder Tim Tawa. Dylan Crews scores.
4-7
7
Jacob Young doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Brady House scores.
4-8
7
Luis García Jr. singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Brandyn Garcia. Jacob Young scores. Luis García Jr. to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Brandyn Garcia.
4-9
8
Tyler Locklear out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Ryan Waldschmidt scores.
5-9
8
James Wood homers (30) on a fly ball to left center field.
5-10
9
Ryan Waldschmidt singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Crews. Corbin Carroll scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd. Ketel Marte to 2nd.
6-10
9
Nolan Arenado grounds out, third baseman Brady House to first baseman Luis García Jr. Gabriel Moreno scores. Ketel Marte to 3rd. Ryan Waldschmidt to 2nd.
7-10

Arizona Diamondbacks — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Corbin CarrollRF
4210100.250.831
Geraldo PerdomoSS
2211301.233.715
Gabriel MorenoC
3122100.315.854
Ketel Marte2B
5111011.254.764
Ryan WaldschmidtLF
2121000.268.697
Nolan Arenado3B
4001100.243.744
Jorge BarrosaPR
0000000.193.631
Tyler Locklear1B
3001000.316.943
Tim TawaCF
4000000.233.693
Tổng34797722
BATTING
2B: Moreno 2 (18, Mikolas, Kranick); Carroll (21, Cornelio); Waldschmidt (11, Cosgrove).
HR: Perdomo (8, 3rd inning off Mikolas, 0 on, 2 out); Marte, K (19, 4th inning off Mikolas, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Carroll 2; Del Castillo; Marte, K 4; Moreno 4; Perdomo 4; Vargas, I; Waldschmidt 3.
RBI: Arenado (49); Locklear (6); Marte, K (61); Moreno 2 (41); Perdomo (37); Waldschmidt (13).
2-out RBI: Perdomo.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Locklear 2; Kepler 2; Marte, K; Tawa.
SF: Locklear; Moreno.
Team RISP: 2-for-12.
Team LOB: 10.
FIELDING
E: Garcia, B (1, throw).
DP: (Perdomo-Marte, K-Locklear).
a-Doubled for Kepler in the 8th.
b-Singled for Del Castillo in the 8th.
1-Ran for Vargas, I in the 9th.

Washington Nationals — Đánh bóng

Cầu thủABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
James WoodRF
4223112.271.953
Daylen LileDH
3110000.244.702
Dylan CrewsLF
5130000.228.691
CJ AbramsSS
5233012.297.940
Brady House3B
5221010.232.697
Jacob YoungCF
4122000.235.675
Harry FordC
3000110.235.821
Luis García Jr.1B
4020000.278.854
Nasim Nuñez2B
3100100.247.622
Tổng3810159344
BATTING
2B: Crews (7, Drake); House 2 (9, Drake, Garcia, B); García Jr., L (17, Thompson, R); Young (13, Garcia, B).
HR: Abrams 2 (27, 3rd inning off Drake, 0 on, 2 out, 5th inning off Loáisiga, 1 on, 1 out); Wood 2 (30, 5th inning off Drake, 1 on, 0 out, 8th inning off Ginkel, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Abrams 9; Crews 4; García Jr., L 3; House 4; Lile; Wood 8; Young 3.
RBI: Abrams 3 (82); House (26); Wood 3 (72); Young 2 (35).
2-out RBI: Abrams.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Wood 2; Nuñez, N; Abrams; Lile.
GIDP: House.
Team RISP: 3-for-12.
Team LOB: 7.
a-Singled for Chaparro in the 5th.

Arizona Diamondbacks — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kohl Drake
4.054421264-425.00
Jonathan Loáisiga(L, 2-3)
1.022201116-132.41
Ryan Thompson
0.210010012-83.76
Brandyn Garcia
1.043202025-162.28
Kevin Ginkel
1.131100115-103.25

Washington Nationals — Ném bóng

Người némIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Miles Mikolas
4.043311263-395.65
Riley Cornelio(W, 2-1)
2.011120042-255.89
Max Kranick(H, 1)
1.010001017-1112.27
Tom Cosgrove
1.021100017-131.50
Matt Krook
0.002230014-310.80
Clayton Beeter(S, 10)
1.010010014-83.69

Thông tin trận đấu

Trọng tài: Home Plate: Dan Merzel; First Base: Rob Drake; Second Base: Jordan Baker; Third Base: Stu Scheurwater
Sân vận động: Nationals Park, Washington
Thời tiết: 83°F, Cloudy
Gió: 5 mph, Out To RF

Arizona Diamondbacks — Tin tức

Washington Nationals — Tin tức

So sánh mùa giải

Diamondbacks
STAT
Nationals
55-50 Thành tích 53-52
52.4% Win % 50.5%
.524 PCT .505
472 Điểm ghi được 574
472 Điểm để thua 547
105 Trận đã đấu 105
L1 Chuỗi W1
7-3 10 trận gần nhất 5-5
31-22 Thành tích sân nhà 21-32
24-28 Thành tích sân khách 32-20

Đối đầu

2
Gần nhất 5 lần gặp
3
Tháng 7 25
Diamondbacks 3 - 5 Nationals
Tháng 7 24
Diamondbacks 3 - 2 Nationals
Tháng 6 7
Nationals 1 - 5 Diamondbacks
Tháng 6 6
Nationals 6 - 1 Diamondbacks
Tháng 6 5
Nationals 14 - 1 Diamondbacks

Diamondbacks Gần đây

Tháng 7 25 @ Nationals 3-5 L
Tháng 7 24 @ Nationals 3-2 W
Tháng 7 23 @ Cardinals 10-6 W
Tháng 7 22 vs Athletics 5-15 W
Tháng 7 21 vs Athletics 5-6 W

Nationals Gần đây

Tháng 7 25 vs Diamondbacks 3-5 W
Tháng 7 24 vs Diamondbacks 3-2 L
Tháng 7 22 @ Rockies 8-0 W
Tháng 7 21 @ Rockies 7-8 L
Tháng 7 20 @ Rockies 7-3 W

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