Tilbake til kamper Mandag, Mai 4, 2026

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies — Mai 4, 2026 | AI-prediksjon og statistikk

Coors Field, Denver
68°F, Cloudy
13 mph, In From CF
W David Peterson L Tomoyuki Sugano SV Devin Williams

Resultattavle

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mets 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 4 4 0
Rockies 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 5 0

AI-PROGNOSENevralt nettverk prognose

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mets 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 5
Rockies 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 7
Confidence: 68% Rockies favored
The Colorado Rockies face a crucial opportunity to snap their four-game losing streak against a depleted New York Mets squad at the hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field. Tomoyuki Sugano takes the mound for Colorado, bringing his finesse approach and excellent command to counter the thin Denver air. His recent starts show consistent velocity in the 87-89 mph range with strong spin rates, suggesting his splitter and cutter should play well despite the altitude. The Japanese right-hander's diverse six-pitch mix gives him multiple weapons to keep Mets hitters off balance, particularly with his 25.7% four-seam fastball usage complemented by an effective 22.8% splitter rate. New York's mystery starter creates the biggest variable in this matchup, as the 'TBD' designation suggests either a late rotation change or potential opener strategy. With Kodai Senga, Tylor Megill, and other key arms on the injured list, the Mets are clearly scrambling for pitching depth. However, they possess one of the game's elite hitters in Juan Soto, whose .338 average provides a legitimate threat to any pitcher. The absence of Francisco Lindor significantly weakens their middle infield defense and offensive production, while Luis Robert Jr.'s disc herniation removes another potential impact bat. Colorado's recent form shows both promise and concern - they took two of three from these same Mets in late April but have since struggled mightily, managing just one win in their last seven games. Hunter Goodman's nine home runs in 35 games provide legitimate power, while Tyler Freeman's .293 average offers consistent contact. The Rockies' -22 run differential suggests underlying issues, but Coors Field's unique dynamics can quickly change game flow. The clear skies and moderate 73-degree temperature with light ENE winds should create optimal hitting conditions, favoring the home team's familiarity with the environment over the visiting Mets' adaptation challenges.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Coors Field altitude affects breaking balls early
Middle (4-6) 4R Both teams capitalize on bullpen matchups
Late (7-9) 4R Colorado's late rally in thin air

Matchup Analysis

Rockies

Coors Field advantage at altitude
Hunter Goodman's power surge (9 HR)
Tomoyuki Sugano's location control
Four-game losing streak
Missing key pitchers (Feltner, Bryant)
Bullpen depth concerns

Mets

Juan Soto's elite hitting (.338 AVG)
TBD pitcher creates unknown element
Recent series win over Angels
Massive injury list depletes roster
Poor road record (6-10)
Francisco Lindor absence hurts lineup

Risk Factors

Unknown Mets starting pitcher creates uncertainty
High altitude affects both pitching staffs

Key Matchups

Juan Soto vs Tomoyuki Sugano batter Elite contact vs. location pitcher
Hunter Goodman vs TBD batter Power threat at Coors Field

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rockies 72%
Strikeouts 16 14-18
Total Runs 12 10-14

Game Preview

The afternoon begins with Sugano efficiently working through the Mets' depleted lineup, using his splitter to induce weak contact from Marcus Semien and Tyrone Taylor. Colorado strikes first in the bottom of the first as TJ Rumfield doubles off the wall and scores on Hunter Goodman's towering home run to left field, the thin air carrying what would be a warning track fly ball at sea level. The mystery Mets starter, revealed as a spot starter or bullpen game, struggles with command early as Brett Sullivan singles and Tyler Freeman drives him home with a sharp single to right. Juan Soto provides the Mets' first breakthrough in the second inning, lining a solo home run over the short right field wall after working the count full against Sugano. The game settles into a rhythm through the middle innings, with both teams manufacturing runs through small ball and taking advantage of defensive miscues. The Mets capitalize in the sixth when Andy Ibáñez doubles and scores on a Luis Torrens sacrifice fly, then add another on a wild pitch that exemplifies the altitude's effect on breaking balls. Colorado's decisive rally comes in the seventh inning when the thin air and fatigue combine to doom the Mets' bullpen. Goodman launches his second homer of the day, and Ezequiel Tovar finally breaks out of his slump with an RBI double down the line. The Rockies add insurance in the ninth when Freeman's clutch two-out single plates the winning margin, giving Colorado a much-needed victory to halt their slide and improve their disappointing home record to 8-9.
The 68% confidence reflects significant uncertainty around the Mets' 'TBD' starting pitcher, which creates a major unknown variable. However, Coors Field's clear advantages for the home team, combined with Colorado's desperate need to end their losing streak and the Mets' extensive injury list, provide enough edge to favor the Rockies.
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New York Mets — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Juan Soto
LF .30138.407.479
Bo Bichette
SS .236215.273.313
Tyrone Taylor
RF .19728.222.311
Mark Vientos
1B .250414.295.432
Brett Baty
3B .202112.270.293
Marcus Semien
2B .208111.259.272
Carson Benge
CF .19238.266.313
Francisco Alvarez
DH .22948.306.396
Luis Torrens
C .19405.216.278

Colorado Rockies — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Mickey Moniak
CF .3331121.378.745
Tyler Freeman
DH .279110.371.344
TJ Rumfield
1B .260419.319.412
Hunter Goodman
C .232915.304.504
Willi Castro
LF .245111.304.330
Troy Johnston
PH .318216.381.449
Kyle Karros
3B .21615.339.278
Ezequiel Tovar
SS .19219.244.280
Edouard Julien
2B .273212.373.398

Scoringer

6
Carson Benge homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-0
6
Luis Torrens doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Beck. Francisco Alvarez scores.
2-0
6
Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Luis Torrens scores. Juan Soto scores.
4-0
7
Jordan Beck triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Carson Benge. Willi Castro scores.
4-1
7
Kyle Karros singles on a line drive to center fielder Carson Benge. Jordan Beck scores.
4-2

New York Mets — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Juan SotoLF
3100110.301.886
Bo BichetteSS
4000010.236.586
Tyrone TaylorRF
1000000.197.533
Mark Vientos1B
4012000.250.727
Brett Baty3B
4000010.202.563
Marcus Semien2B
3000010.208.531
Carson BengeCF
2111101.192.579
Francisco AlvarezDH
3110010.229.702
Luis TorrensC
3111010.194.494
Totalt30444281
BATTING
2B: Alvarez, F (4, Sugano); Torrens (3, Sugano).
HR: Benge (3, 6th inning off Sugano, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Alvarez, F 2; Benge 4; Torrens 2; Vientos.
RBI: Benge (8); Torrens (5); Vientos 2 (14).
2-out RBI: Vientos 2.
GIDP: Alvarez, F.
Team RISP: 2-for-4.
Team LOB: 1.

Colorado Rockies — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Mickey MoniakCF
4020010.3331.123
Tyler FreemanDH
3000020.279.715
TJ Rumfield1B
4000000.260.731
Hunter GoodmanC
4000010.232.808
Willi CastroLF
4110010.245.634
Troy JohnstonPH
1000010.318.830
Kyle Karros3B
3011020.216.617
Ezequiel TovarSS
3000010.192.524
Edouard Julien2B
1000000.273.771
Totalt322520110
BATTING
2B: Moniak (7, Warren, A).
3B: Beck (1, Peterson, D); Moniak (1, Kimbrel).
TB: Beck 3; Castro, W; Karros, K; Moniak 5.
RBI: Beck (10); Karros, K (5).
2-out RBI: Karros, K; Beck.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Freeman, T; Rumfield; Goodman.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 4.
BASERUNNING
SB: Freeman, T (3, 2nd base off Brazobán/Torrens).
FIELDING
DP: (Tovar-Castro, W-Rumfield).
a-Flied out for Doyle, B in the 8th.
b-Struck out for Beck in the 9th.

New York Mets — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Huascar Brazobán
1.000000011-61.08
Austin Warren
2.010003024-171.42
David Peterson(W, 1-4)
4.032206069-526.29
Craig Kimbrel(H, 1)
1.010001015-103.68
Devin Williams(S, 4)
1.00000108-76.55

Colorado Rockies — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tomoyuki Sugano(L, 3-2)
5.134421161-373.41
Jaden Hill
0.210002011-84.26
Juan Mejia
2.000005023-185.19
Brennan Bernardino
1.000000010-51.88

Kampinfo

Dommere: Home Plate: D.J. Reyburn; First Base: James Hoye; Second Base: Sean Barber; Third Base: John Libka
Stadion: Coors Field, Denver
Vær: 68°F, Cloudy
Vind: 13 mph, In From CF

New York Mets — Nyheter

Colorado Rockies — Nyheter

Sesongsammenligning

Mets
STAT
Rockies
27-35 Resultat 24-39
43.5% Win % 38.1%
.435 PCT .381
251 Runs for 272
264 Runs mot 355
62 Spilte kamper 63
W1 Rekke L1
5-5 Siste 10 4-6
15-15 Hjemmeresultat 12-16
12-20 Borteresultat 12-23

Innbyrdes

1
Siste 5 moter
4
Mai 7
Mets 2 - 6 Rockies
Mai 6
Mets 10 - 5 Rockies
Apr 26
Rockies 3 - 0 Mets
Apr 26
Rockies 3 - 1 Mets
Apr 24
Rockies 4 - 3 Mets

Mets Siste

Jun 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
Jun 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
Jun 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
Mai 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
Mai 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W

Rockies Siste

Jun 3 @ Angels 4-11 L
Jun 2 @ Angels 8-2 W
Jun 1 @ Angels 9-8 W
Mai 31 vs Giants 19-6 L
Mai 30 vs Giants 3-8 W

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