Tilbake til kamper Fredag, Mai 22, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Toronto Blue Jays — Mai 22, 2026 | AI-prediksjon og statistikk

Rogers Centre, Toronto
68°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Kevin Gausman L Bubba Chandler SV Louis Varland

Resultattavle

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Pirates 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 7 3
Blue Jays 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 - 6 5 0

AI-PROGNOSENevralt nettverk prognose

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Pirates 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 4
Blue Jays 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3
Confidence: 73% Pirates favored
This interleague matchup features a fascinating contrast between veteran stability and emerging talent. Kevin Gausman brings his reliable splitter-fastball combination to the mound for Toronto, sporting a solid 3.45 ERA and excellent command (1.05 WHIP). However, the Blue Jays enter this game severely compromised by injuries, missing key contributors José Berríos, Alejandro Kirk, and Anthony Santander. Their offense has been inconsistent despite Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s steady production. Pittsburgh counters with rookie sensation Bubba Chandler, whose triple-digit fastball has been turning heads. The young right-hander's velocity readings consistently hit 98-100 mph, creating a significant challenge for a Toronto lineup that's managed just 202 runs in 50 games. The Pirates' superior run differential (+26 vs Toronto's -10) reflects better overall team performance, though both clubs have shown recent volatility. Pittsburgh's offensive depth, led by Oneil Cruz's 10 home runs and Ryan O'Hearn's .289 average (though O'Hearn is currently on IL), provides multiple threats that Toronto's depleted pitching staff may struggle to contain. The cool evening conditions at Rogers Centre could suppress offense slightly, favoring the pitchers in what should be a competitive, lower-scoring affair. Pittsburgh's bullpen depth and overall roster health give them a meaningful edge in a game where small margins will likely determine the outcome.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Chandler's velocity advantage early vs Jays struggling lineup
Middle (4-6) 2R Both pitchers settle in, quality at-bats from veterans
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpen battle with Pirates depth showing edge

Matchup Analysis

Blue Jays

Kevin Gausman's command and splitter
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. power threat
Home field advantage at Rogers Centre
Injury-decimated roster missing Berríos, Kirk, Santander
Poor road offense translating to overall struggles

Pirates

Bubba Chandler's elite velocity and youth
Superior run differential (+26 vs -10)
Oneil Cruz and Brandon Lowe power combo
Chandler's relative inexperience
Recent 4-6 stretch in last 10 games

Risk Factors

Cool 58-degree weather affecting ball carry
Both teams on modest win streaks creating pressure

Key Matchups

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Bubba Chandler batter Veteran experience vs velocity
Oneil Cruz vs Kevin Gausman batter Cruz's power vs Gausman's splitter location
Brandon Lowe vs Kevin Gausman pitcher Gausman's command should neutralize Lowe's swing

Statistical Edges

First to Score Pirates 65%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 7 6-9

Game Preview

The game begins with Bubba Chandler's electric stuff immediately evident, as his 99-mph fastball overwhelms Toronto's leadoff hitters in a clean first inning. Kevin Gausman responds with precision, using his splitter to induce weak contact from Pittsburgh's top of the order. The Pirates break through in the third inning when Oneil Cruz launches a two-run homer to left field, capitalizing on a mistake splitter that catches too much of the plate. Toronto answers quickly in the fifth as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. works a patient at-bat against Chandler before driving home Ernie Clement with a sharp single to right. Pittsburgh extends their lead in the same frame when Nick Gonzales manufactures a run with aggressive baserunning, scoring on a wild pitch after reaching on an infield single. The Blue Jays mount a late rally in the eighth inning, with Kazuma Okamoto's clutch RBI double cutting the deficit to one run. However, Pittsburgh's bullpen holds firm in the ninth, with closer duties falling to their deeper relief corps. Chandler's dominant performance through six innings, combined with timely hitting from Cruz and steady contributions throughout the Pirates' lineup, proves decisive. The final score reflects Pittsburgh's superior depth and health advantage, as they complete a solid road victory while Toronto's injury-plagued roster falls just short of a comeback.
Pittsburgh's significant advantages in run differential (+26 vs -10) and roster health, combined with Chandler's elite velocity against a struggling Toronto offense, create a clear edge for the visitors. However, Gausman's quality and home field keep this from being a blowout prediction.
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Pittsburgh Pirates — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz
DH .2521033.319.447
Brandon Lowe
2B .2631332.356.560
Nick Gonzales
3B .323021.381.372
Bryan Reynolds
LF .243432.370.376
Konnor Griffin
SS .271320.324.398
Jared Triolo
1B .25903.306.293
Endy Rodríguez
C .37502.500.438
Esmerlyn Valdez
RF .00000.250.000
Jake Mangum
CF .25005.320.273

Toronto Blue Jays — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
George Springer
DH .203412.285.350
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B .283322.375.370
Daulton Varsho
CF .272516.344.434
Kazuma Okamoto
3B .2131027.296.404
Yohendrick Piñango
LF .295110.338.393
Ernie Clement
2B .297316.323.432
Myles Straw
RF .25026.322.363
Brandon Valenzuela
C .232410.315.390
Andrés Giménez
SS .233527.270.380

Scoringer

1
Spencer Horwitz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Brandon Lowe scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd.
1-0
3
Daulton Varsho reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Spencer Horwitz. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Daulton Varsho to 2nd. Throwing error by first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
1-1
3
Yohendrick Piñango doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Daulton Varsho scores.
1-3
8
Bryan Reynolds grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Brandon Lowe scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd.
2-3
8
Jesús Sánchez doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Ernie Clement scores.
2-4
8
George Springer hits a ground-rule double (6) on a line drive down the right-field line. Myles Straw scores. Brandon Valenzuela scores.
2-6

Pittsburgh Pirates — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Oneil CruzDH
4000020.252.766
Brandon Lowe2B
3220100.263.916
Nick Gonzales3B
4020010.323.753
Bryan ReynoldsLF
1001000.243.746
Konnor GriffinSS
4000030.271.722
Jared Triolo1B
0000000.259.599
Endy RodríguezC
4020010.375.938
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
3000120.000.250
Jake MangumCF
3000000.250.593
Totalt322722110
BATTING
2B: Gonzales, N (8, Gausman).
TB: Garcia, Jh; Gonzales, N 3; Lowe, B 2; Rodríguez, E 2.
RBI: Horwitz (22); Reynolds, B (32).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Griffin; Lowe, B; Cruz, O 2; Garcia, Jh.
SAC: Mangum.
SF: Horwitz.
Team RISP: 0-for-9.
Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING
E: Gonzales, N (4, fielding); Rodríguez, E (1, catcher interference); Horwitz (1, throw).
a-Grounded out for Ozuna in the 8th.

Toronto Blue Jays — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
George SpringerDH
3112120.203.635
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
4110100.283.745
Daulton VarshoCF
3100220.272.778
Kazuma Okamoto3B
4000040.213.700
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
4012010.295.731
Ernie Clement2B
3110110.297.755
Myles StrawRF
0100000.250.685
Brandon ValenzuelaC
2100210.232.705
Andrés GiménezSS
4000030.233.650
Totalt316557150
BATTING
2B: Piñango (3, Chandler); Clement (17, Santana, D); Sánchez, J (7, Santana, D); Springer (6, Santana, D).
TB: Clement 2; Guerrero Jr.; Piñango 2; Springer 2; Sánchez, J 2.
RBI: Piñango 2 (10); Springer 2 (12); Sánchez, J (22).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Varsho; Piñango; Giménez; Sánchez, J.
Team RISP: 3-for-14.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Clement (2, 2nd base off Chandler/Rodríguez, E); Straw (2, 3rd base off Santana, D/Rodríguez, E); Valenzuela (1, 2nd base off Santana, D/Rodríguez, E).
1-Ran for Sánchez, J in the 8th.

Pittsburgh Pirates — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Bubba Chandler(L, 1-6)
5.0231311099-634.79
Brandan Bidois
1.000011020-123.38
Justin Lawrence
1.000021020-115.31
Dennis Santana
1.033312031-215.48

Toronto Blue Jays — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Kevin Gausman(W, 4-3)
6.261118094-653.23
Mason Fluharty(H, 7)
0.11111008-35.00
Louis Varland(S, 7)
2.000003031-220.65

Kampinfo

Dommere: Home Plate: Alex MacKay; First Base: Alan Porter; Second Base: Willie Traynor; Third Base: Jim Wolf
Stadion: Rogers Centre, Toronto
Vær: 68°F, Roof Closed
Vind: 0 mph, None

Pittsburgh Pirates — Nyheter

Toronto Blue Jays — Nyheter

Sesongsammenligning

Pirates
STAT
Blue Jays
33-28 Resultat 29-32
54.1% Win % 47.5%
.541 PCT .475
311 Runs for 247
276 Runs mot 255
61 Spilte kamper 61
W4 Rekke L3
7-3 Siste 10 5-5
18-15 Hjemmeresultat 17-13
15-13 Borteresultat 12-19

Innbyrdes

2
Siste 3 moter
1
Mai 24
Pirates 4 - 1 Blue Jays
Mai 23
Pirates 2 - 5 Blue Jays
Mar 21
Blue Jays 3 - 8 Pirates

Pirates Siste

Jun 2 @ Astros 10-6 W
Mai 31 vs Twins 3-9 W
Mai 30 vs Twins 9-10 W
Mai 29 vs Twins 5-6 W
Mai 28 vs Cubs 7-2 L

Blue Jays Siste

Jun 3 @ Braves 3-7 L
Jun 2 @ Braves 3-4 L
Mai 31 @ Orioles 5-9 L
Mai 30 @ Orioles 5-6 L
Mai 29 @ Orioles 6-5 W

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