Spat na zapasy Utorok, Jún 2, 2026

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox — Jún 2, 2026 | AI predpoveď a štatistiky

Fenway Park, Boston
73°F, Partly Cloudy
2 mph, L To R
W Shane Baz L Connelly Early SV Rico Garcia

Vysledkova tabula

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Orioles 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 9 0
Red Sox 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 5 0

AI PREDIKCIAPrognoza neuronovej siete

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Orioles 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 5
Red Sox 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 4
Confidence: 65% Orioles favored
This AL East clash at Fenway features two teams heading in opposite directions despite similar records. Baltimore enters with momentum from a 7-3 stretch and consecutive wins over Toronto, while Boston rides a modest two-game winning streak after explosive offensive performances against Cleveland. The pitching matchup heavily favors the Orioles, with Shane Baz's mid-90s fastball and plus knuckle curve facing Boston's Connelly Early, a soft-tossing lefty whose 89 mph average velocity and limited pitch mix make him vulnerable against Baltimore's power-heavy lineup. Baltimore's offensive core of Gunnar Henderson (13 HR), Pete Alonso (11 HR), and emerging threats like Leody Taveras gives them multiple ways to attack Early's pedestrian stuff. Henderson's pull-heavy approach particularly suits Fenway's short left field, while Alonso has historically dominated left-handed pitching. Boston counters with Willson Contreras (.286, 11 HR, 33 RBI) as their primary threat, alongside the surging Wilyer Abreu (.284, 6 HR). However, Boston's depleted rotation—missing Garrett Crochet, Tanner Houck, Kutter Crawford, and Garrett Whitlock—forces them to rely heavily on depth pieces like Early. The bullpen advantage clearly tilts toward Baltimore, despite both teams' struggles with run prevention. Boston's pen has been overworked covering for injured starters, while Baltimore has better late-game options available. The Orioles' superior power numbers (275 runs scored vs Boston's 231) and better recent offensive form should prove decisive, especially if they can work deep counts against Early's limited repertoire. Baltimore's road struggles (9-17) represent the primary concern, but their overall talent edge and Boston's pitching depth issues make them the logical favorite despite playing at historically challenging Fenway Park.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Both starters vulnerable early with control issues
Middle (4-6) 3R Moderate production as pitchers settle but bullpens enter
Late (7-9) 4R Baltimore's superior power breaks through against Boston's depleted pen

Matchup Analysis

Red Sox

Recent offensive surge (18 runs in last 2 games)
Willson Contreras power bat
Fenway Park home field advantage
Decimated pitching staff with multiple IL arms
Poor home record (9-19)
Below .500 record with negative run differential

Orioles

Superior power lineup with Henderson and Alonso
Better recent form (7-3 in last 10)
Shane Baz's high-velocity stuff
Terrible road record (9-17)
Poor run prevention (313 runs allowed)
Baz's control issues (3.78 BB/9)

Risk Factors

Both starting pitchers have recent control concerns
Baltimore's historically poor road performance

Key Matchups

Gunnar Henderson vs Connelly Early batter 13 HR power vs soft-tossing lefty
Willson Contreras vs Shane Baz batter Elite contact vs hard thrower with control issues
Pete Alonso vs Connelly Early batter RH power vs LHP with limited stuff

Statistical Edges

First to Score Orioles 60%
Strikeouts 12 10-14
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Shane Baz establishes his velocity advantage early, but Willson Contreras works a leadoff walk in the bottom of the first before Baz settles in. Baltimore strikes first when Gunnar Henderson turns on an Early fastball in the second inning, launching his 14th home run over the Green Monster. Boston responds immediately in the bottom half as Wilyer Abreu doubles off the wall and scores on an Isiah Kiner-Falefa single to tie it 1-1. The game remains tight through the middle innings as both starters battle command issues. Baltimore breaks through in the fifth when Pete Alonso works a two-out walk and Taylor Ward delivers an RBI double into the gap. They extend the lead in the sixth on back-to-back singles and a sacrifice fly, making it 3-1. Boston rallies in the seventh against Baltimore's bullpen, loading the bases with one out before Contreras delivers a clutch two-run single to tie it 3-3. The tie doesn't last long as Henderson strikes again in the eighth with his second home run of the night, a majestic two-run shot that puts Baltimore ahead 5-3. Boston manages one more run in the ninth on an Abreu solo homer, but Baltimore's bullpen closes out a 5-4 victory that showcases their superior power and late-game execution.
The confidence level reflects Baltimore's clear advantages in starting pitching velocity and overall power, but Boston's recent offensive surge and Fenway's unpredictable nature create enough uncertainty to prevent higher confidence. Baltimore's road struggles also introduce legitimate concern despite their talent edge.
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Baltimore Orioles — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Taylor Ward
LF .243217.393.339
Gunnar Henderson
SS .2201332.273.427
Adley Rutschman
C .253729.337.462
Pete Alonso
1B .2411238.321.448
Samuel Basallo
DH .282925.343.509
Jeremiah Jackson
2B .246626.264.395
Colton Cowser
RF .223418.307.357
Leody Taveras
CF .275222.368.396
Blaze Alexander
3B .273115.324.359

Boston Red Sox — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jarren Duran
LF .2191033.285.416
Ceddanne Rafaela
CF .279523.343.431
Wilyer Abreu
RF .280625.344.422
Willson Contreras
1B .2811133.381.497
Masataka Yoshida
DH .250110.338.345
Mickey Gasper
C .33303.373.389
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2B .299111.365.364
Marcelo Mayer
SS .222214.284.297
Caleb Durbin
3B .186122.251.287

Skórovacie akcie

1
Wilyer Abreu out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Jarren Duran scores.
0-1
2
Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Coby Mayo homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.
1-1
3
Pete Alonso homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Adley Rutschman scores.
3-1
4
Blaze Alexander out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Tyler O'Neill scores.
4-1
5
Marcelo Mayer out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Mickey Gasper scores.
4-2

Baltimore Orioles — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Taylor WardLF
4000130.243.732
Gunnar HendersonSS
4010000.220.700
Adley RutschmanC
3110100.253.799
Pete Alonso1B
4122011.241.769
Samuel BasalloDH
4010020.282.852
Jeremiah Jackson2B
0000000.246.659
Colton CowserRF
2000010.223.664
Leody TaverasCF
3010020.275.764
Blaze Alexander3B
3011000.273.683
Celkovo334942112
BATTING
2B: Henderson (12, Early).
HR: Mayo (7, 2nd inning off Early, 0 on, 0 out); Alonso (12, 3rd inning off Early, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Alexander; Alonso 5; Basallo; Henderson 2; Mayo 4; O'Neill; Rutschman; Taveras, L.
RBI: Alexander (15); Alonso 2 (38); Mayo (20).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mayo; Ward; Basallo 2.
SAC: Taveras, L.
SF: Alexander.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: O'Neill (1, 2nd base off Early/Gasper); Alexander (7, 2nd base off Samaniego, T/Gasper).
FIELDING
DP: (Mayo-Alexander-Alonso).
a-Popped out for O'Neill in the 6th.

Boston Red Sox — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jarren DuranLF
4110030.219.701
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
4020000.279.774
Wilyer AbreuRF
3001010.280.766
Willson Contreras1B
3000120.281.878
Masataka YoshidaDH
4000030.250.683
Mickey GasperC
3110100.333.762
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
3000000.299.729
Marcelo MayerSS
2001000.222.581
Caleb Durbin3B
3010000.186.538
Celkovo29252290
BATTING
2B: Durbin (12, Baz).
3B: Duran, Ja (2, Baz).
TB: Duran, Ja 3; Durbin 2; Gasper; Rafaela 2.
RBI: Abreu, W (25); Mayer (14).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Duran, Ja.
SF: Abreu, W; Mayer.
GIDP: Kiner-Falefa.
Team RISP: 0-for-3.
Team LOB: 4.

Baltimore Orioles — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Shane Baz(W, 3-5)
7.042226094-644.29
Andrew Kittredge(H, 2)
1.010001011-116.94
Rico Garcia(S, 4)
1.000002014-100.68

Boston Red Sox — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Connelly Early(L, 5-3)
5.164416296-643.26
Greg Weissert
1.200003025-153.96
Tyler Samaniego
2.030012034-212.66

Informácie o zápase

Rozhodcovia: Home Plate: Tripp Gibson; First Base: Ryan Blakney; Second Base: Marvin Hudson; Third Base: Nick Mahrley
Štadión: Fenway Park, Boston
Počasie: 73°F, Partly Cloudy
Vietor: 2 mph, L To R

Baltimore Orioles — Spravy

Boston Red Sox — Spravy

Porovnanie sezon

Orioles
STAT
Red Sox
29-32 Bilancia 25-34
47.5% Win % 42.4%
.475 PCT .424
279 Ziskane body 233
315 Inkasovane body 240
61 Odohrane zapasy 59
W3 Séria L1
7-3 Posledných 10 3-7
19-15 Bilancia doma 9-20
10-17 Bilancia vonku 16-14

Vzajomne zapasy

1
Poslednych 3 stretnutia
2
Apr 26
Red Sox 5 - 3 Orioles
Apr 25
Red Sox 17 - 1 Orioles
Apr 24
Red Sox 3 - 10 Orioles

Orioles Nedavne

Máj 31 vs Blue Jays 5-9 W
Máj 30 vs Blue Jays 5-6 W
Máj 29 vs Blue Jays 6-5 L
Máj 28 vs Blue Jays 2-1 L
Máj 27 vs Rays 2-11 W

Red Sox Nedavne

Máj 31 @ Guardians 9-4 W
Máj 30 @ Guardians 9-1 W
Máj 29 @ Guardians 3-4 L
Máj 28 vs Braves 10-2 L
Máj 27 vs Braves 0-8 W

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