Spat na zapasy Piatok, Máj 15, 2026

New York Yankees vs New York Mets — Máj 15, 2026 | AI predpoveď a štatistiky

Citi Field, Flushing
66°F, Partly Cloudy
8 mph, L To R
W Cam Schlittler L Clay Holmes

Vysledkova tabula

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Yankees 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 10 0
Mets 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 5 1

AI PREDIKCIAPrognoza neuronovej siete

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Yankees 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 5
Mets 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 52% Mets favored
This Subway Series matchup presents a fascinating contrast between recent form and season-long performance. The Yankees enter with a significantly better record (27-17 vs 18-25) and superior run differential (+69 vs -17), but they're stumbling with a 4-6 record in their last ten games and coming off a brutal 7-0 loss to Baltimore. The Mets, meanwhile, have found their stride with three consecutive wins against Detroit, outscoring the Tigers 22-8 in that sweep. Clay Holmes makes his latest transition from elite closer to starter, bringing his signature sinker that generates ground balls at a 50.5% rate. His 1.86 ERA and 1.01 WHIP suggest he's adapting well to the role, though his 6.89 K/9 indicates he's more of a contact manager than strikeout artist. The Yankees counter with Cam Schlittler, whose limited MLB data shows impressive velocity (97+ mph fastball) but raises questions about his ability to navigate a dangerous Mets lineup that just scored 22 runs in three games. The absence of Francisco Lindor (calf strain) significantly impacts the Mets' middle infield defense and offensive production, while the Yankees are without Giancarlo Stanton and Jasson Domínguez. Aaron Judge remains the game's most dangerous hitter with 16 home runs, but Juan Soto's presence in the Mets lineup adds another elite bat to their recent surge.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Holmes settling in after first inning struggles
Middle (4-6) 4R Key hitting matchups favor both offenses in innings 4-6
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle determines outcome in tight finish

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Strong recent offensive surge
Clay Holmes' ground ball approach
Home field advantage at Citi Field
Missing Francisco Lindor at shortstop
Below .500 record and negative run differential

Yankees

Superior overall record and run differential
Aaron Judge leading powerful lineup
Better bullpen depth
Recent offensive slump
Cam Schlittler lacks MLB track record
Road struggles this season

Risk Factors

Schlittler's inexperience in big market
Holmes converting from reliever role

Key Matchups

Aaron Judge vs Clay Holmes batter Judge's power vs Holmes' sinker-heavy approach
Juan Soto vs Cam Schlittler batter Soto's plate discipline against young pitcher
Cody Bellinger vs Clay Holmes batter Lefty-righty matchup favors experienced Bellinger

Statistical Edges

First to Score Yankees 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

The game opens with Schlittler's velocity immediately catching attention, but Aaron Judge works a leadoff walk and eventually scores on a Paul Goldschmidt sacrifice fly for an early 1-0 Yankees lead. Holmes responds by inducing three straight ground balls, showcasing the sinker effectiveness that's made his transition successful. The Mets answer in the second inning when Juan Soto drives a 2-1 fastball into the left-center gap for an RBI double, knotting the score at 1-1. The pivotal third inning sees the Yankees capitalize on Schlittler's inexperience as Judge launches a towering home run to left field, followed by Cody Bellinger's RBI single that extends the lead to 3-1. Holmes navigates through the middle innings with his ground-ball approach, but the Mets chip away with a two-run fourth inning rally sparked by Tyrone Taylor's clutch two-out single. The game remains tight into the late innings, with both bullpens engaged in a chess match. The decisive moment comes in the bottom of the sixth when the Mets manufacture a run through small ball, taking advantage of the Yankees' defensive positioning. Despite the Yankees' superior season record, the Mets' recent hot streak and home field advantage prove decisive as they complete their three-game winning streak with a hard-fought 5-5 victory that goes to extra innings before the home team prevails.
The confidence level reflects the contrasting trajectories of these teams and the pitching uncertainty. While the Yankees have the better overall record, the Mets' recent offensive explosion and Holmes' successful transition give them enough edge at home to warrant a slight lean, though the margin is razor-thin.
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New York Yankees — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trent Grisham
CF .169626.302.352
Ben Rice
1B .3141430.418.686
Aaron Judge
RF .2671630.401.609
Cody Bellinger
LF .270530.374.472
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B .217416.295.344
Ryan McMahon
3B .190313.266.293
Spencer Jones
DH .18802.316.188
Anthony Volpe
SS .00000.429.000
Austin Wells
C .17335.298.269

New York Mets — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
RF .230313.288.333
Bo Bichette
SS .213218.264.275
Juan Soto
LF .271614.363.495
Mark Vientos
1B .234619.278.419
MJ Melendez
DH .25026.344.446
Brett Baty
3B .230216.303.341
Marcus Semien
2B .229314.291.325
A.J. Ewing
CF .25013.438.667
Luis Torrens
C .20408.259.278

Skórovacie akcie

3
Cody Bellinger doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Ben Rice scores. Aaron Judge to 3rd.
1-0
3
Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (8) on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger scores.
3-0
5
Spencer Jones singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.
4-0
7
Juan Soto homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.
4-1
9
Ben Rice homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.
5-1
9
Brett Baty singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. MJ Melendez scores.
5-2

New York Yankees — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trent GrishamCF
5000020.169.654
Ben Rice1B
5231011.3141.104
Aaron JudgeRF
4110010.2671.010
Cody BellingerLF
5111010.270.846
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
4132100.217.639
Ryan McMahon3B
4000020.190.559
Spencer JonesDH
4021010.188.504
Anthony VolpeSS
1000310.000.429
Austin WellsC
4000020.173.567
Celkovo3651054111
BATTING
2B: Bellinger (11, Holmes, C); Chisholm Jr. (8, Holmes, C).
HR: Rice (14, 9th inning off Kimbrel, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Bellinger 2; Chisholm Jr. 4; Jones, S 2; Judge; Rice 6.
RBI: Bellinger (30); Chisholm Jr. 2 (16); Jones, S (2); Rice (30).
2-out RBI: Jones, S; Bellinger; Chisholm Jr. 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Wells, A; McMahon; Volpe; Judge 2.
Team RISP: 4-for-10.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Chisholm Jr. (12, 3rd base off Holmes, C/Torrens).
PO: Chisholm Jr. (1st base by Kimbrel).
FIELDING
DP: (Chisholm Jr.-Volpe-Rice).

New York Mets — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeRF
4000010.230.621
Bo BichetteSS
4000010.213.539
Juan SotoLF
3111121.271.858
Mark Vientos1B
4000000.234.697
MJ MelendezDH
4110030.250.790
Brett Baty3B
3021110.230.644
Marcus Semien2B
3010110.229.616
A.J. EwingCF
3000010.2501.105
Luis TorrensC
3000000.204.537
Celkovo312523101
BATTING
HR: Soto, J (6, 7th inning off Schlittler, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Baty 2; Melendez, M; Semien; Soto, J 4.
RBI: Baty (16); Soto, J (14).
2-out RBI: Baty.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Ewing 2.
GIDP: Vientos.
Team RISP: 1-for-2.
Team LOB: 5.
FIELDING
E: Torrens (1, catcher interference).
Pickoffs: Kimbrel (Chisholm Jr. at 1st base).

New York Yankees — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Cam Schlittler(W, 6-1)
6.2211291106-711.35
Fernando Cruz(H, 7)
1.110001015-92.50
David Bednar
1.021110021-133.79

New York Mets — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Clay Holmes(L, 4-4)
4.174428095-582.39
Austin Warren
1.210012033-160.71
Tobias Myers
2.000011025-183.25
Craig Kimbrel
1.021100117-116.35

Informácie o zápase

Rozhodcovia: Home Plate: Adam Beck; First Base: Jonathan Parra; Second Base: Jeremie Rehak; Third Base: Dan Iassogna
Štadión: Citi Field, Flushing
Počasie: 66°F, Partly Cloudy
Vietor: 8 mph, L To R

New York Yankees — Spravy

New York Mets — Spravy

Porovnanie sezon

Yankees
STAT
Mets
48-35 Bilancia 35-49
57.8% Win % 41.7%
.578 PCT .417
409 Ziskane body 339
308 Inkasovane body 384
83 Odohrane zapasy 84
L4 Séria L1
3-7 Posledných 10 2-8
22-15 Bilancia doma 19-24
26-20 Bilancia vonku 16-25

Vzajomne zapasy

0
Poslednych 2 stretnutia
2
Máj 17
Yankees 6 - 7 Mets
Máj 16
Yankees 3 - 6 Mets

Yankees Nedavne

Jún 28 @ Red Sox 4-5 L
Jún 27 @ Red Sox 1-4 L
Jún 26 @ Red Sox 1-6 L
Jún 25 @ Red Sox 3-6 L
Jún 24 @ Tigers 4-2 W

Mets Nedavne

Jún 28 vs Phillies 5-4 L
Jún 27 vs Phillies 2-6 W
Jún 26 vs Phillies 2-1 L
Jún 25 vs Cubs 4-3 L
Jún 24 vs Cubs 10-5 L

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