San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins — ก.ค. 26, 2026 | การทำนาย AI และสถิติ

Miami enters this series finale in full collapse mode — an 11-game losing streak, a depleted rotation missing ace Max Meyer (2.68 ERA, 9-1) to a neck strain, and Janson Junk (5.09 ERA) tasked with stopping the bleeding against a Padres club that has won back-to-back against these same Marlins. Junk's arsenal is workable — a four-seamer sitting 94, a decent slider, changeup mix — but his limited swing-and-miss ability (6.65 K/9) and tendency to leave balls in the zone spell trouble against San Diego's power core. Walker Buehler is no ace in his current form (5.23 ERA, 1.43 WHIP), but Miami's lineup offers minimal resistance on an 11-game skid. Otto Lopez (.330) and Xavier Edwards (.292) are the legitimate threats, but Buehler's cutter-heavy approach can keep the ball in the yard in heavy loanDepot park air. His walk rate is the main concern — if he issues free passes early, Miami's table-setters can create chaos. Still, Buehler gets a generous matchup here. San Diego's lineup is anchored by Manny Machado (22 HR, 60 RBI), who has looked dangerous in this series. Jackson Merrill and Ty France round out a middle-of-order that can exploit Junk's modest velocity and contact-inducing pitch mix. The Padres bullpen is somewhat thin with Adam, Estrada, and Musgrove all on the IL, but Miami's pen — riddled with organizational depth signings — is in no better shape. The Marlins' 31-22 home record is a credible counter-lean, but a team 0-10 in its last 10 with this rotation setup against a team riding momentum in this exact venue is a hard fade.