Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees — Apr 5, 2026 | AI-prognos & statistik

Max Fried has started 2026 in dominant form, carrying a sub-1.00 WHIP and having yet to allow an earned run through two outings. His heavy ground-ball profile matches up well against a Marlins lineup that has been streaky and is left-hand–leaning in its middle order. Look for Fried to cruise through the first three frames while piling up early strikeouts, finally giving up a single tally in the 4th when Owen Caissie ambushes a first-pitch fastball with two outs. Chris Paddack enters with an 18.00 ERA after being ambushed by the White Sox, and the Yankees’ on-base machines should force him into deep counts from the jump. Ben Rice and Giancarlo Stanton are scorching; Rice’s gap double and Stanton’s RBI single drive two in the 1st. Aaron Judge adds a solo blast in the 3rd, and Paddack is gone after four stress-filled innings. New York’s deep bullpen—rested after yesterday’s multi-inning bridge from Tim Hill and Jake Bird—hands the ball from Cam Schlittler to David Bednar without incident, yielding only a 7th-inning scratch run on a Xavier Edwards bunt-and-run sequence. Meanwhile, Miami’s relief corps is forced into action early; inherited runners score in the 6th and 8th when Paul Goldschmidt laces a two-run double down the left-field line. The Yankees’ superior starting pitching, relentless top-of-the-order on-base pressure, and airtight late-inning relief spell a 6–2 victory that caps a sweep and cements their grip on first place.