Spat na zapasy Stvrtok, Máj 14, 2026

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers — Máj 14, 2026 | AI predpoveď a štatistiky

American Family Field, Milwaukee
63°F, Sunny
8 mph, In From LF
W Kyle Harrison L Griffin Canning

Vysledkova tabula

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Padres 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 7 2
Brewers 3 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 - 7 10 1

AI PREDIKCIAPrognoza neuronovej siete

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Padres 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Brewers 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 73% Brewers favored
This afternoon matchup at American Family Field presents a clear pitching mismatch that should favor Milwaukee. Kyle Harrison has been exceptional in his early-season starts, posting a 2.41 ERA with impressive command (1.02 WHIP) and solid strikeout numbers. His recent velocity readings show consistency, and he's coming off a strong outing against the Yankees. Meanwhile, Griffin Canning's 6.75 ERA signals significant struggles, making this a prime spot for the Brewers to bounce back from yesterday's narrow defeat. The return of Christian Yelich from the IL provides Milwaukee with another veteran bat just when they need it most, while the loss of Brandon Lockridge creates some outfield shuffling but shouldn't severely impact their offensive output. San Diego enters riding momentum from their series-opening win, but their offensive numbers remain concerning. Despite a solid record, the Padres have managed just 177 runs through 42 games, significantly fewer than Milwaukee's 202. The absence of Jake Cronenworth due to concussion symptoms removes a key middle infielder, while Luis Campusano's toe fracture further depletes their depth behind the plate. Xander Bogaerts and Jackson Merrill provide some pop, but this lineup has struggled for consistency all season. The bullpen usage patterns suggest both teams are relatively fresh, but Milwaukee's home advantage and superior starting pitching should prove decisive. Weather conditions are ideal for hitters with clear skies and minimal wind, but Harrison's command should neutralize much of the offensive potential. The key will be whether Canning can navigate through Milwaukee's improving lineup featuring Brice Turang's hot start (.304 average) and William Contreras's steady production. With both teams fighting for early-season positioning, expect Milwaukee to capitalize on their pitching advantage and home field to take this rubber game convincingly.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Harrison settles after rough first, Canning struggles with command
Middle (4-6) 3R Both pitchers find rhythm, bullpens take over late
Late (7-9) 2R Brewers capitalize on tired Padres relievers

Matchup Analysis

Brewers

Kyle Harrison's excellent form (2.41 ERA)
Strong home record (14-9)
Healthy Christian Yelich returning
Recent loss to same opponent
Missing Brandon Lockridge depth

Padres

Currently on winning streak
Better road record (12-7)
Xander Bogaerts veteran leadership
Griffin Canning's poor 6.75 ERA
Inconsistent offense (.177 team runs)
Missing Jake Cronenworth (concussion)

Risk Factors

Canning's volatility could lead to high-scoring game
Harrison's pitch count management in day game

Key Matchups

Brice Turang vs Griffin Canning batter Turang's .304 average vs Canning's struggles
Xander Bogaerts vs Kyle Harrison batter Veteran experience against young lefty
William Contreras vs Griffin Canning batter Catcher's timing advantage against struggling righty

Statistical Edges

First to Score Padres 65%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

The series finale begins with Griffin Canning immediately feeling the pressure of American Family Field's afternoon atmosphere. After walking Brice Turang to lead off the first, a wild pitch and RBI single from William Contreras puts San Diego in an early hole. Kyle Harrison responds by settling in beautifully, using his four-seam fastball and devastating slider combination to retire nine of the next ten batters he faces through the third inning. Milwaukee's breakthrough comes in the second when Christian Yelich, fresh off his IL activation, laces a double down the left field line. Andrew Vaughn follows with a clutch two-out, two-run single that gives the Brewers a 2-1 advantage. The fourth inning sees Milwaukee extend their lead when Mitchell's speed creates chaos on the basepaths, leading to another run via a throwing error. Canning's command issues persist as he labors through 4.2 innings before San Diego's bullpen takes over. The middle innings become a pitcher's duel as Harrison finds his groove, consistently hitting his spots and keeping Padres hitters off balance with his changeup. San Diego manages to scratch across a run in the fifth on a Bogaerts sacrifice fly, but Harrison's efficiency allows him to pitch into the seventh. The game's decisive moment comes in the sixth when Sal Frelick's clutch RBI single extends Milwaukee's lead to 4-2. The Brewers add insurance in the ninth against a tired Padres bullpen, with Turang driving home the final run to seal a 5-3 victory that gives Milwaukee the series win in front of their home crowd.
My confidence sits at 73% due to the significant pitching advantage Milwaukee holds with Kyle Harrison's excellent form against Griffin Canning's early-season struggles. The return of Christian Yelich provides an additional offensive boost for the home team.
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San Diego Padres — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Sung-Mun Song
SS .15403.313.231
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2B .244015.318.288
Ty France
3B .254411.284.507
Miguel Andujar
DH .289312.314.482
Gavin Sheets
1B .229616.289.458
Ramón Laureano
LF .214519.296.379
Nick Castellanos
RF .200215.233.329
Freddy Fermin
C .17603.267.230
Bryce Johnson
CF .18502.267.259

Milwaukee Brewers — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jackson Chourio
LF .28603.342.371
Joey Ortiz
SS .200111.260.244
William Contreras
DH .281326.362.392
Gary Sánchez
C .202515.356.440
Andrew Vaughn
1B .29216.433.500
Luis Rengifo
3B .220014.290.288
Garrett Mitchell
CF .216122.343.328
Sal Frelick
RF .225312.311.310
David Hamilton
2B .23207.327.253

Skórovacie akcie

1
Andrew Vaughn walks. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras to 3rd. Gary Sánchez to 2nd.
0-1
1
Luis Rengifo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. William Contreras scores. Gary Sánchez scores. Andrew Vaughn to 3rd.
0-3
2
Brice Turang doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ramón Laureano. David Hamilton scores.
0-4
2
Gary Sánchez doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Bryce Johnson. Brice Turang scores.
0-5
2
Andrew Vaughn singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Gary Sánchez scores.
0-6
4
Luis Rengifo singles on a line drive to center fielder Bryce Johnson. Andrew Vaughn scores.
0-7
9
Sung-Mun Song grounds into a force out, shortstop Joey Ortiz to second baseman David Hamilton. Nick Castellanos scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd. Bryce Johnson out at 2nd. Sung-Mun Song to 1st.
1-7

San Diego Padres — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Sung-Mun SongSS
1001100.154.544
Fernando Tatis Jr.2B
5000030.244.606
Ty France3B
1000010.254.791
Miguel AndujarDH
4010010.289.796
Gavin Sheets1B
3010100.229.747
Ramón LaureanoLF
4010020.214.675
Nick CastellanosRF
4120010.200.562
Freddy FerminC
4010000.176.497
Bryce JohnsonCF
3000120.185.526
Celkovo351713100
BATTING
2B: Andujar (9, Harrison); Castellanos, N (5, Anderson, G).
TB: Andujar 2; Castellanos, N 3; Fermin; Laureano; Machado, M; Sheets.
RBI: Song (3).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Johnson, B; Tatis Jr. 2; Sheets 2; Fermin.
Team RISP: 0-for-9.
Team LOB: 10.
FIELDING
E: Canning (1, pickoff); Fermin (4, throw).
a-Walked for Bogaerts in the 7th.

Milwaukee Brewers — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jackson ChourioLF
5000040.286.713
Joey OrtizSS
1000000.200.504
William ContrerasDH
3100210.281.754
Gary SánchezC
4211100.202.796
Andrew Vaughn1B
3122110.292.933
Luis Rengifo3B
4023000.220.578
Garrett MitchellCF
4020000.216.671
Sal FrelickRF
4010030.225.621
David Hamilton2B
3110110.232.580
Celkovo3371077110
BATTING
2B: Turang (10, Canning); Sánchez (3, Canning); Mitchell 2 (8, Marinaccio, Waldron); Vaughn (2, Marinaccio).
TB: Frelick; Hamilton, D; Mitchell 4; Rengifo 2; Sánchez 2; Turang 2; Vaughn 3.
RBI: Rengifo 3 (14); Sánchez (15); Turang (27); Vaughn 2 (6).
2-out RBI: Sánchez; Vaughn.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Frelick 3; Contreras, Wm 2; Chourio, J.
Team RISP: 6-for-16.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Hamilton, D (8, 2nd base off Marinaccio/Fermin); Mitchell (6, 2nd base off Marinaccio/Fermin).
CS: Frelick (2, 2nd base by Marinaccio/Fermin).
FIELDING
E: Vaughn (1, fielding).

San Diego Padres — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Griffin Canning(L, 0-2)
1.256642064-3310.64
Ron Marinaccio
2.141122052-294.32
Yuki Matsui
2.000013026-140.00
Matt Waldron
2.010004027-198.49

Milwaukee Brewers — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kyle Harrison(W, 4-1)
5.050007099-652.09
DL Hall
1.000011018-91.80
Grant Anderson
1.010010016-103.00
Brian Fitzpatrick
2.011012035-231.59

Informácie o zápase

Rozhodcovia: Home Plate: Lance Barksdale; First Base: Will Little; Second Base: Ryan Additon; Third Base: Ryan Wills
Štadión: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Počasie: 63°F, Sunny
Vietor: 8 mph, In From LF

San Diego Padres — Spravy

Milwaukee Brewers — Spravy

Porovnanie sezon

Padres
STAT
Brewers
35-32 Bilancia 41-25
52.2% Win % 62.1%
.522 PCT .621
255 Ziskane body 352
270 Inkasovane body 249
67 Odohrane zapasy 66
W1 Séria L2
3-7 Posledných 10 6-4
19-19 Bilancia doma 21-13
16-13 Bilancia vonku 20-12

Vzajomne zapasy

1
Poslednych 3 stretnutia
2
Máj 13
Padres 3 - 1 Brewers
Máj 12
Padres 4 - 6 Brewers
Mar 21
Padres 1 - 6 Brewers

Padres Nedavne

Jún 12 @ Orioles 3-7 L
Jún 10 vs Reds 4-5 W
Jún 9 vs Reds 5-3 L
Jún 8 vs Reds 2-6 W
Jún 7 vs Mets 7-3 L

Brewers Nedavne

Jún 12 vs Phillies 0-6 W
Jún 10 @ Athletics 3-4 L
Jún 9 @ Athletics 5-7 L
Jún 8 @ Athletics 15-14 W
Jún 7 @ Rockies 12-4 W

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