Tilbake til kamper Lordag, Mai 23, 2026

Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals — Mai 23, 2026 | AI-prediksjon og statistikk

Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
77°F, Partly Cloudy
8 mph, L To R
W Stephen Kolek L George Kirby

Resultattavle

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mariners 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1
Royals 3 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 - 5 9 0

AI-PROGNOSENevralt nettverk prognose

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 4
Royals 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2
Confidence: 72% Mariners favored
The Mariners enter this afternoon tilt at Kauffman Stadium riding momentum from yesterday's 2-0 victory and sitting in a much better position than their hosts. Kansas City's season has cratered with a disastrous 1-9 stretch over their last 10 games, leaving them 11 games under .500 and facing serious questions about their direction. The pitching staff has been decimated by injuries, with six arms on the IL including key rotation pieces Cole Ragans and Alec Marsh, plus closer Carlos Estévez. Stephen Kolek takes the ball for Kansas City with a 4.24 ERA and clear limitations on his pitch count - his recent starts have maxed out at 94 pitches, suggesting he'll be pulled by the sixth inning. The matchup strongly favors Seattle's George Kirby, who has been a model of consistency with a 3.45 ERA, excellent command (2.30 BB/9), and the durability to work deep into games. Kirby's four-seam fastball averaging 96.8 mph paired with a devastating slider gives him multiple ways to attack the struggling Royals lineup. Seattle's offense has been led by Randy Arozarena's torrid .302 start, and even with Cal Raleigh on the IL, they maintain a significant edge in run production. The Mariners have outscored opponents by 13 runs compared to Kansas City's alarming -32 differential. While the Royals have shown flashes with Bobby Witt Jr.'s development and veteran additions like Starling Marte, their current form suggests they're in survival mode rather than competitive baseball. The bullpen situation in Kansas City is particularly concerning with key relievers unavailable, potentially forcing overworked arms into high-leverage spots.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Kirby settles after Royals second inning threat
Middle (4-6) 3R Arozarena double drives in two-run third, solo shot in fifth
Late (7-9) 1R Mariners insurance run against tired Royals bullpen

Matchup Analysis

Royals

Bobby Witt Jr.'s bat
Kauffman Stadium dimensions favor pitchers
Starling Marte's veteran presence
1-9 in last 10 games
Depleted pitching staff with six key arms on IL
Struggling offense averaging 3.8 runs per game

Mariners

George Kirby's consistent command
Randy Arozarena's hot hitting (.302 avg)
Positive run differential (+13)
Road struggles (11-12)
Cal Raleigh on IL leaves catching depth thin
Recent inconsistency (5-5 last 10)

Risk Factors

Kolek's pitch count limits
Royals desperation could spark rally

Key Matchups

Bobby Witt Jr. vs George Kirby batter Witt's speed vs Kirby's slower delivery
Randy Arozarena vs Stephen Kolek batter Arozarena mashes mid-90s fastballs
Maikel Garcia vs George Kirby pitcher Garcia struggles with command righties

Statistical Edges

First to Score Royals 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 6 4-8

Game Preview

The afternoon sun beats down on Kauffman Stadium as George Kirby takes the mound with confidence, facing a Royals lineup desperate to snap out of their season-long funk. Kansas City strikes early when Bobby Witt Jr. works a leadoff walk in the second inning and eventually scores on a Maikel Garcia groundout, giving the home crowd something to cheer about. But Kirby settles in quickly, using his devastating slider to retire the next nine batters in order. Seattle breaks through in the third when Randy Arozarena launches a Stephen Kolek fastball over the right field wall for a two-run homer, capitalizing on a Brendan Donovan single. The Mariners extend their lead in the fifth as Arozarena continues his hot streak with an RBI double down the left field line. Kolek's pitch count climbs steadily, and Kansas City manager Matt Quatraro faces the familiar dilemma of when to turn to his decimated bullpen. By the sixth inning, the Royals scratch across another run when Starling Marte's veteran at-bat results in a clutch RBI single, but it's not enough. Kirby works efficiently through seven innings, limiting damage and keeping Seattle in control. The Mariners add an insurance run in the ninth against the overworked Kansas City relief corps, with Connor Joe delivering a timely RBI single. Seattle's bullpen, fresher and deeper than their counterparts, closes out a workmanlike 4-2 victory that extends Kansas City's misery and keeps the Mariners trending upward in the competitive AL West race.
The 72% confidence reflects Seattle's clear advantages in starting pitching with Kirby over the struggling Kolek, plus Kansas City's devastating recent form and injury-riddled roster. However, baseball's unpredictability and the Royals' desperation keep this from being a slam-dunk prediction.
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Seattle Mariners — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford
SS .199616.342.344
Julio Rodríguez
CF .257821.322.424
Josh Naylor
1B .246522.313.351
Randy Arozarena
LF .294521.389.455
Luke Raley
RF .2761027.338.567
Cole Young
2B .240326.324.350
Dominic Canzone
DH .236419.320.425
Jhonny Pereda
C .20011.273.350
Colt Emerson
3B .11813.250.294

Kansas City Royals — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia
3B .260318.321.385
Bobby Witt Jr.
SS .298723.365.473
Vinnie Pasquantino
1B .198523.282.324
Salvador Perez
DH .202821.249.352
Carter Jensen
C .231621.322.395
Jac Caglianone
RF .247511.310.416
Isaac Collins
LF .213316.327.312
Michael Massey
2B .232312.250.404
Kyle Isbel
CF .258310.317.391

Scoringer

1
Vinnie Pasquantino reaches on a fielder's choice. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Cole Young.
0-1
1
Carter Jensen grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.
0-2
1
Jac Caglianone singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.
0-3
3
Carter Jensen out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.
0-4
6
Mariners challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Isaac Collins singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Carter Jensen scores.
0-5

Seattle Mariners — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
J.P. CrawfordSS
4000000.199.686
Julio RodríguezCF
3000100.257.746
Josh Naylor1B
3000000.246.664
Randy ArozarenaLF
3000000.294.844
Luke RaleyRF
3030000.276.905
Cole Young2B
3010000.240.674
Dominic CanzoneDH
3000010.236.745
Jhonny PeredaC
3000000.200.623
Colt Emerson3B
3000010.118.544
Totalt28040120
BATTING
2B: Raley, L (5, Kolek).
TB: Raley, L 4; Young.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Pereda.
GIDP: Naylor, J.
Team RISP: 0-for-4.
Team LOB: 2.
FIELDING
E: Young (2, throw).
DP: (Emerson-Crawford, J-Naylor, J).

Kansas City Royals — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Maikel Garcia3B
4110010.260.706
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
4220000.298.838
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
4111000.198.606
Salvador PerezDH
4000000.202.601
Carter JensenC
2112100.231.717
Jac CaglianoneRF
4011020.247.726
Isaac CollinsLF
3011110.213.639
Michael Massey2B
4020000.232.654
Kyle IsbelCF
3000000.258.708
Totalt32595240
BATTING
2B: Garcia, M (14, Kirby).
TB: Caglianone; Collins; Garcia, M 2; Jensen; Massey 2; Pasquantino; Witt Jr. 2.
RBI: Caglianone (11); Collins (16); Jensen 2 (21); Pasquantino (23).
2-out RBI: Collins; Caglianone.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Collins; Isbel; Massey.
SF: Jensen.
GIDP: Isbel.
Team RISP: 3-for-10.
Team LOB: 6.
BASERUNNING
SB: Witt Jr. (16, 3rd base off Kirby/Pereda); Pasquantino (2, 2nd base off Kirby/Pereda); Caglianone (1, 2nd base off Kirby/Pereda).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Pasquantino-Jensen-Garcia, M; Witt Jr.-Pasquantino).

Seattle Mariners — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
George Kirby(L, 5-4)
6.095303092-633.54
Alex Hoppe
1.000000010-65.23
Nick Davila
1.000021024-120.00

Kansas City Royals — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Stephen Kolek(W, 3-0)
9.0400120108-692.77

Kampinfo

Dommere: Home Plate: Todd Tichenor; First Base: John Bacon; Second Base: Clint Vondrak; Third Base: Adam Hamari
Stadion: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Vær: 77°F, Partly Cloudy
Vind: 8 mph, L To R

Seattle Mariners — Nyheter

Kansas City Royals — Nyheter

Sesongsammenligning

Mariners
STAT
Royals
33-29 Resultat 23-38
53.2% Win % 37.7%
.532 PCT .377
266 Runs for 233
230 Runs mot 286
62 Spilte kamper 61
W8 Rekke L1
8-2 Siste 10 3-7
19-15 Hjemmeresultat 15-17
14-14 Borteresultat 8-21

Innbyrdes

1
Siste 5 moter
4
Mai 24
Mariners 6 - 8 Royals
Mai 22
Mariners 2 - 0 Royals
Mai 3
Royals 4 - 1 Mariners
Mai 2
Royals 3 - 2 Mariners
Mai 1
Royals 7 - 6 Mariners

Mariners Siste

Jun 3 vs Mets 7-1 L
Jun 2 vs Mets 3-8 W
Jun 1 vs Mets 2-3 W
Mai 31 vs Diamondbacks 2-3 W
Mai 30 vs Diamondbacks 1-5 W

Royals Siste

Jun 2 @ Reds 3-4 L
Jun 1 @ Reds 9-2 W
Mai 31 @ Rangers 3-6 L
Mai 30 @ Rangers 6-7 L
Mai 29 @ Rangers 1-9 L

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