Inapoi la meciuri Joi, Mai 14, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox — Mai 14, 2026 | Predicție AI și statistici

Fenway Park, Boston
54°F, Rain
2 mph, Varies
W Brad Keller L Tyler Samaniego SV Jhoan Duran

Tabela de scor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Phillies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 9 0
Red Sox 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 7 1

PREDICTIE AIPrognoza retea neuronala

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Phillies 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3
Red Sox 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 62% Red Sox favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast in pitching styles and team trajectories. Ranger Suarez brings his pinpoint command and 2.77 ERA to the mound for Boston, sporting an elite 0.95 WHIP that suggests he's been avoiding trouble all season. His recent velocity readings have been consistent, and his sinker-cutter combination plays particularly well in the cold, damp conditions expected at Fenway tonight. The Red Sox desperately need this performance given their decimated rotation - with Tanner Houck, Garrett Crochet, Kutter Crawford, and Patrick Sandoval all sidelined, Suarez represents their most reliable starting option. Jesús Luzardo counters with elite strikeout stuff but concerning control issues that have manifested in a bloated 5.77 ERA despite 11.75 K/9. His four-seam fastball sits in the high-90s, and his sweeper has been devastating against right-handed hitters, but the cold weather and potential rain could affect his grip and command. Philadelphia's offense has been more productive than Boston's this season, led by Brandon Marsh's torrid .350 start and supported by Trea Turner's veteran presence. However, their road struggles (8-11 away record) and the psychological impact of dropping yesterday's series-tying opportunity cannot be overlooked. The bullpen matchup appears relatively even, with both teams managing through various injury concerns. Boston activated Justin Slaten recently, providing some depth, while Philadelphia has been shuffling relievers with several key arms on the IL. The weather factor looms large - 54 degrees with rain threatens both pitchers' effectiveness, potentially favoring the more experienced Suarez who has shown better recent command. Boston's recent 5-5 record masks some encouraging signs, particularly their ability to manufacture runs in low-scoring games, while Philadelphia's 7-3 last ten record includes some high-scoring affairs against weaker pitching that may not translate against Suarez's precision.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Both starters settle after first-inning struggles
Middle (4-6) 2R Red Sox breakthrough against Luzardo's inconsistency
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpens duel with Philadelphia mounting late charge

Matchup Analysis

Red Sox

Ranger Suarez's elite control and ground ball tendencies
Home field advantage at pitcher-friendly Fenway
Momentum from yesterday's series-evening victory
Decimated pitching staff with multiple IL starters
Below-average offensive production this season

Phillies

Jesús Luzardo's elite strikeout rate and swing-and-miss stuff
Brandon Marsh's hot bat leading the offense
Better overall offensive production than Boston
Luzardo's alarming 5.77 ERA and home run vulnerability
Road struggles with 8-11 away record

Risk Factors

Rain delay possibility affecting both starters
Luzardo's home run tendency in cold weather

Key Matchups

Brandon Marsh vs Ranger Suarez batter Marsh's .350 average vs. lefty contact pitcher
Wilyer Abreu vs Jesús Luzardo pitcher Luzardo's sweeper dominates right-handed hitters
Trea Turner vs Ranger Suarez batter Turner's speed and contact rate trouble groundball pitchers

Statistical Edges

First to Score Phillies 58%
Strikeouts 12 10-15
Total Runs 7 5-9

Game Preview

The game opens with Philadelphia immediately testing Suarez's command, as Trea Turner works a leadoff walk and eventually scores on a Brandon Marsh RBI single, capitalizing on the veteran lefty's early feel for the strike zone. Boston responds quickly in the bottom of the second when Wilyer Abreu launches a solo homer off Luzardo's elevated four-seamer, evening the score at 1-1. The middle innings become a chess match between Suarez's location and Luzardo's power stuff, with both pitchers settling into rhythm despite the challenging conditions. The pivotal moment arrives in the fifth inning when Philadelphia's aggressive approach against Suarez backfires - after loading the bases with two outs, Connor Wong delivers a clutch two-run single that gives Boston a 3-1 lead. Luzardo's command issues resurface in the seventh when he walks the leadoff batter and allows an RBI double to extend Boston's advantage to 4-1. However, Philadelphia refuses to fold, manufacturing a run in the eighth inning through small ball and adding another in the ninth when Turner's sacrifice fly makes it 4-3, bringing the tying run to the plate with two outs before Boston's closer secures the victory in dramatic fashion.
The confidence level reflects the close nature of this matchup - while Suarez's superior command and ERA suggest an advantage, Luzardo's strikeout upside keeps Philadelphia competitive. Boston's home field edge and recent momentum from yesterday's win provide the deciding factors in what should be a tight, low-scoring affair.
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Philadelphia Phillies — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trea Turner
SS .233413.284.341
Kyle Schwarber
DH .2261830.355.610
Bryce Harper
1B .2661024.361.525
Adolis García
RF .222413.286.348
Alec Bohm
3B .194320.256.285
Brandon Marsh
LF .340421.368.486
J.T. Realmuto
C .23118.290.308
Bryson Stott
2B .221317.266.366
Justin Crawford
CF .270211.341.410

Boston Red Sox — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jarren Duran
LF .178418.233.296
Andruw Monasterio
DH .25819.313.419
Wilyer Abreu
RF .310619.385.475
Willson Contreras
1B .252823.368.455
Ceddanne Rafaela
CF .275419.342.420
Trevor Story
SS .206319.244.303
Mickey Gasper
PH .41701.462.583
Masataka Yoshida
PH .27405.391.329
Marcelo Mayer
2B .23018.296.310

Jocuri de scor

8
Kyle Schwarber homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. Trea Turner scores.
2-0
8
Phillies challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to third baseman Caleb Durbin. Alec Bohm scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.
3-0
8
Wilyer Abreu singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Andruw Monasterio scores.
3-1

Philadelphia Phillies — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trea TurnerSS
5110020.233.625
Kyle SchwarberDH
5112031.226.965
Bryce Harper1B
4010100.266.886
Adolis GarcíaRF
4000020.222.634
Alec Bohm3B
4120010.194.541
Brandon MarshLF
4010010.340.854
J.T. RealmutoC
3010020.231.598
Bryson Stott2B
2011000.221.632
Justin CrawfordCF
1000000.270.751
Total373931141
BATTING
HR: Schwarber (18, 8th inning off Samaniego, T, 1 on, 0 out).
TB: Bohm 2; Harper, B; Marsh; Realmuto; Reyes, F; Schwarber 4; Stott; Turner.
RBI: Schwarber 2 (30); Stott (17).
2-out RBI: Stott.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Turner 2; Marsh; Crawford 2.
Team RISP: 2-for-6.
Team LOB: 9.
FIELDING
Pickoffs: Luzardo (Abreu, W at 1st base).
a-Popped out for Reyes, F in the 7th.
b-Grounded into a forceout for Sosa, E in the 8th.

Boston Red Sox — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jarren DuranLF
5000010.178.529
Andruw MonasterioDH
4120010.258.732
Wilyer AbreuRF
4021000.310.860
Willson Contreras1B
4010000.252.823
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
3000010.275.762
Trevor StorySS
4000020.206.547
Mickey GasperPH
1000010.4171.045
Masataka YoshidaPH
0000100.274.720
Marcelo Mayer2B
2000020.230.606
Total321712100
BATTING
2B: Narváez (4, Luzardo); Contreras, Wn (5, Luzardo); Monasterio 2 (7, Luzardo, Alvarado); Durbin (8, Keller, B).
TB: Abreu, W 2; Contreras, Wn 2; Durbin 2; Monasterio 4; Narváez 2.
RBI: Abreu, W (19).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Duran, Ja 3; Mayer; Rafaela 2; Story.
SAC: Durbin.
Team RISP: 1-for-11.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
PO: Abreu, W (1st base by Luzardo).
FIELDING
E: Story (5, fielding).
a-Struck out for Kiner-Falefa in the 7th.
b-Struck out for Narváez in the 9th.
c-Walked for Durbin in the 9th.

Philadelphia Phillies — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jesús Luzardo
6.040014092-595.07
Brad Keller(W, 2-1)
1.010002015-103.86
José Alvarado(H, 7)
1.021101021-135.40
Jhoan Duran(S, 7)
1.000013017-121.54

Boston Red Sox — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Ranger Suarez
5.140018076-502.44
Justin Slaten
0.21000108-60.00
Garrett Whitlock
1.000002011-93.12
Tyler Samaniego(L, 0-1)
0.12220018-41.17
Zack Kelly
0.221001026-173.45
Ryan Watson
1.000002010-76.20

Informații meci

Arbitri: Home Plate: Mark Ripperger; First Base: Shane Livensparger; Second Base: Dan Merzel; Third Base: Dan Bellino
Stadion: Fenway Park, Boston
Vreme: 54°F, Rain
Vânt: 2 mph, Varies

Boston Red Sox — Stiri

Comparatie sezoane

Phillies
STAT
Red Sox
37-31 Bilant 27-39
54.4% Win % 40.9%
.544 PCT .409
276 Puncte marcate 258
290 Puncte primite 272
68 Meciuri jucate 66
W1 Serie L4
7-3 Ultimele 10 4-6
19-17 Bilant acasa 10-21
18-14 Bilant deplasare 17-18

Confruntari directe

1
Ultimele 2 intalniri
1
Mai 13
Phillies 1 - 3 Red Sox
Mai 12
Phillies 2 - 1 Red Sox

Phillies Recente

Iun 12 @ Brewers 0-6 L
Iun 10 @ Blue Jays 7-4 W
Iun 9 @ Blue Jays 2-3 L
Iun 8 @ Blue Jays 5-2 W
Iun 7 vs White Sox 5-9 W

Red Sox Recente

Iun 12 vs Rangers 1-10 W
Iun 10 @ Rays 5-7 L
Iun 9 @ Rays 3-4 L
Iun 8 @ Rays 1-3 L
Iun 7 @ Yankees 1-6 L

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