Inapoi la meciuri Miercuri, Mai 27, 2026

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets — Mai 27, 2026 | Predicție AI și statistici

Citi Field, Flushing
81°F, Partly Cloudy
9 mph, Out To RF
W Jonah Tong L Andrew Abbott SV Devin Williams

Tabela de scor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 8 2
Mets 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 - 4 7 1

PREDICTIE AIPrognoza retea neuronala

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Reds 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 5
Mets 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Confidence: 78% Reds favored
The Cincinnati Reds arrive at Citi Field riding a three-game winning streak and fresh off dominant 7-2 victories in the first two games of this series. Andrew Abbott takes the mound with a 4-2 record and 3.97 ERA, though his 4.13 BB/9 rate suggests control issues that the struggling Mets offense might not be equipped to capitalize on. Abbott's four-pitch mix, led by a 92.6 mph fastball and effective changeup, has been particularly tough on left-handed hitters like Brett Baty. The Reds' offensive catalyst Elly De La Cruz continues his breakout season with 12 home runs and 35 RBI, providing the dynamic speed-power combination that has terrorized opposing pitchers. The visiting lineup has found its rhythm against Mets pitching, scoring 14 runs across the first two games while De La Cruz and the supporting cast have consistently found ways to manufacture runs. For the Mets, this represents another critical juncture in what has become a disappointing 22-33 campaign. The absence of Francisco Lindor (calf strain) and Francisco Alvarez (meniscus tear) continues to hamstring an offense that ranks near the bottom in most statistical categories. Juan Soto's presence provides hope, but his limited action due to illness has prevented any meaningful offensive consistency. Huascar Brazobán gets the starting assignment with his impressive 1.73 ERA, though his transition from reliever to starter role brings inherent uncertainty about his ability to work deep into games. His sinker-changeup combination has been effective in shorter stints, but the Reds have shown they can make adjustments against unfamiliar arms. The Mets' bullpen situation remains precarious with multiple key arms on the injured list, including Clay Holmes and Reed Garrett on the 60-day IL. This depth crisis becomes particularly concerning if Brazobán cannot provide length, as the late-innings burden would fall on an already overworked and undermanned relief corps. The Craig Kimbrel departure further complicated matters, leaving manager Buck Showalter with limited trusted options in high-leverage situations.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Abbott settles after early contact, Brazoban delivers quality innings
Middle (4-6) 2R Both starters hand clean innings to bullpens
Late (7-9) 3R Mets bullpen depth issues lead to late Cincinnati runs

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Brazoban's 1.73 ERA and effective sinker
Citi Field home environment
Potential for late-inning rally
22-33 record with L5 streak
Missing Francisco Lindor and Alvarez
Depleted bullpen with multiple IL pitchers

Reds

29-25 record with W3 streak
Elly De La Cruz's power and speed
Recent 7-2 dominance in first two games
Abbott's 4.13 BB/9 control issues
Road record of 15-13
Missing Hunter Greene from rotation

Risk Factors

Mets desperation factor with season slipping away
Brazoban's limited MLB starting experience

Key Matchups

Elly De La Cruz vs Huascar Brazobán batter Power vs sinker specialist favors aggressive hitter
Juan Soto vs Andrew Abbott batter Elite plate discipline exploits Abbott's walk rate
Brett Baty vs Andrew Abbott pitcher Abbott's changeup effective against left-handed power

Statistical Edges

First to Score Reds 65%
Strikeouts 12 10-15
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Andrew Abbott establishes his rhythm early, working around a leadoff single by Marcus Semien in the first inning before Elly De La Cruz opens the scoring with an RBI double in the bottom half. Huascar Brazobán responds with his effective sinker, getting quick outs through the first two innings while the Mets answer back in the second when Brett Baty drives home Juan Soto with a sacrifice fly. The third inning proves decisive as the Reds break through against Brazobán. Nathaniel Lowe leads off with a double, and Matt McLain follows with a two-run homer to right-center field, putting Cincinnati ahead 3-1. Abbott settles into a groove, using his changeup to retire six straight Mets hitters while picking up three strikeouts in the process. The Reds extend their lead in the fifth when De La Cruz steals second base and scores on a wild pitch, showcasing the aggressive baserunning that has defined their recent success. Brazobán battles through five innings but reaches his pitch limit, forcing the depleted Mets bullpen into action earlier than preferred. The sixth and seventh innings become a chess match between the bullpens, with both teams getting scoreless frames from their middle relievers. However, the eighth inning exposes New York's depth issues when their setup man allows a leadoff walk and an RBI single to P.J. Higgins, pushing the Reds' advantage to 5-2. The Mets mount a final rally in the ninth, loading the bases with one out on consecutive singles and a walk, but Cincinnati's closer induces a double-play grounder from the pinch-hitter to secure the series sweep and extend the visiting team's winning streak to four games.
The 78% confidence reflects Cincinnati's clear momentum with three straight wins and their 7-2 dominance in the first two games of this series, combined with the Mets' five-game losing streak and significant injury concerns. While Brazobán's low ERA is impressive, his limited starting experience against a hot Reds lineup that has already solved Mets pitching creates a favorable matchup for the visitors.
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Cincinnati Reds — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Blake Dunn
RF .33312.393.471
Elly De La Cruz
SS .2791237.346.509
JJ Bleday
LF .276721.379.571
Sal Stewart
3B .2561236.353.473
Eugenio Suárez
DH .238313.322.371
Matt McLain
PR .199520.295.325
Spencer Steer
2B .265721.336.429
P.J. Higgins
C .29403.350.294
Dane Myers
CF .250312.358.400

New York Mets — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Carson Benge
RF .247320.310.333
Bo Bichette
SS .225527.273.317
Juan Soto
LF .3011224.392.594
Mark Vientos
1B .224623.261.376
Marcus Semien
2B .213419.264.307
A.J. Ewing
CF .25014.350.346
Jared Young
DH .34802.407.435
Brett Baty
3B .230321.306.345
Luis Torrens
C .207011.266.287

Jocuri de scor

1
Juan Soto homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.
0-1
2
Eric Wagaman homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.
0-2
3
Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to center fielder A.J. Ewing, deflected by shortstop Bo Bichette. Elly De La Cruz scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd.
1-2
5
Carson Benge singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Brett Baty scores. Luis Torrens to 3rd.
1-3
6
Sal Stewart singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Brett Baty. Tyler Stephenson scores. Blake Dunn to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.
2-3
7
Carson Benge singles on a line drive to center fielder Dane Myers. Jared Young scores.
2-4

Cincinnati Reds — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Blake DunnRF
6030010.333.864
Elly De La CruzSS
4100010.279.855
JJ BledayLF
4000100.276.950
Sal Stewart3B
4011110.256.826
Eugenio SuárezDH
3000210.238.693
Matt McLainPR
0000000.199.620
Spencer Steer2B
5010020.265.765
P.J. HigginsC
0000100.294.644
Dane MyersCF
2000010.250.758
Total36282980
BATTING
2B: Stephenson, T (6, Myers).
TB: Dunn 3; Friedl; Lowe, N; Steer; Stephenson, T 2; Stewart, S.
RBI: Lowe, N (24); Stewart, S (36).
2-out RBI: Lowe, N; Stewart, S.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Dunn 3; Suárez, E 4; Steer 2.
Team RISP: 3-for-15.
Team LOB: 17.
FIELDING
E: De La Cruz, E (5, fielding); Higgins, P (4, catcher interference).
a-Lined out for Friedl in the 7th.
1-Ran for Stephenson, T in the 7th.
2-Ran for Lowe, N in the 9th.

New York Mets — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Carson BengeRF
4022000.247.643
Bo BichetteSS
3000100.225.590
Juan SotoLF
3121001.301.986
Mark Vientos1B
4000020.224.637
Marcus Semien2B
3000110.213.571
A.J. EwingCF
4000020.250.696
Jared YoungDH
2110000.348.842
Brett Baty3B
3100000.230.651
Luis TorrensC
3010000.207.553
Total31474252
BATTING
HR: Soto, J (12, 1st inning off Abbott, A, 0 on, 2 out); Wagaman (1, 2nd inning off Abbott, A, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Benge 2; Soto, J 5; Torrens; Wagaman 4; Young, J.
RBI: Benge 2 (20); Soto, J (24); Wagaman (1).
2-out RBI: Soto, J; Benge 2; Wagaman.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Bichette; Vientos 2.
Team RISP: 2-for-6.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
CS: Soto, J (2, 2nd base by Abbott, A/Stephenson, T).
FIELDING
E: Tong (1, throw).
a-Singled for Wagaman in the 7th.

Cincinnati Reds — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Andrew Abbott(L, 4-3)
6.0532142101-673.88
Zach Maxwell
0.221110029-1627.00
Caleb Ferguson
1.100001016-110.00

New York Mets — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Huascar Brazobán
1.010012019-111.67
Jonah Tong(W, 1-0)
3.231041076-440.00
Tobias Myers(H, 3)
0.22110009-53.62
Brooks Raley(H, 9)
1.110011024-121.27
Luke Weaver(H, 7)
1.110001015-113.04
Devin Williams(S, 8)
1.000033034-216.00

Informații meci

Arbitri: Home Plate: Edwin Moscoso; First Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Second Base: Vic Carapazza; Third Base: Emil Jimenez
Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing
Vreme: 81°F, Partly Cloudy
Vânt: 9 mph, Out To RF

Cincinnati Reds — Stiri

New York Mets — Stiri

Comparatie sezoane

Reds
STAT
Mets
31-29 Bilant 26-35
51.7% Win % 42.6%
.517 PCT .426
262 Puncte marcate 244
300 Puncte primite 263
60 Meciuri jucate 61
W1 Serie L2
5-5 Ultimele 10 4-6
16-15 Bilant acasa 15-15
15-14 Bilant deplasare 11-20

Confruntari directe

2
Ultimele 2 intalniri
0
Mai 26
Reds 7 - 2 Mets
Mai 25
Reds 7 - 2 Mets

Reds Recente

Iun 2 vs Royals 3-4 W
Iun 1 vs Royals 9-2 L
Mai 31 vs Braves 4-6 W
Mai 30 vs Braves 5-2 L
Mai 29 vs Braves 8-3 L

Mets Recente

Iun 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Iun 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Mai 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
Mai 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W
Mai 29 vs Marlins 7-9 W

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