Inapoi la meciuri Duminica, Mai 31, 2026

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals — Mai 31, 2026 | Predicție AI și statistici

Nationals Park, Washington
71°F, Sunny
4 mph, L To R
W Zack Littell L Griffin Canning SV Clayton Beeter

Tabela de scor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Padres 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 6 0
Nationals 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 - 4 9 0

PREDICTIE AIPrognoza retea neuronala

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Padres 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 4
Nationals 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 6
Confidence: 68% Nationals favored
This matchup features two struggling starters in what should be an offensive-friendly environment. Zack Littell enters with a concerning 5.23 ERA and 1.68 WHIP through 25 innings, though his recent start showed improved velocity. Griffin Canning's 7.54 ERA makes him extremely vulnerable, particularly against a Nationals offense that just exploded for nine runs yesterday. The Padres' injury list reads like a medical ward, with Jake Cronenworth (concussion), Joe Musgrove (60-day IL), and Luis Campusano (toe fracture) among the key absences weakening their depth. Washington benefits from CJ Abrams' breakout season (.291 average, 12 homers) and Luis García Jr.'s steady production (4 HR, 27 RBI). The Nationals just activated Cole Henry from the IL, potentially strengthening their bullpen depth for this series finale. Their offensive explosion yesterday (9-4 victory) suggests the lineup has found its rhythm against Padres pitching. San Diego counters with Xander Bogaerts (.240, 7 HR) and the developing Jackson Merrill, but their recent 3-7 slide indicates systematic issues beyond just pitching. The weather conditions favor offense with 75-degree temperatures and minimal wind. Both teams' bullpens have been taxed during this series, making early scoring crucial. Washington's terrible home record (11-17) creates concern, but their recent form (6-4 in last 10) and yesterday's offensive breakthrough suggest they're finding their identity. The Padres' superior overall record masks recent struggles, particularly against quality pitching staffs.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both starters struggling early with command issues
Middle (4-6) 3R Modest production as relievers settle in
Late (7-9) 3R Nationals capitalize on tired Padres bullpen

Matchup Analysis

Nationals

CJ Abrams hot streak (.291 avg, 12 HR)
Just activated Cole Henry from IL
Coming off 9-4 victory momentum
Zack Littell's 5.23 ERA and control issues
Terrible home record (11-17)

Padres

Xander Bogaerts veteran presence
Better overall record and road success
Jackson Merrill emerging talent
Griffin Canning's 7.54 ERA disaster
3-7 in last 10 games
Multiple key injuries (Musgrove, Cronenworth)

Risk Factors

Both starters have high ERAs
Weather could aid offense

Key Matchups

CJ Abrams vs Griffin Canning batter Hot hitter vs struggling pitcher
Xander Bogaerts vs Zack Littell batter Veteran vs high-ERA righty

Statistical Edges

First to Score Nationals 62%
Strikeouts 12 9-15
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

Griffin Canning will face immediate pressure in the first inning as CJ Abrams leads off for Washington, riding his hot streak. Expect the Nationals to jump on Canning's command issues early, with Abrams potentially reaching base and Luis García Jr. driving him home for a 1-0 lead. Zack Littell will counter-punch in the second, allowing a baserunner before Xander Bogaerts finds a gap to tie it 1-1. The middle innings become crucial as both starters battle their control demons. Washington breaks through in the third with a two-run rally built around patient at-bats and aggressive baserunning, taking a 3-1 advantage. Canning's high ERA catches up to him in the fourth when the Padres score twice off defensive miscues and clutch hitting from Jackson Merrill, knotting the game at 3-3. The fifth inning sees Washington regain the lead on another Abrams contribution, making it 4-3. As both teams turn to their bullpens, the Nationals' fresher arms and home crowd energy prove decisive. They add insurance runs in the seventh and ninth innings while limiting San Diego to just one more run in the seventh. The game concludes with Washington winning 6-4, completing a series victory and improving their confidence heading into June. The offensive explosion continues Washington's recent trend of high-scoring affairs while exposing San Diego's pitching depth issues.
The 68% confidence reflects Griffin Canning's awful 7.54 ERA making him extremely hittable, while Washington just scored nine runs yesterday showing their offense is clicking. However, the Nationals' poor home record and Littell's own struggles prevent higher confidence in what should be a competitive, offense-heavy game.
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San Diego Padres — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Fernando Tatis Jr.
RF .266118.340.318
Gavin Sheets
DH .245923.335.472
Manny Machado
3B .1741030.267.353
Xander Bogaerts
SS .243826.311.376
Jackson Merrill
CF .209521.282.335
Ty France
1B .286618.318.533
Nick Castellanos
LF .191420.221.339
Sung-Mun Song
2B .17404.321.217
Rodolfo Durán
C .08712.250.217

Washington Nationals — Lot

JucătorPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
James Wood
RF .2721639.411.548
Andrés Chaparro
1B .19004.370.286
Curtis Mead
3B .242825.359.492
CJ Abrams
SS .2941247.391.542
Daylen Lile
LF .249728.303.409
Jacob Young
CF .232725.290.378
José Tena
DH .225313.283.387
Nasim Nuñez
2B .189016.285.213
Keibert Ruiz
C .281525.294.518

Jocuri de scor

4
Luis García Jr. homers (5) on a line drive to center field.
0-1
5
James Wood homers (16) on a line drive to center field. Keibert Ruiz scores.
0-3
7
Ty France doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jackson Merrill to 3rd.
1-3
7
Nick Castellanos out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Jackson Merrill scores. Ty France to 3rd.
2-3
7
Andrés Chaparro doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Castellanos. Nasim Nuñez scores. James Wood to 3rd.
2-4

San Diego Padres — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
4000000.266.658
Gavin SheetsDH
4000030.245.807
Manny Machado3B
4000000.174.620
Xander BogaertsSS
3110100.243.687
Jackson MerrillCF
4130010.209.617
Ty France1B
4011010.286.851
Nick CastellanosLF
2011010.191.560
Sung-Mun Song2B
2000100.174.538
Rodolfo DuránC
0000000.087.467
Total29262380
BATTING
2B: France, T (4, Littell).
TB: Bogaerts; Castellanos, N; France, T 2; Merrill 3.
RBI: Castellanos, N (20); France, T (18).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Tatis Jr.
SF: Castellanos, N.
Team RISP: 1-for-3.
Team LOB: 4.
BASERUNNING
SB: Castellanos, N (2, 2nd base off Littell/Ruiz, K).
CS: Bogaerts (1, 2nd base by Littell/Ruiz, K); Song (1, 2nd base by Ribalta/Ruiz, K); Merrill (1, 2nd base by Beeter/Ruiz, K).
FIELDING
Pickoffs: Canning (Tena at 1st base).
DP: (Song-Bogaerts-France, T).
a-Struck out for Fermin in the 7th.

Washington Nationals — Bătaie

JucătorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
James WoodRF
3112111.272.959
Andrés Chaparro1B
1011000.190.656
Curtis Mead3B
4000010.242.851
CJ AbramsSS
4020000.294.933
Daylen LileLF
4000010.249.712
Jacob YoungCF
3000100.232.668
José TenaDH
3010110.225.670
Nasim Nuñez2B
0100000.189.498
Keibert RuizC
3120000.281.812
Total31494352
BATTING
2B: Abrams (13, Canning); Chaparro (2, Morejon).
HR: García Jr., L (5, 4th inning off Canning, 0 on, 0 out); Wood (16, 5th inning off Canning, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Abrams 3; Chaparro 2; García Jr., L 4; Ruiz, K 2; Tena; Vivas; Wood 4.
RBI: Chaparro (4); García Jr., L (30); Wood 2 (39).
2-out RBI: Chaparro.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mead 2; Tena 2.
GIDP: García Jr., L.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Young (4, 2nd base off Canning/Fermin).
PO: Tena (1st base by Canning).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Ruiz, K-Vivas; Ruiz, K-Nuñez, N).
a-Doubled for García Jr., L in the 7th.
1-Ran for Vivas in the 7th.

San Diego Padres — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Griffin Canning(L, 0-4)
5.063323277-477.16
Yuki Matsui
1.000001012-90.60
Jeremiah Estrada
0.111110012-53.20
Adrian Morejon
0.210000013-103.90
Jason Adam
1.010001019-130.90

Washington Nationals — Lansare

LansatorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Zack Littell(W, 5-4)
6.052225084-555.01
Orlando Ribalta(H, 2)
2.000012029-181.72
Clayton Beeter(S, 4)
1.010001016-92.30

Informații meci

Arbitri: Home Plate: Dan Merzel; First Base: Dan Bellino; Second Base: Mark Ripperger; Third Base: Derek Thomas
Stadion: Nationals Park, Washington
Vreme: 71°F, Sunny
Vânt: 4 mph, L To R

San Diego Padres — Stiri

Comparatie sezoane

Padres
STAT
Nationals
32-27 Bilant 31-31
54.2% Win % 50.0%
.542 PCT .500
229 Puncte marcate 330
236 Puncte primite 337
59 Meciuri jucate 62
L3 Serie L2
3-7 Ultimele 10 6-4
16-16 Bilant acasa 12-19
16-11 Bilant deplasare 19-12

Confruntari directe

1
Ultimele 2 intalniri
1
Mai 30
Padres 4 - 9 Nationals
Mai 29
Padres 7 - 5 Nationals

Padres Recente

Iun 2 @ Phillies 2-3 L
Mai 30 @ Nationals 4-9 L
Mai 29 @ Nationals 7-5 W
Mai 27 vs Phillies 3-0 L
Mai 26 vs Phillies 4-3 L

Nationals Recente

Iun 3 vs Marlins 4-1 L
Iun 2 vs Marlins 7-3 L
Iun 1 vs Marlins 7-3 L
Mai 30 vs Padres 4-9 W
Mai 29 vs Padres 7-5 L

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