Tilbake til kamper Tirsdag, Jul 7, 2026

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays — Jul 7, 2026 | AI-prediksjon og statistikk

Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
72°F, Dome
0 mph, None
W Ian Seymour L Will Warren SV Bryan Baker

Resultattavle

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Yankees 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 11 0
Rays 0 2 0 4 0 0 0 0 - 6 8 1

AI-PROGNOSENevralt nettverk prognose

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Yankees 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Rays 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 4
Confidence: 58% Rays favored
Ian Seymour takes the mound for Tampa Bay in a pivotal spot after the Rays dropped three straight, including a 5-1 loss to these same Yankees on July 6. Seymour's 4.32 ERA and 9.36 K/9 show flashes, but his low average velocity (85.8 mph) and heavy reliance on a changeup (31.8%) make him a matchup risk against a Yankees lineup featuring Ben Rice (22 HR) and Cody Bellinger. Still, Tropicana Field suppresses offense, and Seymour's deception has kept him effective through 50 innings. Will Warren counters with arguably the stronger statistical case — 3.75 ERA, 7-3 record, and a mid-90s sinker/fastball combo that works well in spacious domes. But the Yankees come in with a brutal 2-8 last-ten record and a lineup missing Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Carlos Rodón to injury. McMahon and Grisham returned from the IL recently, adding depth, but the offensive ceiling is clearly diminished. The Rays' 31-13 home mark is the most compelling factor here. Tampa Bay thrives at the Trop, and despite the recent skid, their +31 run differential and rotation depth (Martinez 2.61 ERA, Rasmussen 2.78) suggest organizational health. The Yankees' bullpen has been taxed with multiple recalled arms from Triple-A, raising durability questions late in games. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair decided by the bullpen. The Rays' pen edges the depleted Yankees' relief corps, and a bounce-back at home is the most likely outcome after three straight losses.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Warren keeps Rays quiet early; quiet first
Middle (4-6) 3R Seymour tires; Rays bullpen holds lead
Late (7-9) 2R Rays pen locks it down; Yankees scratch one

Matchup Analysis

Rays

Elite home record 31-13
Caminero power presence
Strong rotation depth
L3 skid, cold bats
Seymour limited velocity

Yankees

Warren solid road arm
Rice/Bellinger power duo
Run differential +82
Judge/Stanton/Rodón on IL
Last-ten 2-8 funk

Risk Factors

Rays L3 slide momentum
Yankees IL-depleted lineup

Key Matchups

Yandy Díaz vs Will Warren batter Díaz .321 AVG punishes sinker-heavy pitchers in the zone
Ben Rice vs Ian Seymour batter Rice 22 HR, lefty changeup-heavy Seymour can be vulnerable
Paul Goldschmidt vs Ian Seymour pitcher Seymour's sweeper generates weak contact vs right-handed vets

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rays 52%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 6 4-9

Game Preview

The Trop goes quiet in the early innings as Warren quickly establishes his sinker down in the zone, retiring Yandy Díaz and the top of the Rays order with minimal drama. Seymour matches zeros, inducing weak contact from Rice and Bellinger through two. The Rays break through in the second when Díaz works a walk and scores on a Vilade single that finds a gap in left-center. Warren settles in through the middle innings, but the Rays' pen takes over around the fifth, and the Yankees manage just a Rice solo shot in the third to knot it briefly. Tampa scratches back in the fourth on a Fortes sacrifice fly, then again in the sixth on a Williamson RBI single. The Yankees make it interesting in the seventh when Rosario laces a double and scores on a Bellinger groundout, trimming it to 4-2. But the Rays' rebuilt bullpen slams the door in the eighth and ninth, stranding two Yankees runners and securing the bounce-back win at the Trop — ending the three-game skid in front of a relieved home crowd.
Rays' elite 31-13 home record and bounce-back edge after L3 give home lean. Yankees missing Judge/Stanton; Warren solid but lineup depleted. Seymour's low velo and Yankees' power upside temper confidence to 58.
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New York Yankees — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trent Grisham
CF .231937.335.413
Paul Goldschmidt
1B .2611441.320.496
Ben Rice
DH .2732660.364.577
Anthony Volpe
SS .240113.338.326
Cody Bellinger
LF .2481150.343.419
José Caballero
3B .2451033.300.401
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B .2241233.306.391
Jasson Domínguez
RF .214410.254.393
Ali Sánchez
C .26704.303.333

Tampa Bay Rays — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Yandy Díaz
DH .3191355.401.492
Jonathan Aranda
1B .2801358.383.442
Junior Caminero
3B .2812656.370.547
Cedric Mullins
CF .2081029.289.343
Chandler Simpson
LF .274016.312.326
Victor Mesa Jr.
RF .188410.290.350
Taylor Walls
SS .226020.325.297
Ben Williamson
2B .235221.309.321
Hunter Feduccia
C .232211.315.339

Scoringer

2
Victor Mesa Jr. homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.
0-1
2
Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Richie Palacios scores. Hunter Feduccia to 2nd.
0-2
3
Ben Rice homers (26) on a fly ball to left center field. Max Schuemann scores. Trent Grisham scores.
3-2
4
Richie Palacios doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Taylor Walls scores.
3-3
4
Hunter Feduccia homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Richie Palacios scores.
3-5
4
Yandy Díaz homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.
3-6
7
Ali Sánchez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.
4-6

New York Yankees — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trent GrishamCF
5110020.231.748
Paul Goldschmidt1B
4000040.261.816
Ben RiceDH
4133001.273.941
Anthony VolpeSS
1000000.240.664
Cody BellingerLF
4010020.248.762
José Caballero3B
4000040.245.701
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
4110020.224.697
Jasson DomínguezRF
2010000.214.647
Ali SánchezC
3021000.267.636
Totalt3641140171
BATTING
2B: Grisham (13, Seymour, I).
HR: Rice (26, 3rd inning off Seymour, I, 2 on, 2 out).
TB: Bellinger; Chisholm Jr.; Domínguez; Grisham 2; McMahon; Rice 6; Schuemann; Sánchez, A 2.
RBI: Rice 3 (60); Sánchez, A (4).
2-out RBI: Rice 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Grisham; Goldschmidt; Caballero.
SF: Sánchez, A.
Team RISP: 1-for-5.
Team LOB: 6.
a-Singled for Rosario, A in the 6th.
b-Singled for Schuemann in the 7th.
c-Grounded into a forceout for McMahon in the 8th.

Tampa Bay Rays — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Yandy DíazDH
4122001.319.893
Jonathan Aranda1B
3000100.280.825
Junior Caminero3B
4000020.281.917
Cedric MullinsCF
3000120.208.632
Chandler SimpsonLF
4000000.274.638
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
4121001.188.640
Taylor WallsSS
4110010.226.622
Ben Williamson2B
2000010.235.630
Hunter FeducciaC
2112101.232.654
Totalt32686363
BATTING
2B: Palacios, R (7, Warren, W).
HR: Mesa Jr. (4, 2nd inning off Warren, W, 0 on, 1 out); Feduccia (2, 4th inning off Warren, W, 1 on, 1 out); Díaz, Y (13, 4th inning off Warren, W, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Díaz, Y 5; Feduccia 4; Mesa Jr. 5; Palacios, R 3; Walls.
RBI: Díaz, Y 2 (55); Feduccia 2 (11); Mesa Jr. (10); Palacios, R (26).
2-out RBI: Díaz, Y.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Aranda.
Team RISP: 2-for-3.
Team LOB: 5.
FIELDING
E: Booser (1, pickoff).
Outfield assists: Mesa Jr. (Bellinger at 2nd base).
a-Grounded out for Palacios, R in the 6th.

New York Yankees — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Will Warren(L, 7-4)
4.076623375-484.15
Tim Hill
1.210000016-123.97
Paul Blackburn
1.100011020-112.22
Brent Headrick
1.000002011-91.42

Tampa Bay Rays — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Ian Seymour(W, 6-1)
5.1533012194-634.11
Kevin Kelly(H, 19)
1.041101014-112.57
Cam Booser(H, 3)
0.20000107-41.35
Garrett Cleavinger(H, 15)
1.010002017-133.86
Bryan Baker(S, 24)
1.010001014-111.78

Kampinfo

Dommere: Home Plate: Gabe Morales; First Base: Doug Eddings; Second Base: Mike Muchlinski; Third Base: Emil Jimenez
Stadion: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Vær: 72°F, Dome
Vind: 0 mph, None

New York Yankees — Nyheter

Tampa Bay Rays — Nyheter

Sesongsammenligning

Yankees
STAT
Rays
50-40 Resultat 52-36
55.6% Win % 59.1%
.556 PCT .591
432 Runs for 397
350 Runs mot 366
90 Spilte kamper 88
W1 Rekke L3
2-8 Siste 10 7-3
23-20 Hjemmeresultat 31-13
27-20 Borteresultat 21-23

Innbyrdes

2
Siste 3 moter
1
Jul 6
Yankees 5 - 1 Rays
Mai 24
Rays 0 - 2 Yankees
Mai 22
Rays 4 - 2 Yankees

Yankees Siste

Jul 6 @ Rays 5-1 W
Jul 5 vs Twins 6-1 L
Jul 4 vs Twins 11-4 L
Jul 3 vs Twins 2-5 W
Jul 1 vs Tigers 6-2 L

Rays Siste

Jul 6 vs Yankees 5-1 L
Jul 5 @ Astros 0-2 L
Jul 4 @ Astros 8-10 L
Jul 3 @ Astros 3-1 W
Jul 2 @ Royals 5-2 W

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