Tillbaka till matcher Torsdag, Jun 11, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins — Jun 11, 2026 | AI-prognos & statistik

loanDepot park, Miami
72°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Tyler Phillips L Merrill Kelly SV Pete Fairbanks

Resultattavla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Diamondbacks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0
Marlins 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 - 2 5 1

AI-PROGNOSNeuralt natverk prognos

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Diamondbacks 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 4
Marlins 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 6
Confidence: 72% Marlins favored
The Miami Marlins are riding high on a four-game winning streak and come into this series finale with tremendous momentum after outscoring Arizona 18-6 in the first two games. Tyler Phillips gets the nod for Miami despite limited MLB experience, but the young right-hander has shown promise with his diverse five-pitch mix featuring a heavy sinker and effective splitter. His recent velocity readings around 95-96 mph on the fastball give him enough stuff to challenge Arizona's struggling lineup. The Marlins' offense has been clicking on all cylinders, with Xavier Edwards (.306) and Otto Lopez (.341) providing consistent contact at the top of the order, setting the table for their power threats. Arizona counters with veteran Merrill Kelly, but his 5.71 ERA tells the story of a pitcher fighting command issues this season. Kelly's recent starts show concerning trends with his velocity down slightly and his typically reliable changeup not generating the same results. The Diamondbacks have made several roster moves trying to find the right combination, including signing Max Kepler and recalling Drey Jameson, but their 13-19 road record reflects deeper issues away from Chase Field. Corbin Carroll (.283, 11 HR) remains their most dangerous offensive weapon, but the supporting cast has struggled to provide consistent run production. The key to this game lies in which team can better navigate the opposing starter's strengths. Kelly's experience gives him an edge in game management, but his command issues could be exploited by Miami's patient approach. Phillips will need to attack the strike zone aggressively and trust his defense behind him. The bullpen battle likely favors Miami, as Arizona's relief corps may be taxed from the previous two losses in this series. With the Marlins playing excellent baseball at home (22-16) and Arizona continuing to struggle on the road, Miami is positioned to complete the sweep in what should be a competitive but ultimately favorable matchup for the home team.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both teams struggle with first-time-through lineup approach
Middle (4-6) 3R Marlins capitalize on Kelly's command issues in middle innings
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle favors Miami's fresher arms

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Riding 4-game win streak
Dominant recent offense (18 runs in 2 games)
Excellent home record (22-16)
Phillips lacks MLB track record
Bullpen depth concerns with multiple IL pitchers

Diamondbacks

Merrill Kelly veteran experience
Corbin Carroll's power threat
Recent roster additions
Poor road record (13-19)
Kelly's 5.71 ERA struggles
Bullpen likely fatigued from recent losses

Risk Factors

Phillips inexperience could lead to early exit
Arizona desperation factor after two losses

Key Matchups

Xavier Edwards vs Merrill Kelly batter Edwards hitting .306 vs Kelly's command issues
Corbin Carroll vs Tyler Phillips batter Carroll's power vs rookie pitcher
Otto Lopez vs Merrill Kelly batter Lopez's .341 average against struggling veteran

Statistical Edges

First to Score Marlins 68%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

Tyler Phillips takes the mound for Miami looking to cap off a dominant series performance against Arizona. The young right-hander gets off to a solid start, working around a leadoff single by Corbin Carroll in the first inning before Xavier Edwards jumps on a Merrill Kelly fastball to lead off the bottom half, driving it into the gap for a double. Otto Lopez follows with an RBI single, giving Miami an early 1-0 advantage that energizes the loanDepot park crowd. Kelly settles in briefly, but his command issues resurface in the third inning when he walks the bases loaded with one out. Christopher Morel works a patient at-bat before lining a two-run single to right field, extending Miami's lead to 3-0. Arizona responds in the fourth when Gabriel Moreno doubles and scores on an Ildemaro Vargas groundout, but Phillips shows poise by limiting the damage. The middle innings become a chess match as both managers dip into their bullpens, but Miami's fresher arms prove decisive. Edwards adds another run with a squeeze play in the seventh, while Arizona manages just single tallies in the seventh and eighth innings. The Marlins tack on an insurance run in the ninth on a Kyle Stowers sacrifice fly, sealing a 6-4 victory that completes the three-game sweep and pushes their winning streak to five games.
The confidence level of 72% reflects Miami's excellent recent form and home field advantage, but accounts for the unpredictability of using a relatively inexperienced starter in Phillips against a veteran like Kelly. Arizona's desperation factor as a road team trying to avoid a sweep adds some uncertainty to the outcome.
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Arizona Diamondbacks — Trupp

SpelarePos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ketel Marte
2B .2481140.299.442
Corbin Carroll
RF .2801133.372.548
Gabriel Moreno
DH .260522.343.425
Nolan Arenado
3B .252830.335.424
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .241322.345.348
LuJames Groover
1B .21101.211.211
Tommy Troy
LF .24011.345.340
Adrian Del Castillo
C .189420.254.320
Jorge Barrosa
CF .17217.241.313

Miami Marlins — Trupp

SpelarePos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Liam Hicks
DH .2651248.346.466
Otto Lopez
SS .344530.372.489
Kyle Stowers
1B .213520.298.379
Xavier Edwards
2B .304623.388.451
Javier Sanoja
3B .260224.308.370
Heriberto Hernández
LF .227523.301.370
Jakob Marsee
CF .205317.337.306
Joe Mack
C .244113.284.322
Esteury Ruiz
RF .20037.297.473

Poängsituationer

1
Xavier Edwards out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Otto Lopez scores.
0-1
4
Jakob Marsee singles on a line drive to center fielder Jorge Barrosa. Kyle Stowers scores. Owen Caissie to 3rd.
0-2

Arizona Diamondbacks — Slagstatistik

SpelareABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ketel Marte2B
4010000.248.741
Corbin CarrollRF
3000020.280.920
Gabriel MorenoDH
3000120.260.768
Nolan Arenado3B
4000030.252.759
Geraldo PerdomoSS
3000110.241.693
LuJames Groover1B
4010010.211.422
Tommy TroyLF
3000010.240.685
Adrian Del CastilloC
0000100.189.574
Jorge BarrosaCF
3010020.172.554
Totalt290303130
BATTING
2B: Marte, K (13, Phillips).
TB: Barrosa; Groover; Marte, K 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Arenado; Barrosa; Perdomo.
GIDP: Groover.
Team RISP: 0-for-7.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Carroll (Hicks, L at 3rd base).
a-Walked for Garcia, A in the 7th.

Miami Marlins — Slagstatistik

SpelareABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Liam HicksDH
4010000.265.812
Otto LopezSS
4120000.344.861
Kyle Stowers1B
2100220.213.677
Xavier Edwards2B
3011000.304.839
Javier Sanoja3B
3000000.260.678
Heriberto HernándezLF
1000000.227.671
Jakob MarseeCF
2011100.205.643
Joe MackC
3000010.244.606
Esteury RuizRF
3000010.200.770
Totalt27252340
BATTING
TB: Edwards, X; Hicks, L; Lopez, O 2; Marsee.
RBI: Edwards, X (23); Marsee (17).
2-out RBI: Marsee.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mack 2; Edwards, X.
SF: Edwards, X.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Lopez, O 2 (13, 3rd base off Kelly, Me/Garcia, A, 2nd base off Sewald/Del Castillo); Marsee (17, 2nd base off Kelly, Me/Garcia, A).
FIELDING
E: Stowers (3, missed catch).
DP: (Edwards, X-Stowers).
a-Flied out for Caissie in the 7th.

Arizona Diamondbacks — Kaststatistik

KastareIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Merrill Kelly(L, 5-5)
6.042221074-485.46
Brandyn Garcia
1.000012015-103.07
Paul Sewald
1.010001016-103.33

Miami Marlins — Kaststatistik

KastareIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tyler Phillips(W, 1-1)
5.020025070-411.86
Michael Petersen(H, 9)
1.000001014-103.29
Anthony Bender(H, 7)
1.010013019-112.86
Calvin Faucher(H, 6)
1.000002013-93.58
Pete Fairbanks(S, 8)
1.000002013-106.63

Matchinfo

Domare: Home Plate: Paul Clemons; First Base: John Tumpane; Second Base: Edwin Jimenez; Third Base: Ramon De Jesus
Arena: loanDepot park, Miami
Väder: 72°F, Roof Closed
Vind: 0 mph, None

Arizona Diamondbacks — Nyheter

Miami Marlins — Nyheter

Sasongsjamforelse

Diamondbacks
STAT
Marlins
34-33 Resultat 33-35
50.7% Win % 48.5%
.507 PCT .485
289 Runs for 294
311 Runs emot 302
67 Spelade matcher 68
L2 Svit W4
3-7 Senaste 10 7-3
21-14 Hemmaresultat 22-16
13-19 Bortaresultat 11-19

Inbordes moten

0
Senaste 2 moten
2
Jun 10
Diamondbacks 0 - 8 Marlins
Jun 9
Diamondbacks 6 - 10 Marlins

Diamondbacks Senaste

Jun 10 @ Marlins 0-8 L
Jun 9 @ Marlins 6-10 L
Jun 7 vs Nationals 1-5 W
Jun 6 vs Nationals 6-1 L
Jun 5 vs Nationals 14-1 L

Marlins Senaste

Jun 10 vs Diamondbacks 0-8 W
Jun 9 vs Diamondbacks 6-10 W
Jun 7 vs Rays 1-4 W
Jun 6 vs Rays 3-4 W
Jun 5 vs Rays 6-0 L

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