Spat na zapasy Stvrtok, Máj 21, 2026

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins — Máj 21, 2026 | AI predpoveď a štatistiky

loanDepot park, Miami
72°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Spencer Strider L Sandy Alcantara

Vysledkova tabula

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Braves 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 2 1 9 13 0
Marlins 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 3 6 0

AI PREDIKCIAPrognoza neuronovej siete

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Braves 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 5
Marlins 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4
Confidence: 78% Braves favored
This matchup features two aces with contrasting styles as Spencer Strider brings his devastating slider arsenal to face Sandy Alcantara's sinker-heavy attack. Strider has been dominant with a 2.46 ERA and elite strikeout numbers, while Alcantara is working his way back to Cy Young form with a 3.53 ERA and improved command. The Braves enter with tremendous momentum, sporting a 34-16 record and +98 run differential, having taken two of three games from Miami already this series. Atlanta's offense has been clicking with Matt Olson providing consistent power (14 HRs, 41 RBIs) and Ozzie Albies contributing solid production. The recent activation of Ronald Acuña Jr. adds another dynamic element, though he's still finding his timing after the IL stint. Miami sits at 22-28 but has shown flashes, particularly from Xavier Edwards (.322 avg) and Otto Lopez (.337 avg), though their supporting cast has struggled mightily. The Marlins are coming off back-to-back losses in this series but did manage a dominant 12-0 victory on May 18th, showing they can explode offensively when everything clicks. The key will be whether Miami can generate enough offense early against Strider before Atlanta's superior bullpen takes over. The Braves' depth advantage becomes more pronounced in late-inning situations, where their relievers have consistently outperformed Miami's options. Weather conditions are favorable with 84°F temperatures and mostly clear skies, though the 11 mph easterly wind could affect fly balls to the gaps at loanDepot park. Atlanta's road success (18-8) and recent series dominance give them a clear edge, but baseball's unpredictability means Miami could capitalize on any early mistakes.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Strider finding command early, Alcantara settling in after leadoff trouble
Middle (4-6) 4R Miami fights back with timely hitting, Atlanta responds with bullpen advantage
Late (7-9) 3R Braves superior bullpen depth closes out tight contest

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Sandy Alcantara's elite stuff returning
Xavier Edwards and Otto Lopez hot bats
Home field advantage at loanDepot park
Bullpen depth issues
Recent offensive struggles against Atlanta

Braves

Spencer Strider's dominant strikeout ability
Superior team depth and run differential
Matt Olson's power threat
Acuña Jr. still rounding into form
Back-to-back road games fatigue

Risk Factors

Alcantara's pitch count management
Miami's recent offensive inconsistency

Key Matchups

Xavier Edwards vs Spencer Strider pitcher Strider's slider dominates contact hitters
Matt Olson vs Sandy Alcantara batter Olson's power vs Alcantara's sinker-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Braves 68%
Strikeouts 12 9-15
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Spencer Strider takes the mound with his signature high-leg kick, immediately establishing his slider as the weapon of choice against Miami's contact-heavy lineup. Xavier Edwards works a tough at-bat to lead off but falls victim to a backdoor slider for a called third strike, setting the tone for Atlanta's approach. The Braves strike first in the top of the second when Matt Olson turns on an Alcantara sinker, sending it over the left field wall for a solo homer that showcases his power against ground-ball pitchers. Miami responds in the bottom of the third as Otto Lopez doubles down the right field line and scores on a Christopher Morel sacrifice fly, evening the score at 1-1. The pivotal fourth inning sees both teams break through - Atlanta plates two runs when Ozzie Albies doubles and Mauricio Dubón drives him home with a clutch two-out single, but Miami answers immediately in the bottom half with Edwards reaching base and eventually scoring along with Lopez on a Kyle Stowers double that brings the home crowd to life. The game turns in the sixth when Miami takes their first lead as Alcantara helps his own cause with an RBI single, capitalizing on Strider's first sign of fatigue after 90+ pitches. However, Atlanta's championship-caliber bullpen takes control in the final third of the game, with their depth advantage becoming apparent as they methodically build leads in both the seventh and eighth innings through timely hitting and superior relief pitching, ultimately securing a hard-fought 5-4 victory that extends their series dominance over their division rival.
The confidence level reflects Atlanta's clear statistical advantages - their +98 run differential versus Miami's -13, superior bullpen depth, and 2-1 series lead. However, Alcantara's ace potential and Miami's occasional offensive explosions prevent higher confidence in what should be a competitive game.
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Atlanta Braves — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Eli White
RF .246210.277.410
Michael Harris II
CF .2981129.324.524
Matt Olson
1B .2741442.353.569
Ozzie Albies
2B .276827.333.439
Dominic Smith
DH .343522.367.549
Austin Riley
3B .208831.278.375
Mauricio Dubón
LF .260328.314.395
Ha-Seong Kim
SS .11501.233.115
Chadwick Tromp
C .50000.500.500

Miami Marlins — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Xavier Edwards
2B .316619.395.484
Liam Hicks
C .280942.343.478
Otto Lopez
SS .342421.373.487
Kyle Stowers
RF .22838.328.366
Jakob Marsee
CF .203314.327.316
Christopher Morel
1B .15401.214.192
Heriberto Hernández
LF .174113.273.233
Javier Sanoja
3B .248118.309.337

Skórovacie akcie

1
Michael Harris II homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.
2-0
2
Mike Yastrzemski homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.
3-0
3
Owen Caissie homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.
3-1
4
Kyle Stowers homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.
3-2
5
Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores.
5-2
6
Mike Yastrzemski doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Dominic Smith scores. Mike Yastrzemski out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Jakob Marsee to shortstop Otto Lopez to third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Christopher Morel.
6-2
7
Kyle Stowers homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.
6-3
8
Mauricio Dubón singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Ozzie Albies scores. Dominic Smith scores. Mauricio Dubón to 2nd.
8-3
9
Michael Harris II homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.
9-3

Atlanta Braves — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Eli WhiteRF
1000010.246.687
Michael Harris IICF
5223012.298.848
Matt Olson1B
5000010.274.922
Ozzie Albies2B
4110010.276.772
Dominic SmithDH
4220000.343.916
Austin Riley3B
4000030.208.653
Mauricio DubónLF
1012000.260.709
Ha-Seong KimSS
3110110.115.348
Chadwick TrompC
3010010.5001.000
Celkovo369139193
BATTING
2B: Yastrzemski (7, Alcantara, S); Smith, D (4, Gibson, C).
HR: Harris II 2 (11, 1st inning off Alcantara, S, 1 on, 0 out, 9th inning off Fairbanks, 0 on, 1 out); Yastrzemski (3, 2nd inning off Alcantara, S, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Acuña Jr. 2; Albies; Dubón; Harris II 8; Kim, Ha; Smith, D 3; Tromp; Yastrzemski 7.
RBI: Acuña Jr. 2 (11); Dubón 2 (28); Harris II 3 (29); Yastrzemski 2 (14).
2-out RBI: Yastrzemski.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Olson; Tromp.
SAC: Tromp.
GIDP: Smith, D.
Team RISP: 2-for-6.
Team LOB: 4.
BASERUNNING
SB: Kim, Ha (1, 2nd base off Gibson, C/Hicks, L).
FIELDING
DP: (Albies-Kim, Ha-Olson).
a-Singled for Yastrzemski in the 8th.

Miami Marlins — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Xavier Edwards2B
4010010.316.879
Liam HicksC
4000010.280.821
Otto LopezSS
4000020.342.860
Kyle StowersRF
4222022.228.694
Jakob MarseeCF
4000010.203.643
Christopher Morel1B
3010120.154.406
Heriberto HernándezLF
2010010.174.506
Pete FairbanksP
0000000.000.000
Javier Sanoja3B
3000010.248.646
Celkovo323632133
BATTING
HR: Caissie (4, 3rd inning off Strider, 0 on, 0 out); Stowers 2 (3, 4th inning off Strider, 0 on, 2 out, 7th inning off Strider, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Caissie 4; Edwards, X; Hernández, H; Morel, C; Stowers 8.
RBI: Caissie (20); Stowers 2 (8).
2-out RBI: Stowers.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Sanoja.
GIDP: Lopez, O.
Team RISP: 0-for-2.
Team LOB: 4.
FIELDING
Outfield assists: Marsee (Yastrzemski at 3rd base).
DP: (Lopez, O-Morel, C).
a-Singled for Caissie in the 7th.
b-Struck out for Mack in the 7th.

Atlanta Braves — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Spencer Strider(W, 2-0)
6.1433293100-653.00
Dylan Lee(H, 8)
0.21000107-60.77
Robert Suarez
1.000001011-80.42
Dylan Dodd
1.010002013-91.80

Miami Marlins — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Sandy Alcantara(L, 3-3)
6.096603294-684.00
Cade Gibson
2.032214050-3314.73
Pete Fairbanks
1.011102120-159.00

Informácie o zápase

Rozhodcovia: Home Plate: Austin Jones; First Base: Lance Barrett; Second Base: Jonathan Parra; Third Base: Mike Estabrook
Štadión: loanDepot park, Miami
Počasie: 72°F, Roof Closed
Vietor: 0 mph, None

Atlanta Braves — Spravy

Miami Marlins — Spravy

Porovnanie sezon

Braves
STAT
Marlins
41-20 Bilancia 28-34
67.2% Win % 45.2%
.672 PCT .452
320 Ziskane body 264
210 Inkasovane body 285
61 Odohrane zapasy 62
W1 Séria W2
6-4 Posledných 10 5-5
18-10 Bilancia doma 18-15
23-10 Bilancia vonku 10-19

Vzajomne zapasy

4
Poslednych 5 stretnutia
1
Máj 20
Braves 9 - 1 Marlins
Máj 19
Braves 8 - 4 Marlins
Máj 18
Braves 0 - 12 Marlins
Apr 15
Marlins 3 - 6 Braves
Apr 14
Marlins 5 - 6 Braves

Braves Nedavne

Jún 3 vs Blue Jays 3-7 W
Jún 2 vs Blue Jays 3-4 W
Máj 31 @ Reds 4-6 L
Máj 30 @ Reds 5-2 W
Máj 29 @ Reds 8-3 W

Marlins Nedavne

Jún 3 @ Nationals 4-1 W
Jún 2 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Jún 1 @ Nationals 7-3 W
Máj 31 @ Mets 1-10 L
Máj 30 @ Mets 1-6 L

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