Tillbaka till matcher Mandag, Maj 4, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays — Maj 4, 2026 | AI-prognos & statistik

Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
72°F, Dome
0 mph, None
W Nick Martinez L Eric Lauer SV Bryan Baker

Resultattavla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Blue Jays 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 0
Rays 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 5 11 0

AI-PROGNOSNeuralt natverk prognos

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Blue Jays 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 3
Rays 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Rays favored
The Tampa Bay Rays enter this matchup riding a scorching three-game winning streak against San Francisco, showcasing the kind of opportunistic offense that has propelled them to a 21-12 record. Nick Martinez continues his dominant 2026 campaign with a 1.70 ERA across 37 innings, relying heavily on his sinker-changeup combination that has kept hitters off balance. His recent velocity readings show consistency in the low-90s, and his 1.00 WHIP suggests excellent command of the strike zone. The Rays' offense has been led by Yandy Díaz's .333 batting average and Junior Caminero's nine home runs, providing a potent combination of contact hitting and power. Toronto presents an intriguing puzzle with their 'TBD' starter designation, creating significant uncertainty in what should be a crucial early-season road test. The Blue Jays have struggled away from home at 6-10, but Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s .331 average and Kazuma Okamoto's developing power stroke (8 HRs, 20 RBI) give them offensive upside. The recent activation of George Springer adds another veteran presence, though the team's -14 run differential suggests underlying issues. With key pitchers like José Berríos, Max Scherzer, and Shane Bieber on the IL, Toronto's rotation depth remains a major concern. The Rays' injury list is equally concerning, with eight pitchers sidelined including Ryan Pepiot and Steven Wilson on 60-day IL stints. However, their recent offensive surge and Martinez's stellar form create a favorable setup at home. Tropicana Field's controlled environment should benefit both Martinez's precision pitching and the Rays' contact-oriented approach. The unknown quantity of Toronto's starter could work in Tampa Bay's favor, as their patient hitters led by Díaz have shown excellent plate discipline this season. With the Rays winning nine of their last ten games and Toronto coming off a disappointing loss to Minnesota, momentum clearly favors the home team in what should be a competitive but ultimately manageable victory for Tampa Bay.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Martinez allows one early but settles in, Rays capitalize on TBD starter struggles
Middle (4-6) 3R Both teams manufacture runs through small ball and defensive miscues
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens tighten up with Rays adding insurance in ninth

Matchup Analysis

Rays

Nick Martinez dominant form (1.70 ERA)
Hot hitting streak (9-1 last 10)
Strong home record (11-4)
Pitching depth concerns with multiple IL arms
Lack of power outside Caminero/Díaz

Blue Jays

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hitting .331
Kazuma Okamoto power potential
Recent offensive explosions
TBD starter creates uncertainty
Poor road record (6-10)
Inconsistent pitching staff

Risk Factors

Unknown Toronto starter could surprise
Rays' pitching depth severely tested by injuries

Key Matchups

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Nick Martinez batter Vlad's .331 average vs Martinez's changeup-heavy approach
Yandy Díaz vs TBD batter Díaz's .333 average exploits unknown pitcher preparation

Statistical Edges

First to Score Blue Jays 65%
Strikeouts 12 10-15
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

The game opens with Toronto's mystery starter taking the mound under the bright lights of Tropicana Field, facing immediate pressure from Yandy Díaz and the patient Rays lineup. Martinez establishes his rhythm early, using his signature changeup to retire Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Kazuma Okamoto in order through the first inning. The Blue Jays strike first in the third when Ernie Clement singles and scores on a Guerrero Jr. double, capitalizing on a rare Martinez mistake pitch. Tampa Bay responds in the second inning as Junior Caminero works a walk and Taylor Walls drives him home with a clutch two-out single. The fourth inning proves decisive when Nick Fortes leads off with a double, Yandy Díaz singles him to third, and Ryan Vilade delivers a two-run single to give the Rays their first lead. Martinez settles into a groove, retiring 12 of the next 15 batters while mixing his six-pitch repertoire effectively against Toronto's struggling offense. The late innings see both bullpens tighten the screws, with Garrett Cleavinger making his return from injury to hold a narrow lead. Toronto scratches across single runs in the seventh and eighth through small ball and defensive pressure, but the Rays answer with an insurance run in the ninth when Caminero launches his tenth home run of the season. Martinez earns his third win of the season, having allowed just three runs while demonstrating why he's been Tampa Bay's most reliable starter through the early season.
The confidence level reflects Nick Martinez's dominant form against an uncertain Toronto starter, but the unknown pitching matchup and both teams' injury-depleted rosters create enough variables to prevent higher certainty. Tampa Bay's recent hot streak and home-field advantage provide the edge in what should be a competitive game.
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Toronto Blue Jays — Trupp

SpelarePos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Yohendrick Piñango
LF .50003.526.556
Kazuma Okamoto
3B .236922.322.465
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B .331216.416.431
Jesús Sánchez
RF .250415.288.398
Ernie Clement
2B .29019.315.406
Daulton Varsho
DH .23549.307.400
Myles Straw
CF .29626.371.444
Andrés Giménez
SS .259316.287.405
Brandon Valenzuela
C .20836.255.396

Tampa Bay Rays — Trupp

SpelarePos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson
LF .29907.329.336
Junior Caminero
3B .258916.347.492
Cedric Mullins
CF .13529.195.231
Yandy Díaz
DH .322521.410.488
Jonathan Aranda
1B .268728.363.472
Jonny DeLuca
RF .278213.307.444
Ben Williamson
2B .256010.323.333
Nick Fortes
C .26418.304.356
Taylor Walls
SS .19706.296.239

Poängsituationer

1
Ryan Vilade homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Chandler Simpson scores. Junior Caminero scores.
0-3
3
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Yohendrick Piñango scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 2nd.
1-3
6
Taylor Walls singles on a line drive to center fielder Myles Straw. Jonathan Aranda scores. Ben Williamson scores. Nick Fortes to 2nd.
1-5

Toronto Blue Jays — Slagstatistik

SpelareABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
5130000.5001.082
Kazuma Okamoto3B
4010120.236.787
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
4011010.331.847
Jesús SánchezRF
4010000.250.686
Ernie Clement2B
4010000.290.721
Daulton VarshoDH
4000030.235.707
Myles StrawCF
3010100.296.815
Andrés GiménezSS
4010000.259.692
Brandon ValenzuelaC
4010020.208.651
Totalt361101280
BATTING
2B: Piñango (1, Seymour, I).
TB: Clement; Giménez; Guerrero Jr.; Okamoto; Piñango 4; Straw; Sánchez, J; Valenzuela.
RBI: Guerrero Jr. (16).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Okamoto; Guerrero Jr.; Giménez; Clement 2.
GIDP: Giménez.
Team RISP: 1-for-8.
Team LOB: 10.
FIELDING
DP: (Giménez-Clement-Guerrero Jr.).

Tampa Bay Rays — Slagstatistik

SpelareABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Chandler SimpsonLF
4110010.299.665
Junior Caminero3B
3100110.258.839
Cedric MullinsCF
2010000.135.426
Yandy DíazDH
4000000.322.898
Jonathan Aranda1B
4130010.268.835
Jonny DeLucaRF
4010010.278.751
Ben Williamson2B
4120000.256.656
Nick FortesC
3010010.264.660
Taylor WallsSS
3012000.197.535
Totalt335115151
BATTING
HR: Vilade (1, 1st inning off Lauer, 2 on, 0 out).
TB: Aranda 3; DeLuca; Fortes; Mullins; Simpson; Vilade 4; Walls; Williamson 2.
RBI: Vilade 3 (9); Walls 2 (6).
2-out RBI: Walls 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Simpson; Walls.
GIDP: DeLuca.
Team RISP: 3-for-6.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
CS: Mullins (3, 2nd base by Nance/Valenzuela).
FIELDING
DP: (Williamson-Walls-Aranda).
a-Flied out for Vilade in the 5th.

Toronto Blue Jays — Kaststatistik

KastareIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Eric Lauer(L, 1-4)
4.153312161-446.03
Spencer Miles
1.132201027-183.50
Mason Fluharty
0.11000106-66.57
Tommy Nance
1.010001013-94.41
Joe Mantiply
1.010000017-122.63

Tampa Bay Rays — Kaststatistik

KastareIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nick Martinez(W, 3-1)
5.051114071-511.71
Ian Seymour(H, 8)
1.120012028-195.40
Kevin Kelly
0.20000107-43.68
Cole Sulser
1.000001010-62.89
Casey Legumina
0.230000017-133.77
Bryan Baker(S, 9)
0.10000003-22.63

Matchinfo

Domare: Home Plate: David Rackley; First Base: Chris Guccione; Second Base: Nestor Ceja; Third Base: Charlie Ramos
Arena: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Väder: 72°F, Dome
Vind: 0 mph, None

Toronto Blue Jays — Nyheter

Tampa Bay Rays — Nyheter

Sasongsjamforelse

Blue Jays
STAT
Rays
29-33 Resultat 36-23
46.8% Win % 61.0%
.468 PCT .610
250 Runs for 273
262 Runs emot 268
62 Spelade matcher 59
L4 Svit L3
4-6 Senaste 10 2-8
17-13 Hemmaresultat 21-9
12-20 Bortaresultat 15-14

Inbordes moten

1
Senaste 5 moten
4
Maj 13
Rays 3 - 5 Blue Jays
Maj 12
Rays 7 - 6 Blue Jays
Maj 11
Rays 8 - 5 Blue Jays
Maj 6
Blue Jays 0 - 3 Rays
Maj 5
Blue Jays 3 - 4 Rays

Blue Jays Senaste

Jun 3 @ Braves 3-7 L
Jun 2 @ Braves 3-4 L
Maj 31 @ Orioles 5-9 L
Maj 30 @ Orioles 5-6 L
Maj 29 @ Orioles 6-5 W

Rays Senaste

Jun 3 vs Tigers 7-2 L
Jun 2 vs Tigers 8-0 L
Jun 1 vs Tigers 10-9 L
Maj 31 vs Angels 2-5 W
Maj 30 vs Angels 14-3 L

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