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Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins — Abr 29, 2026 | Previsão IA e estatísticas

Target Field, Minneapolis
51°F, Partly Cloudy
12 mph, R To L
W Cooper Criswell L Eric Orze SV Andrés Muñoz

Placar

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mariners 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 5 7 0
Twins 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 12 0

PREVISAO AIPrognostico da Rede Neural

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 5
Twins 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Mariners favored
This afternoon matchup at Target Field features two talented young right-handers in a crucial series finale. George Kirby brings superior command and consistency for Seattle, sporting a microscopic 1.04 WHIP and excellent strike-throwing ability that should neutralize Minnesota's struggling lineup. The Twins are hitting just .196 as a team through Royce Lewis and managed only one run in yesterday's loss, making Kirby's precision attack particularly dangerous. Taj Bradley counters with electric stuff - his 9.79 K/9 demonstrates swing-and-miss potential - but his 3.44 BB/9 suggests control issues that Randy Arozarena and Will Wilson can exploit. The Mariners enter with momentum from yesterday's 7-1 victory and a strong 7-3 record over their last ten games, while Minnesota has stumbled to just 2-8 in that span. Seattle's offense, led by the red-hot Arozarena (.287 average) and the surprising Wilson (.500 average in limited action), should find opportunities against Bradley's occasional wildness. The Twins' power threats like Byron Buxton (6 HRs) and Matt Wallner provide upset potential, but their collective offensive struggles make sustained rallies unlikely. Minnesota's depleted pitching staff, missing Pablo López to Tommy John surgery and several other arms to injury, puts additional pressure on Bradley to deliver length. The 50-degree temperatures and northwest wind at Target Field could suppress offense slightly, but both starters have the stuff to dominate in favorable conditions. Seattle's bullpen depth and superior recent form give them the edge in a close, low-scoring affair that should be decided by which offense capitalizes better on limited opportunities.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Both starters finding rhythm, limited offense early
Middle (4-6) 4R Key breakthrough innings as pitch counts rise
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle determines outcome

Matchup Analysis

Twins

Byron Buxton power threat
Target Field home advantage
Taj Bradley's strikeout ability
Struggling offense (.115 team avg)
2-8 in last ten games

Mariners

George Kirby's elite command
Hot offensive form (7-3 last ten)
Randy Arozarena's clutch hitting
Road struggles (5-9 away)
Limited offensive depth with injuries

Risk Factors

Twins desperate for series win
Weather could affect ball carry

Key Matchups

Byron Buxton vs George Kirby batter Buxton's power vs Kirby's fastball-heavy approach
Randy Arozarena vs Taj Bradley batter Arozarena's hot streak against Bradley's developing breaking balls

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mariners 65%
Strikeouts 14 12-16
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

George Kirby establishes his dominance early, working around a leadoff single by James Outman to escape a first-inning threat. Seattle strikes first in the top of the second when Randy Arozarena rips a double down the left field line and scores on Mitch Garver's two-out single. Taj Bradley responds with three consecutive strikeouts in the second, showcasing his elite stuff, but walks the leadoff man in the fourth before Will Wilson drives him home with a clutch RBI single. The game's turning point comes in the fifth inning when Minnesota finally breaks through. After Josh Bell works a leadoff walk, Byron Buxton launches a towering two-run homer to left-center, giving the Twins their first lead. The crowd at Target Field erupts as Bradley pumps his fist, but Seattle answers immediately in the sixth. Arozarena leads off with his second double of the day, and after a wild pitch moves him to third, he scores on a sacrifice fly. Two batters later, Garver delivers the go-ahead RBI single, putting the Mariners back in front 4-3. The Twins tie it in the seventh on a solo homer by Matt Wallner, but Seattle's bullpen proves decisive in the late innings. The Mariners push across the winning run in the eighth on a timely two-out single, and their closer navigates a tense ninth inning with runners in scoring position to secure the series victory, 5-4.
The 72% confidence reflects Seattle's superior recent form and George Kirby's edge over Taj Bradley, but acknowledges that desperate teams at home can be dangerous. Minnesota's offensive struggles are well-documented, but their power threats keep this from being a higher-confidence play.
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Seattle Mariners — Elenco

JogadorPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford
SS .20027.366.313
Cal Raleigh
C .192718.275.392
Julio Rodríguez
CF .254212.329.349
Josh Naylor
1B .212415.286.336
Randy Arozarena
LF .289211.381.439
Luke Raley
RF .244513.301.488
Leo Rivas
DH .14907.264.189
Cole Young
2B .286319.357.420
Will Wilson
3B .20012.333.800

Minnesota Twins — Elenco

JogadorPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Byron Buxton
CF .235710.292.462
Austin Martin
LF .31116.476.426
Josh Bell
DH .224316.317.355
James Outman
RF .11100.172.185
Kody Clemens
1B .20638.299.382
Luke Keaschall
2B .222113.276.282
Victor Caratini
C .221112.312.273
Brooks Lee
SS .253517.317.432
Royce Lewis
3B .206310.315.381

Jogadas de pontuação

3
J.P. Crawford homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.
1-0
4
Brooks Lee singles on a fly ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Ryan Jeffers scores. Kody Clemens scores. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.
1-2
7
Cole Young doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Dominic Canzone scores.
2-2
8
Victor Caratini singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena, deflected by shortstop J.P. Crawford. James Outman scores.
2-3
9
Cole Young singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Randy Arozarena scores. Leo Rivas scores.
4-3
9
Cal Raleigh out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Cole Young scores. Will Wilson to 3rd.
5-3

Seattle Mariners — Rebatidas

JogadorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
J.P. CrawfordSS
3121201.200.679
Cal RaleighC
3001110.192.667
Julio RodríguezCF
5010010.254.678
Josh Naylor1B
4000010.212.622
Randy ArozarenaLF
3100110.289.820
Luke RaleyRF
4000030.244.789
Leo RivasDH
0100000.149.453
Cole Young2B
4123000.286.777
Will Wilson3B
3000110.2001.133
Totais335755101
BATTING
2B: Canzone (7, Bradley, T); Young (4, Bradley, T).
HR: Crawford, J (2, 3rd inning off Bradley, T, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Canzone 3; Crawford, J 5; Rodríguez, J; Young 3.
RBI: Crawford, J (7); Raleigh (18); Young 3 (19).
2-out RBI: Crawford, J; Young.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Rodríguez, J; Wilson, W.
SF: Raleigh.
Team RISP: 3-for-5.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Rivas (1, 2nd base off Orze/Caratini); Young (2, 2nd base off Orze/Caratini).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (2 Young-Crawford, J-Naylor, J).
1-Ran for Canzone in the 9th.

Minnesota Twins — Rebatidas

JogadorABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Byron BuxtonCF
5010010.235.754
Austin MartinLF
2000000.311.902
Josh BellDH
5000020.224.672
James OutmanRF
1100010.111.357
Kody Clemens1B
3120110.206.681
Luke Keaschall2B
4010010.222.558
Victor CaratiniC
1011000.221.585
Brooks LeeSS
4022010.253.749
Royce Lewis3B
3010100.206.696
Totais3731233100
BATTING
2B: Clemens (3, Kirby).
TB: Buxton; Caratini; Clemens 3; Jeffers 2; Keaschall; Larnach 2; Lee, B 2; Lewis, R.
RBI: Caratini (12); Lee, B 2 (17).
2-out RBI: Lee, B 2; Caratini.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Lewis, R; Buxton 2; Lee, B 2.
GIDP: Bell; Larnach.
Team RISP: 3-for-12.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Outman (4, 2nd base off Speier/Raleigh); Lee, B (2, 2nd base off Speier/Raleigh).
a-Flied out for Larnach in the 7th.
b-Singled for Wallner in the 8th.
1-Ran for Jeffers in the 8th.

Seattle Mariners — Arremesso

ArremessadorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
George Kirby
5.282225097-643.00
Eduard Bazardo
0.210000010-61.29
Jose A. Ferrer
0.200001011-71.84
Matt Brash
0.00000002-10.00
Gabe Speier
0.231112030-202.92
Cooper Criswell(W, 1-0)
0.10000003-22.51
Andrés Muñoz(S, 6)
1.000002015-96.00

Minnesota Twins — Arremesso

ArremessadorIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Taj Bradley
7.0422271114-732.85
Anthony Banda
1.000012022-148.03
Eric Orze(L, 0-1)(BS, 2)
0.123321028-135.25
Taylor Rogers
0.210000013-96.10

Informações do jogo

Árbitros: Home Plate: Dexter Kelley; First Base: Mike Muchlinski; Second Base: Gabe Morales; Third Base: Doug Eddings
Estádio: Target Field, Minneapolis
Clima: 51°F, Partly Cloudy
Vento: 12 mph, R To L

Seattle Mariners — Noticias

Minnesota Twins — Noticias

Comparacao de Temporada

Mariners
STAT
Twins
33-30 Registro 29-34
52.4% Win % 46.0%
.524 PCT .460
267 Corridas a Favor 290
237 Corridas Contra 314
63 Jogos Disputados 63
L1 Sequência L1
8-2 Últimos 10 3-7
19-16 Registro em Casa 17-15
14-14 Registro Fora 12-19

Confronto Direto

1
Ultimos 2 encontros
1
Abr 28
Mariners 7 - 1 Twins
Abr 27
Mariners 4 - 11 Twins

Mariners Recentes

Jun 3 vs Mets 7-1 L
Jun 2 vs Mets 3-8 W
Jun 1 vs Mets 2-3 W
Mai 31 vs Diamondbacks 2-3 W
Mai 30 vs Diamondbacks 1-5 W

Twins Recentes

Jun 3 vs White Sox 8-0 L
Jun 2 vs White Sox 4-6 W
Jun 1 vs White Sox 6-9 W
Mai 31 @ Pirates 3-9 L
Mai 30 @ Pirates 9-10 L

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