Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets — Mar 28, 2026 | AI-prognos & statistik

The Mets’ revamped lineup already proved it can ambush good pitching, and Mitch Keller will find himself navigating traffic from the outset. Juan Soto opens the scoring with a first-inning RBI single, and a third-inning two-run blast by Francisco Alvarez puts New York in control. Keller settles enough to complete five innings, but hands off a 4-2 deficit to a bullpen that was overworked on Opening Day and is thin on fresh high-leverage arms. David Peterson mixes his sinker/slider effectively against a predominantly right-handed Pirate order. Pittsburgh scratches out single tallies in the 2nd (Ryan O’Hearn homer) and 4th (Brandon Lowe sac fly), but Peterson strands six runners through six frames, exiting with a 4-2 lead. New York tacks on insurance against the middle of the Pirate pen: a Jorge Polanco RBI knock in the 7th and a Carson Benge pinch-hit sac fly in the 8th push the margin to 6-4. Brandon Lowe’s eighth-inning solo shot off lefty Brooks Raley keeps it interesting, yet Devin Williams slams the door with a clean ninth, showcasing the airbender for his first save of 2026. Bottom line: the Mets’ deeper, more balanced offense and a better-rested relief corps give them the edge, while Pittsburgh’s pitching staff still reels from Opening Day’s meltdown.