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Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals — Maj 15, 2026 | AI-prognos & statistik

Nationals Park, Washington
71°F, Partly Cloudy
4 mph, In From LF
W Zack Littell L Shane Baz SV Richard Lovelady

Resultattavla

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Orioles 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 6 0
Nationals 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 - 3 6 0

AI-PROGNOSNeuralt natverk prognos

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Orioles 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 2 6
Nationals 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 68% Orioles favored
This interleague matchup features two teams struggling with pitching depth and consistency. Shane Baz brings superior velocity and strikeout stuff compared to Zack Littell, but both starters enter with concerning peripherals. Baz's 5.48 ERA masks better underlying metrics with his 7.71 K/9 rate, while Littell's 6.94 ERA and alarming 1.68 WHIP suggest continued struggles await. The Orioles' recent 7-0 shutout victory over the Yankees provides momentum, though their 8-12 road record remains problematic. Washington's offensive surge behind CJ Abrams (9 HR, .296 avg) offers hope, but their 6-13 home record tells a troubling story. The Nationals just suffered a brutal 15-1 loss to Cincinnati, highlighting their volatility. Baltimore's lineup features power threats in Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso, both capable of exploiting Littell's tendency to leave pitches elevated in the zone. The Orioles' extensive injury list - including key pieces like Jackson Holliday, Ryan Mountcastle, and Jordan Westburg - has depleted their depth significantly. Both bullpens enter this contest showing wear from recent heavy usage. Washington's relief corps has been overworked covering for their struggling rotation, while Baltimore's pen carries a concerning 5.16 ERA. The winner likely emerges from whichever starter can provide more length, giving their bullpen crucial rest. Weather conditions appear neutral with overcast skies and moderate northwest winds unlikely to significantly impact play at Nationals Park. The Orioles' superior starting pitching matchup and recent momentum against quality opposition like the Yankees provides the edge in what projects as a competitive, offense-friendly contest. Both teams desperately need wins to climb back toward .500, but Baltimore's slight pitching advantage should prove decisive in a game likely decided by 1-2 runs.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters struggle early with command issues
Middle (4-6) 4R Orioles capitalize on Littell's high pitch count
Late (7-9) 4R Bullpens enter tired from recent usage patterns

Matchup Analysis

Nationals

CJ Abrams power surge (9 HR)
Better recent offensive output
Home field advantage
Zack Littell's 6.94 ERA
Terrible home record (6-13)
Depleted pitching depth

Orioles

Shane Baz higher strikeout rate
Gunnar Henderson power potential
Coming off shutout win vs Yankees
Poor road record (8-12)
Baz's control issues (3.86 BB/9)
Extensive injury list

Risk Factors

Both starters unreliable
Weather could affect ball carry

Key Matchups

CJ Abrams vs Shane Baz batter Abrams hot vs power fastballs
Gunnar Henderson vs Zack Littell batter Henderson crushing mistake pitches
Pete Alonso vs Zack Littell batter Alonso's power vs struggling righty

Statistical Edges

First to Score Orioles 62%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

Shane Baz takes the mound with his 96.5 mph fastball humming under the lights at Nationals Park, immediately challenging the Nationals' aggressive approach. The Orioles strike first in the opening frame when Gunnar Henderson works a walk and Pete Alonso drives him home with a double off the right field wall, exposing Zack Littell's early command issues. Washington responds in the second as CJ Abrams continues his hot streak, launching a solo homer to left center field off Baz's elevated knuckle curve. The middle innings become a test of endurance as both starters labor through high pitch counts. Littell surrenders a two-run fourth inning when Baltimore strings together three consecutive singles, including an RBI knock from Taylor Ward. The Nationals answer with a two-run rally of their own in the fourth, highlighted by Luis García Jr.'s clutch two-out single. Baz settles into a rhythm through the fifth and sixth, but Washington adds another run in the sixth on Jacob Young's sacrifice fly. The decisive moments arrive in the late innings as both bullpens enter the fray. Baltimore breaks the 4-4 deadlock in the seventh when Henderson connects on a hanging slider from the Nationals' reliever. The Orioles pad their lead in the ninth with a two-run rally sparked by consecutive doubles, sealing a 6-5 victory that showcases their offensive depth despite the extensive injury list. Baz earns his second win of the season, while Littell's struggles continue as Washington's rotation woes persist in this entertaining back-and-forth affair.
The confidence level reflects Baltimore's superior starting pitching matchup with Baz over Littell, but both teams' inconsistency and injury concerns create significant uncertainty. Recent form slightly favors the Orioles after their strong showing against the Yankees.
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Baltimore Orioles — Trupp

SpelarePos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson
SS .202922.256.399
Taylor Ward
LF .265112.425.374
Adley Rutschman
C .278624.325.528
Pete Alonso
1B .213823.304.414
Samuel Basallo
DH .279516.343.475
Tyler O'Neill
RF .16916.316.231
Leody Taveras
PH .248219.356.376
Coby Mayo
3B .179416.250.321
Jeremiah Jackson
2B .241625.259.406

Washington Nationals — Trupp

SpelarePos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
James Wood
RF .2341229.379.509
Luis García Jr.
DH .267322.297.427
Curtis Mead
1B .231415.352.440
CJ Abrams
SS .291936.387.525
Daylen Lile
LF .274724.335.463
Nasim Nuñez
2B .202014.310.226
Jorbit Vivas
3B .25003.344.300
Drew Millas
C .17116.237.257
Jacob Young
CF .213317.263.307

Poängsituationer

4
Brady House out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. CJ Abrams scores.
0-1
6
Daylen Lile homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Curtis Mead scores.
0-3
9
Jeremiah Jackson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder James Wood. Samuel Basallo scores.
1-3
9
Gunnar Henderson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Tyler O'Neill scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd.
2-3

Baltimore Orioles — Slagstatistik

SpelareABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Gunnar HendersonSS
5021010.202.655
Taylor WardLF
4010100.265.799
Adley RutschmanC
5000030.278.853
Pete Alonso1B
4000010.213.718
Samuel BasalloDH
3110120.279.818
Tyler O'NeillRF
3100110.169.547
Leody TaverasPH
0000100.248.732
Coby Mayo3B
3010020.179.571
Jeremiah Jackson2B
3011000.241.665
Totalt322625100
BATTING
2B: Henderson (8, Littell); Jackson, J (4, Alvarez).
TB: Basallo; Henderson 3; Jackson, J 2; Mayo; Ward.
RBI: Henderson (22); Jackson, J (25).
2-out RBI: Henderson.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Henderson 2; Mayo; Rutschman 2; Ward 2.
SF: Jackson, J.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 10.
a-Grounded out for Cowser in the 7th.
b-Walked for Alexander in the 9th.

Washington Nationals — Slagstatistik

SpelareABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
James WoodRF
4010010.234.888
Luis García Jr.DH
4000010.267.724
Curtis Mead1B
3110100.231.792
CJ AbramsSS
4110010.291.912
Daylen LileLF
4132001.274.798
Nasim Nuñez2B
0000000.202.536
Jorbit Vivas3B
1000200.250.644
Drew MillasC
3000010.171.494
Jacob YoungCF
3000000.213.570
Totalt29363351
BATTING
2B: Lile (12, Baz).
HR: Lile (7, 6th inning off Baz, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Abrams; Lile 7; Mead; Wood.
RBI: House (22); Lile 2 (24).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Young 2.
SF: House.
Team RISP: 0-for-3.
Team LOB: 6.

Baltimore Orioles — Kaststatistik

KastareIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Shane Baz(L, 1-5)
7.0633341108-695.26
Josh Walker
1.00000109-70.00

Washington Nationals — Kaststatistik

KastareIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Zack Littell(W, 2-4)
5.020023087-496.10
Andrew Alvarez(H, 1)
3.032215048-272.45
Gus Varland(H, 5)
0.20001109-54.32
Richard Lovelady(S, 2)
0.110011011-61.96

Matchinfo

Domare: Home Plate: John Tumpane; First Base: Chris Conroy; Second Base: Brennan Miller; Third Base: Ben May
Arena: Nationals Park, Washington
Väder: 71°F, Partly Cloudy
Vind: 4 mph, In From LF

Baltimore Orioles — Nyheter

Washington Nationals — Nyheter

Sasongsjamforelse

Orioles
STAT
Nationals
39-46 Resultat 43-42
45.9% Win % 50.6%
.459 PCT .506
392 Runs for 449
418 Runs emot 444
85 Spelade matcher 85
L2 Svit W2
4-6 Senaste 10 4-6
23-21 Hemmaresultat 17-25
16-25 Bortaresultat 26-17

Inbordes moten

2
Senaste 5 moten
3
Jun 28
Nationals 6 - 4 Orioles
Jun 27
Nationals 4 - 3 Orioles
Jun 26
Nationals 1 - 3 Orioles
Maj 17
Orioles 7 - 3 Nationals
Maj 16
Orioles 3 - 13 Nationals

Orioles Senaste

Jun 28 vs Nationals 6-4 L
Jun 27 vs Nationals 4-3 L
Jun 26 vs Nationals 1-3 W
Jun 24 @ Angels 6-7 L
Jun 23 @ Angels 1-5 L

Nationals Senaste

Jun 28 @ Orioles 6-4 W
Jun 27 @ Orioles 4-3 W
Jun 26 @ Orioles 1-3 L
Jun 25 vs Phillies 10-5 L
Jun 24 vs Phillies 5-4 L

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