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Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox — Mei 17, 2026 | AI-voorspelling & statistieken

Rate Field, Chicago
75°F, Partly Cloudy
2 mph, Out To RF
W Tyler Davis L Ryan Rolison

Scorebord

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 R H E
Cubs 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 8 9 1
White Sox 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 3 0 2 9 12 1

AI-VOORSPELLINGNeuraal netwerk prognose

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cubs 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 4
White Sox 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 5
Confidence: 62% White Sox favored
This crosstown rivalry matchup features two teams heading in different directions despite yesterday's White Sox victory evening the series at 1-1. The Cubs enter as the better team on paper with a 29-17 record and impressive +43 run differential, but their 11-12 road struggles and 5-5 recent form suggest vulnerability. Chicago's pitching staff has been decimated by injuries, with Justin Steele, Jordan Wicks, and several relievers sidelined, forcing them to rely heavily on Colin Rea. While Rea has shown flashes with 36 strikeouts in 42.1 innings, his 4.68 ERA and 1.42 WHIP indicate inconsistency that the White Sox can exploit. Erick Fedde presents an intriguing case for the home side - his 3.77 ERA and 1.16 WHIP suggest much better performance than his 0-4 record indicates. The veteran right-hander has been a victim of poor run support, and with Miguel Vargas (10 HRs, 24 RBIs) and the White Sox offense showing life recently, this could be his breakthrough game. The key will be Fedde's ability to attack the Cubs' patient hitters like Michael Conforto (.333 average) and Seiya Suzuki with his sinker-cutter combination while avoiding the big inning that has plagued him. The deciding factors likely center on which team can better navigate their bullpen usage after a high-scoring series opener and yesterday's lopsided affair. The White Sox's recent 6-4 record over their last ten games, combined with their strong 13-10 home performance, gives them a slight edge in what should be a competitive affair. With overcast skies and moderate temperatures at Rate Field, conditions favor neither pitcher significantly, setting up a game where execution and timely hitting will determine the outcome.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both offenses capitalize early before pitchers settle
Middle (4-6) 3R Key breakthrough innings determine momentum
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens tighten up in crucial moments

Matchup Analysis

White Sox

Recent momentum with W1 streak
Strong home record 13-10
Miguel Vargas power threat with 10 HRs
Negative run differential (-8)
Fedde's 0-4 record despite decent peripherals

Cubs

Superior record and +43 run differential
Michael Conforto's .333 average leading offense
Colin Rea's better strikeout rate (7.65 K/9)
Poor away record 11-12
Coming off yesterday's 8-3 loss
Multiple key pitchers on IL

Risk Factors

Both teams dealing with significant IL issues
Crosstown rivalry intensity can create unpredictable results

Key Matchups

Miguel Vargas vs Colin Rea batter Power vs pitcher with elevated ERA
Michael Conforto vs Erick Fedde batter Hot .333 hitter vs struggling starter
Seiya Suzuki vs Erick Fedde batter Quality contact hitter vs low strikeout pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cubs 58%
Strikeouts 12 9-15
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The Cubs strike first in the top of the first when Michael Conforto works a leadoff walk against Erick Fedde and comes around to score on a Nico Hoerner RBI single, taking advantage of Fedde's early command issues. The White Sox respond immediately in the bottom of the second when Miguel Vargas launches a two-run homer off Colin Rea, who struggles with his fastball location early in the day game. Randal Grichuk adds an RBI single later in the inning to give Chicago a 2-1 lead. The middle innings see both starters settle into a rhythm before the Cubs break through in the fifth. Seiya Suzuki doubles with one out, and Carson Kelly drives him home with a clutch two-out single. The Cubs add another run on a wild pitch, taking a 4-2 lead that appears to put them in control. However, the White Sox refuse to fold, scratching across single runs in the seventh and eighth innings. Derek Hill's speed creates havoc on the basepaths in the seventh, eventually scoring on a Sam Antonacci sacrifice fly. Then in the eighth, with the game hanging in the balance, Vargas delivers again with a clutch RBI double that ties the game at 4-4 and sends the Rate Field crowd into a frenzy. The White Sox complete their comeback in the bottom of the eighth when Munetaka Murakami, despite his .231 average, comes through with a go-ahead RBI single, giving Chicago a 5-4 victory in this intense crosstown battle.
My 62% confidence reflects the Cubs' superior overall record being offset by their road struggles and the White Sox's recent home success. Both teams have significant pitching depth issues due to injuries, making this more of a coin flip than the standings suggest.
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Chicago Cubs — Selectie

SpelerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Nico Hoerner
2B .262429.341.390
Michael Busch
1B .232426.355.369
Alex Bregman
3B .259416.346.368
Ian Happ
LF .2281020.368.455
Seiya Suzuki
RF .258717.363.460
Michael Conforto
DH .345311.456.655
Miguel Amaya
C .24239.367.394
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CF .234520.314.374
Dansby Swanson
SS .192625.302.351

Chicago White Sox — Selectie

SpelerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Luisangel Acuña
CF .17903.239.190
Munetaka Murakami
1B .2351732.372.562
Miguel Vargas
3B .2471129.374.506
Colson Montgomery
SS .2381331.335.524
Chase Meidroth
2B .262310.335.372
Andrew Benintendi
DH .244319.297.397
Edgar Quero
C .176110.264.220
Tristan Peters
LF .257111.322.343
Derek Hill
RF .23535.316.412

Scorende acties

1
Michael Busch homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores.
2-0
1
Carson Kelly lines out to shortstop Colson Montgomery.
3-0
2
Edgar Quero singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Colson Montgomery scores. Andrew Benintendi out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong to third baseman Alex Bregman.
3-1
4
Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to second baseman Chase Meidroth, deflected by pitcher Sean Newcomb. Dansby Swanson scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd.
4-1
4
Andrew Benintendi doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Miguel Vargas scores.
4-2
5
Miguel Vargas doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Tristan Peters scores. Munetaka Murakami scores.
4-4
8
Tristan Peters homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Andrew Benintendi scores. Edgar Quero scores.
4-7
9
Michael Conforto homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Alex Bregman scores. Seiya Suzuki scores.
7-7
10
Alex Bregman grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Dansby Swanson scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Michael Busch to 2nd.
8-7
10
Edgar Quero homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Chase Meidroth scores.
8-9

Chicago Cubs — Slag

SpelerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Nico Hoerner2B
4110200.262.731
Michael Busch1B
4112211.232.724
Alex Bregman3B
5222100.259.714
Ian HappLF
5000120.228.823
Seiya SuzukiRF
6110020.258.823
Michael ConfortoDH
4123101.3451.111
Miguel AmayaC
1000000.242.761
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
3000000.234.688
Dansby SwansonSS
3210110.192.653
Totalen38897962
BATTING
2B: Kelly, C (6, Fedde).
HR: Busch (4, 1st inning off Fedde, 1 on, 0 out); Conforto (3, 9th inning off Domínguez, 2 on, 1 out).
TB: Bregman 2; Busch 4; Conforto 5; Hoerner; Kelly, C 2; Suzuki; Swanson.
RBI: Bregman 2 (16); Busch 2 (26); Conforto 3 (11).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Busch 2; Kelly, C; Swanson; Suzuki 2; Crow-Armstrong 2; Bregman.
SAC: Swanson.
GIDP: Happ.
Team RISP: 2-for-15.
Team LOB: 13.
BASERUNNING
SB: Hoerner (9, 2nd base off Fedde/Quero); Crow-Armstrong (12, 3rd base off Davis/Quero).
FIELDING
E: Kelly, C (3, throw).
Outfield assists: Crow-Armstrong (Benintendi at 3rd base).
1-Ran for Kelly, C in the 8th.

Chicago White Sox — Slag

SpelerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Luisangel AcuñaCF
1000000.179.429
Munetaka Murakami1B
5110010.235.934
Miguel Vargas3B
4112010.247.880
Colson MontgomerySS
4110120.238.859
Chase Meidroth2B
5100010.262.707
Andrew BenintendiDH
3131100.244.694
Edgar QueroC
5233021.176.484
Tristan PetersLF
3213101.257.665
Derek HillRF
4000010.235.728
Totalen389129392
BATTING
2B: Benintendi (7, Rea); Vargas, M (7, Rea); Murakami (2, Palencia, D).
HR: Peters (1, 8th inning off Maton, P, 2 on, 2 out); Quero (1, 10th inning off Rolison, 1 on, 1 out).
TB: Antonacci; Benintendi 4; Grichuk; Montgomery, C; Murakami 2; Peters 4; Quero 6; Vargas, M 2.
RBI: Benintendi (19); Peters 3 (11); Quero 3 (10); Vargas, M 2 (29).
2-out RBI: Peters 3; Benintendi; Vargas, M 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Montgomery, C; Quero; Meidroth; Vargas, M.
SAC: Benintendi.
Team RISP: 5-for-12.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Acuña (8, 2nd base off Milner/Kelly, C).
FIELDING
E: Vargas, M (3, throw).
DP: (Meidroth-Murakami).
a-Singled for Antonacci in the 7th.
1-Ran for Grichuk in the 7th.

Chicago Cubs — Werpen

WerperIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Colin Rea
4.264414083-464.98
Jacob Webb
1.110003024-183.20
Hoby Milner
1.110002018-142.08
Phil Maton
0.223310118-119.49
Daniel Palencia
1.010010014-82.00
Ryan Rolison(L, 3-1)(BS, 1)
0.11210012-24.38

Chicago White Sox — Werpen

WerperIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Erick Fedde
3.064442192-494.30
Sean Newcomb
2.020001021-162.60
Grant Taylor
2.000001025-191.85
Bryan Hudson
1.000010019-111.64
Seranthony Domínguez(BS, 3)
1.013211132-184.82
Tyler Davis(W, 2-1)
1.001031016-83.60

Wedstrijdinfo

Scheidsrechters: Home Plate: Chris Segal; First Base: Laz Diaz; Second Base: John Bacon; Third Base: Erich Bacchus
Stadion: Rate Field, Chicago
Weer: 75°F, Partly Cloudy
Wind: 2 mph, Out To RF

Chicago Cubs — Nieuws

Chicago White Sox — Nieuws

Seizoensvergelijking

Cubs
STAT
White Sox
32-30 Resultaat 33-29
51.6% Win % 53.2%
.516 PCT .532
289 Runs voor 293
272 Runs tegen 282
62 Gespeelde wedstrijden 62
L3 Reeks W1
3-7 Laatste 10 7-3
18-13 Thuisresultaat 20-11
14-17 Uitresultaat 13-18

Onderling

1
Laatste 2 ontmoetingen
1
Mei 16
Cubs 3 - 8 White Sox
Mei 15
Cubs 10 - 5 White Sox

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