This afternoon matchup at loanDepot park features two struggling teams looking to gain momentum, with Miami holding a slight edge behind Max Meyer's excellent recent form. Meyer enters with a pristine 4-0 record and 2.85 ERA, showcasing improved command of his five-pitch mix that includes an effective 90.4 mph slider and 95.1 mph four-seamer. His 10.06 K/9 rate suggests he can navigate through a Mets lineup severely depleted by injuries, particularly with Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez sidelined. The Marlins will rely heavily on Xavier Edwards (.316 average) and Otto Lopez (.342 average) to provide offensive production, as the rest of their lineup has struggled significantly. Freddy Peralta brings talent but inconsistency to the mound for New York, posting a 3.31 ERA with concerning control issues (4.14 BB/9). His fastball-heavy approach (56.2% usage) could play into the hands of Miami's contact hitters, particularly in the warm afternoon conditions with an 11 mph wind. The Mets' injury crisis extends beyond their star players - with 12 players on the IL including key relievers Clay Holmes and A.J. Minter, their bullpen depth is severely compromised. Juan Soto provides their most reliable offensive threat, but the supporting cast around him lacks the depth needed for consistent run production. The key factor favoring Miami is their home field advantage and Meyer's current dominance. Despite their recent struggles against Atlanta, the Marlins showed resilience in yesterday's 2-1 victory over these same Mets, suggesting they can capitalize on New York's vulnerability. Peralta's walk issues could prove costly in the Miami heat, and the Marlins' bullpen, while not spectacular, appears more reliable than the Mets' injury-ravaged relief corps. With both teams hovering around .430-.440 win percentage, this game likely hinges on starting pitching performance and timely hitting from the teams' few consistent offensive contributors.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Meyer's command vs Peralta's fastball control sets early tone

Middle (4-6) 4R Bullpen usage becomes critical as starters exit around innings 5-6

Late (7-9) 2R Miami's home bullpen holds slight advantage in tight finish

Matchup Analysis

Marlins

Max Meyer's excellent form (2.85 ERA, 4-0)

Strong home record 16-15

Xavier Edwards and Otto Lopez providing offensive spark

Recent series struggles vs Atlanta

Negative run differential (-18)

Mets

Juan Soto's veteran presence and clutch hitting

Better recent road form

Peralta's strikeout potential (8.94 K/9)

Depleted roster with 12 IL players including Lindor, Alvarez

Higher walk rate (4.14 BB/9) from Peralta

Risk Factors

Miami's inconsistent offense beyond Edwards/Lopez

Mets' injury-depleted lineup depth

Key Matchups

Xavier Edwards vs Freddy Peralta batter Edwards' .316 average vs Peralta's command issues

Juan Soto vs Max Meyer batter Soto's elite plate discipline against Meyer's slider-heavy approach

Statistical Edges

First to Score Marlins 58%

Strikeouts 14 12-16

Total Runs 8 6-10

Game Preview

Max Meyer takes the mound in the bottom of the first with purpose, using his slider effectively to retire the Mets in order. Miami strikes first when Xavier Edwards leads off with a sharp single up the middle, eventually scoring on Otto Lopez's RBI groundout. The early 1-0 lead provides Meyer the cushion he needs to attack the strike zone aggressively. Freddy Peralta responds by settling into a groove, but his control wavers in the second when he walks two batters, allowing Juan Soto to drive home the tying run with a clutch two-out single. The game's decisive moment comes in the fourth inning when Peralta's command completely abandons him. After walking the leadoff batter, he falls behind Edwards 3-1 before serving up a hanging changeup that Edwards drives into the gap for an RBI double. Lopez follows with another clutch hit, and suddenly Miami has a 3-1 advantage. Meyer continues to cruise through the middle innings, mixing his pitches effectively and keeping the injury-depleted Mets off balance. The Mets scratch across another run in the fifth on Brett Baty's solo homer, but Meyer's dominance prevents any sustained rallies. As the game moves into the late innings, both bullpens are tested. Miami adds insurance runs in the sixth and ninth innings, capitalizing on the Mets' relievers who are pressed into extended duty due to their depleted roster. The Mets mount a final threat in the eighth with Soto reaching base again, but Miami's bullpen holds firm for a 5-3 victory, giving the Marlins their second straight win in the series and improving their home record to 17-15.

Confidence is moderate at 62% due to Max Meyer's excellent current form and the Mets' significant injury issues, but Miami's overall inconsistency and modest offensive depth prevent higher confidence. Both teams have shown volatility, making this a competitive but not overwhelming edge for the home team.

Verwachte pitchers

New York Mets — Selectie

Speler	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Carson Benge	RF	.251	3	17	.308	.345
Bo Bichette	SS	.217	5	27	.266	.316
Juan Soto	LF	.294	10	21	.390	.559
Tyrone Taylor	PH	.196	3	14	.213	.337
Mark Vientos	1B	.237	6	23	.277	.404
A.J. Ewing	CF	.250	1	4	.386	.389
Marcus Semien	2B	.218	3	18	.268	.303
MJ Melendez	DH	.206	2	6	.316	.368
Luis Torrens	C	.197	0	11	.256	.276

Miami Marlins — Selectie

Speler	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Xavier Edwards	2B	.308	6	19	.386	.470
Liam Hicks	DH	.279	11	44	.339	.503
Otto Lopez	SS	.338	4	21	.369	.485
Kyle Stowers	LF	.213	3	8	.309	.343
Jakob Marsee	CF	.197	3	14	.321	.306
Connor Norby	1B	.222	4	14	.326	.359
Owen Caissie	RF	.218	4	24	.279	.371
Graham Pauley	3B	.179	1	9	.229	.295
Joe Mack	C	.220	0	6	.278	.280

Scorende acties

▼ 2

Owen Caissie doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Jakob Marsee scores. Connor Norby scores.

0-2

▼ 3

Liam Hicks homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.

0-3

▼ 5

Liam Hicks homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.

0-4

▲ 9

Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Tyrone Taylor scores.

1-4

New York Mets — Slag

Speler	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	AVG	OPS
Carson BengeRF	4	0	0	0	0	3	.251	.653
Bo BichetteSS	4	0	0	0	0	1	.217	.582
Juan SotoLF	3	0	0	0	1	0	.294	.949
Tyrone TaylorPH	1	1	1	0	0	0	.196	.550
Mark Vientos1B	3	0	2	1	0	0	.237	.681
A.J. EwingCF	4	0	0	0	0	3	.250	.775
Marcus Semien2B	3	0	0	0	0	0	.218	.571
MJ MelendezDH	3	0	0	0	0	1	.206	.684
Luis TorrensC	2	0	0	0	1	1	.197	.532
Totalen	29	1	3	1	3	11

BATTING

2B: Taylor, T (4, Nardi).

TB: Taylor, T 2; Vientos 2.

RBI: Vientos (23).

2-out RBI: Vientos.

GIDP: Semien.

Team RISP: 1-for-1.

Team LOB: 5.

a-Doubled for Baty in the 9th.

Miami Marlins — Slag

Speler	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Xavier Edwards2B	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	.308	.856
Liam HicksDH	4	2	2	2	0	0	2	.279	.842
Otto LopezSS	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	.338	.854
Kyle StowersLF	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	.213	.652
Jakob MarseeCF	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	.197	.627
Connor Norby1B	4	1	1	0	0	2	0	.222	.685
Owen CaissieRF	3	0	1	2	0	2	0	.218	.650
Graham Pauley3B	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	.179	.524
Joe MackC	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	.220	.558
Totalen	31	4	8	4	2	9	2

BATTING

2B: Caissie (7, Peralta, F); Lopez, O (14, Peralta, F).

HR: Hicks, L 2 (11, 3rd inning off Peralta, F, 0 on, 1 out, 5th inning off Peralta, F, 0 on, 0 out).

TB: Caissie 2; Edwards, X; Hicks, L 8; Lopez, O 2; Mack; Norby; Pauley.

RBI: Caissie 2 (24); Hicks, L 2 (44).

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mack; Marsee.

Team RISP: 2-for-6.

Team LOB: 5.

FIELDING

E: Norby (3, dropped foul).

DP: (Edwards, X-Lopez, O-Norby).

New York Mets — Werpen

Werper	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Freddy Peralta(L, 3-4)	7.0	8	4	4	2	9	2	108-67	3.52
Jonathan Pintaro	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12-9	0.00

Miami Marlins — Werpen

Werper	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA
Max Meyer(W, 5-0)	7.0	1	0	0	3	8	95-59	2.52
Anthony Bender	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	20-15	3.54
Andrew Nardi	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	12-7	5.23

Wedstrijdinfo

Scheidsrechters: Home Plate: Derek Thomas; First Base: Jansen Visconti; Second Base: Manny Gonzalez; Third Base: Cory Blaser

Stadion: loanDepot park, Miami

Weer: 72°F, Roof Closed

Wind: 0 mph, None

New York Mets — Nieuws

George Kirby lijdt vijfde verlies tegen Mets

Kirby's ERA van 3,77 en K/9 van 7,18 blijven solide, maar vier verdiende runs in vier innings woensdag wijzen op recente problemen in een seizoen waarin hij een xwOBA van 0,294 heeft genoteerd. Seattle (21-40) staat 11,5 spelen achter in de AL West met beperkte speelruimte voor rotatie-inefficiëntie.

George Kirby

New York Mets

Mets spelen 12 extra-inning games; drie meer dan enig ander team

NYM (26-34, -14 run verschil) is 4-6 in de laatste 10 en 11-19 uit—extra-inning games stellen bullpen-diepte bloot en verminderen rust, wat hun al zwakke run verschil verergert. Harrison (1.57 ERA, 15 SO in 14.2 IP) speelt tegen een MIL-team terwijl Gausman (3.13 ERA, K/9 8.61) tegen Braves-starters Elder (2.50 ERA) en Sale (2.02 ERA) aantreed in een wedstrijd die Atlantas eliterotatie begunstigt.

Atlanta Braves

New York Mets

Mets selecteren Cionel Perez, wijzen Anderson Severino aan

Petersons ERA van 5.57 en zijn record van 0-4 over 5 starts rechtvaardigen dieptebewegingen in de rotatie, hoewel de Triple-A-prestaties van Perez nog niet beschikbaar zijn om de onmiddellijke impact te beoordelen. New York heeft een record van 24-33 met een verschil van -27 runs en heeft rotatiestabiliteit nodig achter Peraltas ERA van 3.54.

Anderson Severino

New York Mets

Manaea neemt plaats van Peterson in Mets-rotatie

Petersons ERA van 5,57 en zijn 0-4 record over 5 starts rechtvaardigen de wissel, hoewel Manaea aankomt met een ERA van 5,56 en geen innings dit seizoen—NYM blijft 23-33 staan (-29 run-verschil) op zoek naar rotatiestabiliteit achter Peraltas ERA van 3,52.

Sean Manaea

New York Mets

Rays Tekenen Buitenveldspeler Austin Slater voor Minor League Contract

Slater (.209 AVG, .233 xwOBA in 2026) sluit zich deze seizoen aan bij Tampa Bay's vierde organisatie nadat hij door de Mets werd afgekeurd. De Rays (34-17, +38 run differential) voegen diepte toe aan een AL East-leidende selectie.

Austin Slater

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Mets

Miami Marlins — Nieuws

Hernández: 2 HR, 3 RBI in Marlins-zege over Nationals

De avond met twee home runs van Hernández verbrak Miamis serie van 4 verliespartijen en bezorgde de Marlins hun eerste thuiszege in vijf wedstrijden (18-15). Washingtons worpen hebben dit seizoen 330 runs tegengegooid (slechtste in NL East), waardoor hun record van 31-30 verrassend weerstandig is gezien hun winstpercentage van 0,508.

Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals

Marlins selecteren Brzykcy en Zuber uit Triple-A

Miami voegt diepte toe aan een rotatie die kampt met duurzaamheid (Junk 4,80 ERA, 3-5 record; Alcantara 4,66 ERA) terwijl ze 26-34 staan en 0-8 in uitwedstrijden in hun laatste vijf wedstrijden.

Miami Marlins

Marlins selecteren Zach Brzykcy

Brzykcy voegt zich bij een Miami-rotation die momenteel wordt aangevoerd door Meyer (2.97 ERA, 5-0) maar sterk afhankelijk is van Alcantara (4.66 ERA) en Junk (4.80 ERA, 3-5). De zet behandelt rotatiediepte terwijl Miami met 26-33 staat en een runverschil van -20 heeft.

Miami Marlins

Janson Junk: Zal niet starten, kan naar IL gaan

Junk (ERA 4,80, 3-5) verlaat Miamis rotation zondag tegen NYM; met Eury Pérez al uitgeschakeld (gracilisspanning), hebben de Marlins te kampen met diepteproblemen in een al fragiel team. Miamis rotation zou sterk afhankelijk zijn van de resterende starters als Junk naar de IL gaat.

Janson Junk

Eury Pérez

Miami Marlins

Eury Pérez mist acht weken met spierblessure aan adductoren

Pérez' ERA van 4,60 en zijn record van 3-6 maakten hem kwetsbaar in Miamis rotatie, maar zijn K/9 van 10,34 over 62,2 innings verzwakt de Marlins achter Max Meyer (2,52 ERA, 5-0). Josh Ekness (1,69 ERA, beperkte steekproef) erft een rol als vierde starter in een rotatie die al verankerd wordt door Meyer en Alcántara (4,66 ERA, 3-4).

Max Meyer

Eury Pérez