Spat na zapasy Utorok, Júl 7, 2026

Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals — Júl 7, 2026 | AI predpoveď a štatistiky

Nationals Park, Washington
82°F, Cloudy
4 mph, In From RF
W Steven Okert L Andrew Alvarez SV Josh Hader

Vysledkova tabula

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Astros 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 6 6 1
Nationals 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 11 0

AI PREDIKCIAPrognoza neuronovej siete

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Astros 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 5
Nationals 1 0 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 7
Confidence: 57% Nationals favored
Tonight's rematch at Nationals Park follows a wild 12-11 Washington win on Monday, and the pitching matchup suggests more offense is likely. Andrew Alvarez takes the mound for the Nationals with a respectable 3.44 ERA but a concerning 1.47 WHIP that indicates he's living dangerously. His three-start pitch counts of 74, 88, and 68 suggest he's being managed carefully, and his 88-89 mph average velo shows he's not overpowering anyone. Still, his diverse pitch mix — four-seam, curveball, slider, sinker — gives him deception value against the Astros' lineup. For Houston, Tatsuya Imai enters with a bloated 6.14 ERA and an alarming 5.59 BB/9. His stuff is electric — 94.9 mph fastball and a dominant 44% slider — but the command issues are real and recurring. Washington's lineup, featuring James Wood (23 HR), Luis García Jr. (.282/.19 HR/64 RBI), and Daylen Lile, is built to capitalize on free passes and mistake pitches. Imai's last start lasted just 57 pitches, a sign of ongoing volatility. Both bullpens are stretched. Washington has lost Herz, Parker, Irvin, Gray, Williams, and Waldichuk to injury, forcing the club to claim Matt Krook and activate Eddy Yean this week. Houston's pen is also short-staffed with McCullers, Blanco, Sousa, and Wesneski all unavailable. Cristian Javier was just activated July 3rd off the 60-day IL and may be a factor but on a tight leash. The Nationals' home struggles (19-27) are a concern, but Washington showed resilience in Monday's comeback, and García Jr. and Wood provide a legitimate middle-of-the-order threat.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Imai's walks invite early Nats pressure
Middle (4-6) 5R Bullpens tested; Alvarez fades around 60 pitches
Late (7-9) 3R Thin pens allow late damage on both sides

Matchup Analysis

Nationals

James Wood power threat
García Jr. RBI production
Strong away-to-home narrative
Decimated rotation depth
Poor home record 19-27

Astros

Yordan Alvarez elite bat
Walker power vs. lefties
Imai high strikeout upside
Imai 6.14 ERA, wild control
Negative run differential -45

Risk Factors

High-scoring game likely
Nationals' depleted pitching staff

Key Matchups

Yordan Alvarez vs Andrew Alvarez batter Yordan crushes soft-contact arms; .320 avg vs. similar velocity profiles
James Wood vs Tatsuya Imai batter Wood's 23 HR power exploits Imai's 5.59 BB/9 walk-heavy approach
Luis García Jr. vs Tatsuya Imai batter García's .282 avg and 19 HR vs. Imai's inconsistent slider control

Statistical Edges

First to Score Nationals 55%
Strikeouts 17 13-21
Total Runs 12 9-16

Game Preview

Andrew Alvarez toes the rubber under overcast Nationals Park skies, facing an Astros lineup still stinging from Monday's blown lead. Washington wastes no time in the first, as Luis García Jr. draws a walk off Imai and James Wood follows with an RBI double to right-center, giving the Nationals an early 1-0 edge. The crowd senses another offensive night brewing. Imai settles through the second but unravels in the third, issuing back-to-back walks before Daylen Lile deposits a two-run single into left field. Down 3-1, the Astros respond in the fourth when Yordan Alvarez — the one consistent force in Houston's lineup — turns on an Andrew Alvarez sinker and drives it over the left-center fence for a two-run blast, cutting the deficit to 3-3. Christian Walker follows with a solo shot to make it 4-3 Astros momentarily. But Washington answers in the sixth as the bullpens take over. García Jr. strokes an RBI single to retie it, and a wild pitch scores the go-ahead run in a sloppy frame for Houston's shorthanded relief corps. The Nationals' bullpen — itself cobbled together — holds just enough in the seventh and eighth, with a Wood RBI groundout in the eighth padding the lead to 7-5. Houston threatens with Yordan coming up in the ninth but strands two runners, and Washington walks away with its second straight win over the Astros.
Both starters are volatile and both bullpens are depleted, making the outcome highly fluid. Imai's control issues give Washington a real edge, but Yordan Alvarez alone can flip this game. Moderate confidence at 57.
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Houston Astros — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Braden Shewmake
2B .25639.272.423
Yordan Alvarez
DH .3132967.420.621
Isaac Paredes
3B .2501247.344.415
Christian Walker
1B .2422058.319.472
Cam Smith
RF .2231132.300.379
Taylor Trammell
LF .243311.308.393
Brice Matthews
CF .199721.253.338
Nick Allen
SS .24119.293.313
Christian Vázquez
C .220421.275.327

Washington Nationals — Súpiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
James Wood
RF .2702561.400.549
Andrés Chaparro
1B .15717.306.275
Curtis Mead
3B .2431542.335.486
CJ Abrams
DH .2761965.354.509
Dylan Crews
PH .225618.279.369
Daylen Lile
LF .2501043.302.407
Nasim Nuñez
SS .247128.331.297
Jorbit Vivas
2B .247316.323.341
José Tena
PH .239519.303.411

Skórovacie akcie

1
James Wood homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-1
2
Nick Allen out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder James Wood. Christian Walker scores. Cam Smith to 3rd.
1-1
3
CJ Abrams out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brice Matthews. James Wood scores.
1-2
4
Nick Allen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Daylen Lile. Christian Walker scores. Zach Dezenzo scores. Brice Matthews to 2nd.
3-2
4
Christian Vázquez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Brice Matthews scores.
4-2
6
Christian Vázquez singles on a line drive to right fielder James Wood. Zach Dezenzo scores. Nick Allen to 3rd.
5-2
8
Jose Altuve homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.
6-2
9
José Tena homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.
6-3

Houston Astros — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Braden Shewmake2B
0000000.256.695
Yordan AlvarezDH
5000010.3131.041
Isaac Paredes3B
5010020.250.759
Christian Walker1B
2210100.242.791
Cam SmithRF
3000200.223.679
Taylor TrammellLF
0000000.243.701
Brice MatthewsCF
3110110.199.591
Nick AllenSS
2013110.241.606
Christian VázquezC
3012010.220.602
Celkovo30666781
BATTING
HR: Altuve (10, 8th inning off Cornelio, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Allen, N; Altuve 4; Matthews; Paredes; Vázquez, C; Walker, C.
RBI: Allen, N 3 (9); Altuve (26); Vázquez, C 2 (21).
2-out RBI: Vázquez, C; Altuve.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Matthews 2; Vázquez, C; Altuve 3.
SF: Allen, N; Vázquez, C.
GIDP: Smith.
Team RISP: 3-for-11.
Team LOB: 8.
BASERUNNING
SB: Matthews (3, 3rd base off Alvarez/Ruiz, K); Allen, N (2, 2nd base off Alvarez/Ruiz, K); Dezenzo (1, 2nd base off Alvarez/Ruiz, K); Vázquez, C (1, 2nd base off Lawrence, J/Ruiz, K).
FIELDING
E: Allen, N (2, throw).

Washington Nationals — Pálkovanie

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
James WoodRF
4221111.270.949
Andrés Chaparro1B
2000020.157.581
Curtis Mead3B
5020010.243.821
CJ AbramsDH
2011200.276.863
Dylan CrewsPH
1000010.225.648
Daylen LileLF
4000030.250.709
Nasim NuñezSS
4020010.247.628
Jorbit Vivas2B
4010000.247.664
José TenaPH
1111001.239.714
Celkovo3631134102
BATTING
2B: Mead (13, King, B).
HR: Wood (25, 1st inning off Imai, 0 on, 0 out); Tena (5, 9th inning off Santa, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Abrams; García Jr., L 2; Mead 3; Nuñez, N 2; Tena 4; Vivas; Wood 5.
RBI: Abrams (65); Tena (19); Wood (61).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Wood; Crews 2; Ruiz, K; Abrams; Lile.
SF: Abrams.
Team RISP: 0-for-7.
Team LOB: 11.
BASERUNNING
CS: Nuñez, N (4, 2nd base by Abreu, B/Vázquez, C).
FIELDING
DP: (Vivas-Chaparro).
a-Struck out for García Jr., L in the 7th.
b-Homered for Young in the 9th.
c-Struck out for Ruiz, K in the 9th.

Houston Astros — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tatsuya Imai
3.242233184-526.06
Steven Okert(W, 2-1)
1.110003017-132.42
Enyel De Los Santos(H, 8)
1.010000013-84.54
Bryan King(H, 12)
1.01000109-62.03
Bryan Abreu
1.01000109-75.70
Alimber Santa
0.221101119-131.35
Josh Hader(S, 10)
0.110011013-70.59

Washington Nationals — Nadhadzovanie

NadhadzovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Andrew Alvarez(L, 2-2)
5.245553097-553.64
Justin Lawrence
0.10000107-57.67
Matt Krook
0.210011023-1414.54
Riley Cornelio
1.111103120-147.82
Carson Palmquist
1.000010016-107.11

Informácie o zápase

Rozhodcovia: Home Plate: Shane Livensparger; First Base: Mark Ripperger; Second Base: Brock Ballou; Third Base: Dan Merzel
Štadión: Nationals Park, Washington
Počasie: 82°F, Cloudy
Vietor: 4 mph, In From RF

Houston Astros — Spravy

Porovnanie sezon

Astros
STAT
Nationals
45-48 Bilancia 47-45
48.4% Win % 51.1%
.484 PCT .511
424 Ziskane body 497
469 Inkasovane body 487
93 Odohrane zapasy 92
L1 Séria W1
5-5 Posledných 10 6-4
23-24 Bilancia doma 19-27
22-24 Bilancia vonku 28-18

Vzajomne zapasy

0
Poslednych 1 stretnutia
1
Júl 6
Astros 11 - 12 Nationals

Astros Nedavne

Júl 6 @ Nationals 11-12 L
Júl 5 vs Rays 0-2 W
Júl 4 vs Rays 8-10 W
Júl 3 vs Rays 3-1 L
Júl 1 vs Twins 8-3 L

Nationals Nedavne

Júl 6 vs Astros 11-12 W
Júl 5 vs Pirates 11-5 L
Júl 4 vs Pirates 7-1 L
Júl 3 vs Pirates 5-9 W
Júl 1 @ Red Sox 10-2 W

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