Spat na zapasy Nedela, Júl 19, 2026

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies — Júl 19, 2026 | AI predpoveď a štatistiky

Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
80°F, Partly Cloudy
14 mph, In From LF
W Nolan McLean L Alan Rangel

Vysledkova tabula

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mets 2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 14 0
Phillies 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 6 0

AI PREDIKCIAPrognoza neuronovej siete

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mets 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 3
Phillies 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 5
Confidence: 62% Phillies favored
The rubber game of this three-game NL East set at Citizens Bank Park features a significant pitching disparity that still leans Philadelphia's way on paper. Alan Rangel, the Phillies' nominal starter, is working with just 12 innings of MLB track record — a 4.50 ERA that flatters what is essentially an audition under live fire. His average fastball sits around 87 mph, and his changeup-heavy approach will be tested severely by the upper third of New York's order, particularly Juan Soto, who is putting together an elite individual season (.292/.21 HR) in the middle of a rebuilding Mets club. Nolan McLean offers genuine swing-and-miss upside — 106 strikeouts in 89.1 innings with a 10.68 K/9 — but his 3.43 BB/9 walk rate is a liability against a patient Phillies lineup that can punish free passes. Brandon Marsh (.297 AVG, 15 HR, 46 RBI) has been Philadelphia's best offensive performer, and Trea Turner's speed creates pressure even when his bat has been inconsistent (.236). The Mets' bullpen situation is precarious. Holmes (60-day IL), Núñez (Tommy John recovery), Hagenman (rib fracture), and Garrett (60-day IL) are all unavailable. After McLean exits, New York's relief corps is thin. Conversely, Philadelphia's pen — despite losing Keller to a UCL tear — features Seth Johnson fresh off a recall from Lehigh Valley. Citizens Bank Park's 84-degree day game in clear conditions traditionally plays favorable for hitters, but with two arms keeping velocity reasonable, the total should stay manageable. Phillies took Game 2 emphatically 6-1 and carry momentum into the series finale.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R McLean sharp early, Rangel settles in
Middle (4-6) 3R Phillies lineup grinds for contact
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpen pens slam door on Mets

Matchup Analysis

Phillies

Brandon Marsh hot bat
Home field advantage
Strong rotation depth
Negative run differential
Rangel thin track record

Mets

McLean high-K arm
Juan Soto elite presence
Semien activated
Depleted bullpen corps
Team-wide .214 average

Risk Factors

Rangel limited sample size
Mets in sell-mode, unpredictable

Key Matchups

Trea Turner vs Nolan McLean pitcher McLean's sinker/sweeper combo neutralizes Turner's pull tendency
Juan Soto vs Alan Rangel batter Rangel's 86-mph avg velo is soft enough for Soto to punish
Brandon Marsh vs Nolan McLean batter Marsh's .297 AVG and hot streak offsets McLean's stuff

Statistical Edges

First to Score Phillies 57%
Strikeouts 17 14-21
Total Runs 8 6-11

Game Preview

Under a blazing July sun at Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies look to close out the Mets in three games as Alan Rangel toes the slab against Nolan McLean. Rangel gets through the first inning on soft contact, but the Phillies draw blood immediately when Trea Turner works a leadoff walk in the bottom half and Brandon Marsh — who has been the team's offensive engine all month — drives him home with a line drive to left-center. The lead is comfortable but fragile with Soto lurking. McLean settles in with his mid-90s sinker and punishes Philadelphia's middle of the order through the third and fourth innings, keeping the game close as the Mets scratch back on a Luis Torrens RBI single in the second. The back-and-forth nature continues through five innings — Rangel surprisingly surviving on his cambio while the Phillies tack on incrementally. By the sixth, Philadelphia holds a 4-2 edge as Rangel is lifted after 5.1 innings and the bullpen inherits a lead. The Mets piece together a run in the seventh off a depleted Philadelphia pen, but Seth Johnson and the rest of Philly's relievers close the door in the eighth and ninth. Soto reaches twice but is stranded both times as the Phillies' bullpen advantage proves decisive. Philadelphia takes the series 2-1, maintaining their grip on second place in the NL East while the Mets continue fielding trade calls on McLean ahead of the deadline.
Rangel's thin sample and soft stuff vs. Soto introduces real variance. McLean is the better arm but his walk rate invites trouble. Phillies home advantage and superior bullpen depth tips the balance, but this is far from a lock.
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New York Mets — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
A.J. Ewing
CF .276725.346.433
Juan Soto
DH .2902152.409.552
Bo Bichette
3B .2531051.300.370
Francisco Lindor
SS .220615.304.390
Carson Benge
RF .2611138.323.396
Tyrone Taylor
LF .230718.265.452
Marcus Semien
2B .207929.264.331
Brett Baty
1B .224532.298.324
Luis Torrens
C .223219.287.325

Philadelphia Phillies — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trea Turner
SS .2421235.292.375
Kyle Schwarber
DH .2533361.368.561
Bryce Harper
1B .2582059.363.490
Brandon Marsh
RF .2931546.332.476
Alec Bohm
3B .2191249.279.361
Bryson Stott
2B .248742.307.393
J.T. Realmuto
C .214733.295.349
Edmundo Sosa
LF .224525.262.368
Justin Crawford
CF .256221.305.344

Skórovacie akcie

1
Francisco Lindor homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Bichette scores.
2-0
2
Luis Torrens doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Brett Baty scores.
3-0
2
Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to right fielder Gabriel Rincones Jr. Luis Torrens scores. Juan Soto to 3rd. Bo Bichette to 2nd.
4-0
2
Carson Benge out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Gabriel Rincones Jr. Juan Soto scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd. Francisco Lindor to 2nd.
5-0
6
Juan Soto singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Luis Torrens scores. A.J. Ewing to 3rd.
6-0
7
Alec Bohm homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.
6-1

New York Mets — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
A.J. EwingCF
6020020.276.779
Juan SotoDH
5121100.290.961
Bo Bichette3B
5120110.253.670
Francisco LindorSS
3133201.220.694
Carson BengeRF
3011110.261.719
Tyrone TaylorLF
2010100.230.717
Marcus Semien2B
5000040.207.595
Brett Baty1B
5110000.224.622
Luis TorrensC
4221100.223.612
Celkovo396146781
BATTING
2B: Torrens (11, Rangel); Taylor, T (7, Mayza); Lindor (4, Johnson, S).
HR: Lindor (6, 1st inning off Rangel, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Baty; Benge; Bichette 2; Ewing 2; Lindor 7; Soto, J 2; Taylor, T 2; Torrens 3.
RBI: Benge (38); Lindor 3 (15); Soto, J (52); Torrens (19).
2-out RBI: Lindor 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Baty 2; Soto, J; Benge; Taylor, T 2; Semien; Young, J 2.
SF: Benge.
Team RISP: 3-for-14.
Team LOB: 15.
BASERUNNING
CS: Taylor, T (2, 3rd base by Mayza/Realmuto).
PO: Taylor, T (2nd base by Mayza).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Lindor-Semien-Young, J; Bichette-Semien-Baty).
a-Doubled for Young, J in the 5th.

Philadelphia Phillies — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trea TurnerSS
3010120.242.667
Kyle SchwarberDH
3000120.253.929
Bryce Harper1B
4000030.258.853
Brandon MarshRF
4010000.293.808
Alec Bohm3B
4121021.219.640
Bryson Stott2B
3010110.248.700
J.T. RealmutoC
4010010.214.644
Edmundo SosaLF
1000000.224.630
Justin CrawfordCF
3000020.256.649
Celkovo311613141
BATTING
2B: Turner (17, McLean).
HR: Bohm (12, 7th inning off Minter, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Bohm 5; Marsh; Realmuto; Stott; Turner 2.
RBI: Bohm (49).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Harper, B; Realmuto.
GIDP: Realmuto; Sosa, E.
Team RISP: 0-for-6.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
Pickoffs: Mayza (Taylor, T at 2nd base).
a-Grounded into a double play for Rincones Jr. in the 7th.

New York Mets — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nolan McLean(W, 7-6)
6.0200210093-603.34
A.J. Minter
1.031100114-91.80
Huascar Brazobán
1.000012022-162.64
Cionel Pérez
1.010002018-115.59

Philadelphia Phillies — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Alan Rangel(L, 0-3)
4.075534191-635.40
Tim Mayza
1.041101022-133.71
Max Lazar
1.210021042-245.63
Seth Johnson
1.110022031-176.14
Jhoan Duran
1.010000022-131.34

Informácie o zápase

Rozhodcovia: Home Plate: Felix Neon; First Base: Carlos Torres; Second Base: Dan Iassogna; Third Base: Adam Beck
Štadión: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Počasie: 80°F, Partly Cloudy
Vietor: 14 mph, In From LF

New York Mets — Spravy

Porovnanie sezon

Mets
STAT
Phillies
41-58 Bilancia 55-44
41.4% Win % 55.6%
.414 PCT .556
403 Ziskane body 431
470 Inkasovane body 439
99 Odohrane zapasy 99
L1 Séria W1
5-5 Posledných 10 5-5
21-28 Bilancia doma 26-22
20-30 Bilancia vonku 29-22

Vzajomne zapasy

2
Poslednych 5 stretnutia
3
Júl 18
Mets 1 - 6 Phillies
Júl 16
Mets 4 - 1 Phillies
Jún 28
Phillies 5 - 4 Mets
Jún 27
Phillies 2 - 6 Mets
Jún 26
Phillies 2 - 1 Mets

Mets Nedavne

Júl 18 @ Phillies 1-6 L
Júl 16 @ Phillies 4-1 W
Júl 12 vs Red Sox 3-2 L
Júl 11 vs Red Sox 4-0 L
Júl 10 vs Red Sox 6-2 L

Phillies Nedavne

Júl 18 vs Mets 1-6 W
Júl 16 vs Mets 4-1 L
Júl 12 @ Tigers 5-0 W
Júl 11 @ Tigers 4-2 W
Júl 10 @ Tigers 2-10 L

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