Tilbake til kamper Lordag, Mai 23, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — Mai 23, 2026 | AI-prediksjon og statistikk

Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
74°F, Partly Cloudy
5 mph, Out To LF
W Pierce Johnson L Riley O'Brien

Resultattavle

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 R H E
Cardinals 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 6 9 0
Reds 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 7 10 0

AI-PROGNOSENevralt nettverk prognose

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cardinals 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Reds 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 62% Reds favored
This split doubleheader nightcap at Great American Ball Park presents an intriguing matchup between two teams heading in different directions. The Cardinals (28-21) arrive with a superior record but riding a two-game skid, while the Reds (26-24) have found some momentum with back-to-back wins against Philadelphia. Kyle Leahy brings stability to the mound for St. Louis with his 3.94 ERA and recent velocity consistency around 89-90 mph, though his 1.55 WHIP suggests he's been pitching around trouble. His diverse six-pitch mix gives him multiple weapons, but the Cardinals will need him to be efficient given the doubleheader context. Chase Petty represents both opportunity and risk for Cincinnati. The young right-hander's changeup-heavy approach (32% usage) could be particularly effective against a Cardinals lineup featuring several young hitters like Victor Scott II (.185) and JJ Wetherholt (.238). However, Petty's inexperience becomes magnified in a crucial game scenario, and Cincinnati's rotation has been decimated by injuries to Hunter Greene, Brandon Williamson, and others. The Reds' offensive hope lies with Elly De La Cruz's dynamic presence (.290, 11 HR) and JJ Bleday's hot streak at .299, both capable of changing the game's complexion with one swing. The split doubleheader format works in both teams' favor compared to a traditional twin bill, allowing fresher lineups but still taxing bullpens that may have been used earlier. St. Louis holds the edge in road performance (15-8) and overall record, but Cincinnati's recent offensive surge (averaging 6.3 runs over their last three wins) suggests they can generate enough offense to steal this game at home. Weather conditions are neutral with overcast skies and light winds, putting the focus squarely on execution. The Cardinals' superior run differential and road success make them slight favorites, but the Reds' home field advantage and recent form create enough uncertainty to make this a genuine toss-up with significant value on the total.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both starters show early command issues, leadoff scoring
Middle (4-6) 4R Petty's changeup effectiveness vs Cardinals' young hitters
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpen fatigue from split doubleheader affects both teams

Matchup Analysis

Reds

Elly De La Cruz power threat
JJ Bleday hot streak at .299
Home field advantage at GABP
Decimated pitching depth with 4 starters on IL
Negative run differential (-28)

Cardinals

Jordan Walker's power surge (13 HR, 35 RBI)
Better road record (15-8)
Kyle Leahy's recent form improvement
Young lineup lacks experience
Coming off two-game losing streak

Risk Factors

Split doubleheader fatigue
Chase Petty's inexperience in pressure spots

Key Matchups

Jordan Walker vs Chase Petty batter Walker's .295 average vs young pitcher
Elly De La Cruz vs Kyle Leahy batter Speed vs control pitcher creates stolen base opportunities
JJ Bleday vs Kyle Leahy batter Hot hitter facing pitcher with 1.55 WHIP

Statistical Edges

First to Score Cardinals 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Kyle Leahy takes the mound for St. Louis looking to snap their two-game slide, immediately facing the speed and athleticism of Elly De La Cruz leading off for Cincinnati. De La Cruz works a leadoff walk and promptly steals second base, setting an aggressive tone that pays off when Jordan Walker drives him home with an RBI single to give the Cardinals an early 1-0 advantage. The Reds answer quickly in the second inning when JJ Bleday continues his hot streak with a solo home run to left field, knotting the game at 1-1 and energizing the Great American Ball Park crowd. Chase Petty settles into a rhythm through the third inning, but the Cardinals break through in the fourth when Matt McLain commits a throwing error that opens the door for a two-run rally. However, Cincinnati responds immediately with their own two-run frame in the fifth, sparked by De La Cruz's speed on the basepaths and capped by Nathaniel Lowe's clutch two-out RBI single. The game remains tight into the middle innings as both starters give way to increasingly taxed bullpens dealing with the split doubleheader workload. The decisive moment comes in the sixth inning when the Reds manufacture a run through small ball, using a Bleday double and McLain sacrifice fly to take a 4-3 lead. St. Louis ties it in the seventh on a Walker sacrifice fly, but Cincinnati has the final say in the ninth inning. With runners on first and third and one out, De La Cruz delivers a walk-off sacrifice fly to complete a thrilling 5-4 victory that showcases both teams' young talent and sets up an exciting series conclusion.
Moderate confidence due to the relative inexperience of both starters and the unpredictable nature of split doubleheader games. While Cincinnati gets the slight home field edge, both teams have shown recent volatility that makes this genuinely competitive.
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St. Louis Cardinals — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt
2B .237925.356.402
Iván Herrera
DH .267625.393.435
Alec Burleson
1B .294735.365.469
Jordan Walker
RF .3021542.372.594
Thomas Saggese
3B .15902.216.188
Masyn Winn
SS .240118.321.329
Bryan Torres
LF .37512.500.750
Yohel Pozo
C .24105.241.276
Victor Scott II
CF .19727.259.268

Cincinnati Reds — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Blake Dunn
RF .35112.400.541
Elly De La Cruz
SS .2881235.355.529
JJ Bleday
DH .271620.376.576
Sal Stewart
1B .2561234.352.487
Eugenio Suárez
3B .223311.298.351
Matt McLain
2B .202520.301.333
Spencer Steer
LF .271718.340.446
P.J. Higgins
C .29403.316.294
Dane Myers
CF .243312.352.405

Scoringer

2
Masyn Winn out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder TJ Friedl. Jordan Walker scores.
1-0
5
Elly De La Cruz homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. P.J. Higgins scores. Blake Dunn scores.
1-3
5
Nathaniel Lowe homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Sal Stewart scores.
1-5
6
Jordan Walker homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson scores.
4-5
6
Dane Myers doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Torres. Spencer Steer scores.
4-6
9
José Fermín homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.
5-6
9
Jordan Walker singles on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Victor Scott II scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.
6-6
11
Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Blake Dunn reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Masyn Winn. Spencer Steer scores. Dane Myers to 2nd.
6-7

St. Louis Cardinals — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
JJ Wetherholt2B
5010110.237.758
Iván HerreraDH
5110010.267.828
Alec Burleson1B
4110100.294.834
Jordan WalkerRF
4234111.302.966
Thomas Saggese3B
0000000.159.404
Masyn WinnSS
4001000.240.650
Bryan TorresLF
4010110.3751.250
Yohel PozoC
1000000.241.517
Victor Scott IICF
4100110.197.527
Totalt40696562
BATTING
2B: Walker, J (11, Petty); Burleson (13, Petty).
HR: Walker, J (15, 6th inning off Petty, 2 on, 0 out); Fermín (2, 9th inning off Santillan, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Burleson 2; Fermín 4; Gorman; Herrera; Torres, B; Walker, J 7; Wetherholt.
RBI: Fermín (8); Walker, J 4 (42); Winn (18).
2-out RBI: Walker, J.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Walker, J; Gorman; Scott II; Herrera; Torres, B.
SF: Winn.
GIDP: Herrera.
Team RISP: 2-for-15.
Team LOB: 10.
a-Homered for Pagés, P in the 9th.
1-Ran for Gorman in the 10th.

Cincinnati Reds — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Blake DunnRF
6121020.351.941
Elly De La CruzSS
4123121.288.884
JJ BledayDH
5000030.271.952
Sal Stewart1B
2100310.256.839
Eugenio Suárez3B
1000010.223.649
Matt McLain2B
5000020.202.634
Spencer SteerLF
3210010.271.786
P.J. HigginsC
3110020.294.610
Dane MyersCF
2011100.243.757
Totalt3871075162
BATTING
2B: Steer (10, Bruihl); Myers (3, Bruihl).
HR: De La Cruz, E (12, 5th inning off Leahy, 2 on, 1 out); Lowe, N (8, 5th inning off Leahy, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Benson; De La Cruz, E 5; Dunn 2; Higgins, P; Lowe, N 5; Myers 2; Steer 2.
RBI: De La Cruz, E 3 (35); Dunn (2); Lowe, N 2 (23); Myers (12).
2-out RBI: Lowe, N 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Steer 2; Benson 2; Bleday.
SAC: Friedl; Higgins, P 2.
Team RISP: 3-for-11.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
CS: De La Cruz, E (5, 2nd base by Romero, J/Pozo).
FIELDING
DP: (De La Cruz, E-McLain, M-Lowe, N).
a-Doubled for Benson in the 6th.
b-Doubled for Friedl in the 6th.
c-Struck out for Lowe, N in the 10th.

St. Louis Cardinals — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kyle Leahy
5.075528287-524.44
Justin Bruihl
0.121100013-95.56
Gordon Graceffo
0.200011017-91.65
Ryan Fernandez
2.000004024-171.17
JoJo Romero
1.010011012-82.92
Riley O'Brien(L, 3-2)
1.101012020-112.96

Cincinnati Reds — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Chase Petty
5.064411162-405.91
Brock Burke(H, 6)
1.100020026-143.38
Graham Ashcraft(H, 10)
1.210003029-173.46
Tony Santillan(BS, 3)
1.022221128-195.85
Pierce Johnson(W, 2-1)
2.000001023-183.38

Kampinfo

Dommere: Home Plate: John Tumpane; First Base: Chris Conroy; Second Base: Brennan Miller; Third Base: Jacob Metz
Stadion: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Vær: 74°F, Partly Cloudy
Vind: 5 mph, Out To LF

St. Louis Cardinals — Nyheter

Cincinnati Reds — Nyheter

Sesongsammenligning

Cardinals
STAT
Reds
31-28 Resultat 31-29
52.5% Win % 51.7%
.525 PCT .517
252 Runs for 262
266 Runs mot 300
59 Spilte kamper 60
L2 Rekke W1
3-7 Siste 10 5-5
15-16 Hjemmeresultat 16-15
16-12 Borteresultat 15-14

Innbyrdes

1
Siste 1 moter
0
Mai 23
Cardinals 8 - 1 Reds

Cardinals Siste

Jun 2 vs Rangers 7-4 L
Jun 1 vs Rangers 2-1 L
Mai 31 vs Cubs 1-5 W
Mai 30 vs Cubs 6-1 L
Mai 29 vs Cubs 5-6 W

Reds Siste

Jun 2 vs Royals 3-4 W
Jun 1 vs Royals 9-2 L
Mai 31 vs Braves 4-6 W
Mai 30 vs Braves 5-2 L
Mai 29 vs Braves 8-3 L

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