Inapoi la meciuri Duminica, Mai 31, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Seattle Mariners — Mai 31, 2026 | Predicție AI și statistici

T-Mobile Park, Seattle
63°F, Sunny
10 mph, In From LF
W Luis Castillo L Jonathan Loáisiga

Tabela de scor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 R H E
Diamondbacks 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 1
Mariners 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 11 1

PREDICTIE AIPrognoza retea neuronala

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Diamondbacks 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Mariners 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Mariners favored
This series finale features a clear pitching mismatch that heavily favors the surging Mariners. Bryce Miller enters with a stellar 2.25 ERA and has been Seattle's most reliable starter, showcasing excellent command of his four-seam fastball (97 mph) and devastating slider combination. His recent velocity readings remain strong, averaging over 90 mph with consistent spin rates around 2200 RPM. Meanwhile, Merrill Kelly has struggled significantly this season with a 5.25 ERA, though his veteran experience and diverse six-pitch mix still pose threats when executed properly. The Mariners have found their offensive rhythm during this five-game winning streak, with Randy Arozarena (.297 average, 26 RBI) providing consistent production and the lineup showing improved patience and situational hitting. Arizona counters with Corbin Carroll (.294, 7 HR) and Ildemaro Vargas (.295, 37 RBI) leading a depleted but scrappy lineup missing several key contributors to injury. The Diamondbacks' recent road struggles (13-16 away record) compound their challenges against a Seattle team that has dominated this series, outscoring Arizona 12-7 in the first two games. Seattle's bullpen depth, bolstered by Gabe Speier's recent activation from the IL, provides manager Scott Servais multiple late-game options. The pleasant 64-degree conditions and clear skies at T-Mobile Park should favor hitters slightly, but Miller's current form suggests he can navigate any offensive threats. Arizona needs Kelly to rediscover his 2024 form while hoping their lineup can solve Miller early, as falling behind in this pitching matchup could prove insurmountable given Seattle's current momentum and home-field confidence.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Miller's early command vs Kelly's first-inning struggles
Middle (4-6) 4R Both offenses finding timing in middle innings
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens settling in, Mariners rally late

Matchup Analysis

Mariners

Bryce Miller's dominant 2.25 ERA
Five-game winning streak momentum
Home field advantage at T-Mobile Park
Missing Cal Raleigh behind the plate
Depleted infield depth

Diamondbacks

Corbin Carroll and Ildemaro Vargas offensive production
Quality recent play (7-3 last ten)
Veteran presence with Merrill Kelly
Kelly's elevated 5.25 ERA this season
Poor road record (13-16)
Multiple key injuries to rotation and lineup

Risk Factors

Gabe Speier just activated from IL
Six-man rotation fatigue management

Key Matchups

Randy Arozarena vs Merrill Kelly batter Arozarena's .297 average against Kelly's struggles
Corbin Carroll vs Bryce Miller pitcher Miller's slider dominance vs Carroll's chase tendencies

Statistical Edges

First to Score Diamondbacks 58%
Strikeouts 16 14-18
Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Merrill Kelly will look to silence the T-Mobile Park crowd early, but expect Randy Arozarena to work deep counts against the veteran right-hander's diverse pitch mix. Arizona should strike first in the opening frame, with Carroll using his speed to manufacture a run after reaching base. However, Bryce Miller will settle into his dominant rhythm by the second inning, using his high-velocity fastball to set up his devastating slider against Arizona's aggressive hitters. The Mariners will respond in the bottom of the second when Arozarena drives in the equalizer, showcasing the plate discipline that has made him Seattle's most consistent offensive threat. Kelly's command issues will resurface in the fourth inning, where Seattle will capitalize with two runs as the lineup works deeper into counts and finds gaps against his changeup and cutter combination. Miller will cruise through the middle innings, retiring Arizona batters efficiently with his improved splitter complementing his primary weapons. The Diamondbacks will battle back in the fifth with Vargas driving home a run to keep pace, but Miller's pitch efficiency will allow him to work deeper into the game than Kelly. Arizona will threaten again in the eighth inning against Seattle's bullpen, pushing across another run to make things interesting, but the Mariners will answer immediately in the bottom half. With the crowd on its feet, Seattle will manufacture the decisive run in the ninth inning through smart baserunning and situational hitting, completing their series sweep and extending their winning streak to six games while sending the injury-depleted Diamondbacks to their third consecutive loss.
The pitching matchup strongly favors Seattle with Miller's 2.25 ERA against Kelly's 5.25 ERA, plus the Mariners' five-game winning streak and dominant series performance create significant momentum advantages that overcome Arizona's slightly better overall record.
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Arizona Diamondbacks — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ketel Marte
DH .262933.318.452
Corbin Carroll
RF .287728.381.535
Geraldo Perdomo
SS .224321.333.349
Nolan Arenado
3B .269727.350.451
Ryan Waldschmidt
CF .28407.346.378
Ildemaro Vargas
2B .295737.321.465
Jose Fernandez
1B .258315.290.361
Gabriel Moreno
C .265319.326.410
Tommy Troy
LF .26300.364.368

Seattle Mariners — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford
SS .220922.344.390
Julio Rodríguez
CF .2631230.319.465
Josh Naylor
1B .253524.317.344
Randy Arozarena
LF .290626.373.452
Luke Raley
RF .2801331.345.587
Cole Young
2B .244429.318.359
Victor Robles
DH .32002.320.400
Jhonny Pereda
C .23511.316.324
Colt Emerson
3B .24427.340.512

Jocuri de scor

2
Cole Young homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.
0-1
6
Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
1-1
6
Dominic Canzone homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.
1-2
8
Ketel Marte out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Gabriel Moreno scores.
2-2
10
Victor Robles singles on a ground ball to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. Randy Arozarena scores. Luke Raley to 3rd.
2-3

Arizona Diamondbacks — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ketel MarteDH
3001100.262.770
Corbin CarrollRF
4110010.287.916
Geraldo PerdomoSS
4000000.224.682
Nolan Arenado3B
4000030.269.801
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
3000120.284.724
Ildemaro Vargas2B
4010000.295.786
Jose Fernandez1B
3000000.258.651
Gabriel MorenoC
1110100.265.736
Tommy TroyLF
0000000.263.732
Total31231390
BATTING
2B: Carroll (13, Castillo, L).
TB: Carroll 2; Moreno; Vargas, I.
RBI: Marte, K (33).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Arenado; Garcia, A; Marte, K; Perdomo.
SAC: Fernandez, Jo; Tawa.
SF: Marte, K.
Team RISP: 0-for-8.
Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING
E: Garcia, A (1, catcher interference).
Outfield assists: Waldschmidt (Pereda at home).
DP: 2 (Waldschmidt-Garcia, A; Perdomo-Vargas, I-Fernandez, Jo).
a-Singled for Garcia, A in the 8th.
b-Struck out for Tawa in the 10th.

Seattle Mariners — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
J.P. CrawfordSS
4010130.220.734
Julio RodríguezCF
5000020.263.784
Josh Naylor1B
4010010.253.661
Randy ArozarenaLF
5110010.290.825
Luke RaleyRF
3010100.280.932
Cole Young2B
4111011.244.677
Victor RoblesDH
1011000.320.720
Jhonny PeredaC
4020000.235.640
Colt Emerson3B
3010110.244.852
Total363113492
BATTING
HR: Young (4, 2nd inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 0 out); Canzone (7, 6th inning off Kelly, Me, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Arozarena; Canzone 5; Crawford, J; Emerson; Naylor, J; Pereda 2; Raley, L; Robles; Young 4.
RBI: Canzone (23); Robles (2); Young (29).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Raley, L; Rodríguez, J; Crawford, J.
SAC: Young.
GIDP: Arozarena.
Team RISP: 1-for-5.
Team LOB: 13.
FIELDING
E: Naylor, J (3, throw).
1-Ran for Canzone in the 8th.

Arizona Diamondbacks — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Merrill Kelly
5.182222297-665.06
Kevin Ginkel
0.200002013-93.09
Brandyn Garcia
1.01000006-30.82
Juan Morillo
2.010015031-202.63
Jonathan Loáisiga(L, 1-2)
0.11101004-32.49

Seattle Mariners — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Bryce Miller
5.010016071-521.71
Luis Castillo(W, 2-5)(BS, 1)
5.022123071-465.53

Informații meci

Arbitri: Home Plate: Nestor Ceja; First Base: Louie Krupa; Second Base: Chris Guccione; Third Base: David Rackley
Stadion: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Vreme: 63°F, Sunny
Vânt: 10 mph, In From LF

Seattle Mariners — Stiri

Comparatie sezoane

Diamondbacks
STAT
Mariners
32-28 Bilant 33-29
53.3% Win % 53.2%
.533 PCT .532
273 Puncte marcate 266
263 Puncte primite 230
60 Meciuri jucate 62
L1 Serie W8
6-4 Ultimele 10 8-2
19-11 Bilant acasa 19-15
13-17 Bilant deplasare 14-14

Confruntari directe

0
Ultimele 2 intalniri
2
Mai 30
Diamondbacks 1 - 5 Mariners
Mai 29
Diamondbacks 6 - 7 Mariners

Diamondbacks Recente

Iun 2 vs Dodgers 6-5 L
Iun 1 vs Dodgers 1-4 W
Mai 30 @ Mariners 1-5 L
Mai 29 @ Mariners 6-7 L
Mai 27 @ Giants 3-2 W

Mariners Recente

Iun 3 vs Mets 7-1 L
Iun 2 vs Mets 3-8 W
Iun 1 vs Mets 2-3 W
Mai 30 vs Diamondbacks 1-5 W
Mai 29 vs Diamondbacks 6-7 W

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