Tilbake til kamper Fredag, Mai 29, 2026

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals — Mai 29, 2026 | AI-prediksjon og statistikk

Nationals Park, Washington
78°F, Clear
11 mph, Out To RF
W Jeremiah Estrada L Mitchell Parker SV Mason Miller

Resultattavle

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Padres 1 0 1 2 0 1 2 0 0 7 10 1
Nationals 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 9 2

AI-PROGNOSENevralt nettverk prognose

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Padres 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Nationals 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 62% Nationals favored
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between Lucas Giolito's veteran savvy and Paxton Schultz's meteoric rise through Washington's depleted rotation. Giolito brings a 2.70 ERA and extensive postseason experience to the mound, featuring a devastating changeup that comprises nearly 40% of his arsenal. His ability to sequence his four-pitch mix should give him an edge against a Nationals lineup that has shown inconsistency despite recent offensive outbursts. Schultz's microscopic 0.25 ERA is certainly eye-catching, but it comes with the caveat of extremely limited sample size and questionable sustainability against major league hitters. The Nationals find themselves in an interesting position, playing better on the road (19-12) than at home (10-16), which is unusual for most teams. CJ Abrams has emerged as their primary offensive catalyst with 12 home runs and 47 RBIs, providing the kind of middle-of-the-order production that can change games. Luis García Jr. has also contributed solid run production, though the supporting cast around them remains inconsistent. Washington's rotation depth issues, evidenced by six pitchers currently on the injured list, have forced them to rely heavily on young arms like Schultz. San Diego enters this series in a concerning four-game slide, having been shut out twice against Philadelphia and managing just nine runs total in their last four contests. The absence of Jake Cronenworth due to concussion symptoms removes a key piece of their offensive puzzle, while Luis Campusano's toe fracture further depletes their depth. Xander Bogaerts and the veteran core need to break out of their recent funk to support Giolito's quality starts. The Padres' road success (15-8) suggests they handle travel well, but their recent offensive struggles could persist against even inexperienced pitching. The bullpen matchup appears relatively even, with both teams managing their relief corps through various injury concerns. Washington's recent offensive explosion against Cleveland (scoring 16 runs in two games) demonstrates their ceiling, while San Diego's ability to win low-scoring affairs gives them multiple paths to victory. Weather conditions should favor hitters with clear skies and warm temperatures, potentially benefiting the team that can break through first.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Both starters settle after first inning runs
Middle (4-6) 5R Key offensive push as starters tire around innings 4-6
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpens mostly effective in close finish

Matchup Analysis

Nationals

Strong recent offensive output
CJ Abrams providing power threat
Home venue advantage despite poor home record
Decimated starting rotation depth
Poor home record (10-16)

Padres

Lucas Giolito's veteran experience
Better overall record and run differential
Strong road performance (15-8)
Currently in 4-game losing streak
Offensive struggles in recent games
Key injuries to Cronenworth and Campusano

Risk Factors

Schultz's extremely limited MLB experience
Padres' recent offensive struggles continuing

Key Matchups

CJ Abrams vs Lucas Giolito batter Abrams' power vs Giolito's changeup-heavy approach
Xander Bogaerts vs Paxton Schultz batter Veteran experience against young pitcher's limited arsenal

Statistical Edges

First to Score Padres 55%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Lucas Giolito takes the mound under the lights at Nationals Park, looking to halt San Diego's four-game skid against a Washington team that has shown flashes of offensive brilliance. The veteran right-hander works around early trouble, surrendering a lead-off single to CJ Abrams before escaping with a double play. Paxton Schultz, making just his fourth MLB appearance, shows early nerves as Xander Bogaerts works a lead-off walk and eventually scores on a Jackson Merrill sacrifice fly to give the Padres an early 1-0 advantage. The Nationals respond quickly in the second inning, as Luis García Jr. drives home Jacob Young with a clutch two-out single to even the score. Both starters settle into a rhythm through the third, but the game opens up in the fourth when Washington plates two runs on consecutive singles by Abrams and García, taking their first lead at 3-1. Giolito's pitch count climbs as he battles through traffic, while Schultz begins to show his inexperience as Ramón Laureano launches a solo homer in the fifth to cut the deficit. The middle innings prove crucial as both starters reach their limits. San Diego ties the game 3-3 in the sixth on a Bogaerts RBI single, but Washington immediately answers in the bottom half when Young connects for a solo shot of his own. The Padres mount one final threat in the seventh, pushing across a run to tie it 4-4, but the Nationals' bullpen holds firm in the final two frames. In the bottom of the ninth, with two outs and a runner in scoring position, Abrams delivers the game-winner with a sharp single up the middle, sending the Nationals to a thrilling 5-4 victory and extending San Diego's losing streak to five games.
The confidence level reflects the uncertainty around Schultz's limited experience against Giolito's proven track record, balanced by Washington's recent offensive surge and San Diego's current struggles. The home team gets the slight edge despite their poor home record due to momentum and matchup advantages.
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San Diego Padres — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Fernando Tatis Jr.
RF .268017.345.307
Sung-Mun Song
2B .19004.320.238
Xander Bogaerts
SS .240725.304.362
Manny Machado
3B .171928.268.337
Jackson Merrill
CF .201521.274.332
Miguel Andujar
DH .265517.291.452
Ramón Laureano
LF .207721.287.380
Ty France
1B .286617.314.541
Freddy Fermin
C .13404.232.175

Washington Nationals — Tropp

SpillerPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
James Wood
DH .2731537.414.545
Luis García Jr.
1B .262427.285.413
Curtis Mead
3B .244822.360.496
CJ Abrams
SS .2911247.392.544
Dylan Crews
CF .23712.256.342
Daylen Lile
RF .258727.312.424
José Tena
LF .229313.283.400
Drew Millas
C .17017.247.239
Jorbit Vivas
2B .23815.325.327

Scoringer

1
Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Daylen Lile. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.
1-0
1
Curtis Mead homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. James Wood scores.
1-2
2
Keibert Ruiz homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.
1-3
3
Manny Machado singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Gavin Sheets scores.
2-3
3
Dylan Crews singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. CJ Abrams scores.
2-4
4
Freddy Fermin grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr. Ramón Laureano scores. Ty France to 2nd.
3-4
4
Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Ty France scores.
4-4
5
Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Curtis Mead scores. CJ Abrams to 2nd.
4-5
6
Ty France homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.
5-5
7
Jackson Merrill homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Xander Bogaerts scores.
7-5

San Diego Padres — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
5131000.268.652
Sung-Mun Song2B
0000000.190.558
Xander BogaertsSS
4101010.240.666
Manny Machado3B
4011110.171.605
Jackson MerrillCF
4112101.201.606
Miguel AndujarDH
5010010.265.743
Ramón LaureanoLF
4100100.207.667
Ty France1B
3221001.286.855
Freddy FerminC
4001010.134.407
Totalt367107452
BATTING
HR: France, T (6, 6th inning off Parker, 0 on, 1 out); Merrill (5, 7th inning off Parker, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Andujar; France, T 5; Machado, M; Merrill 4; Sheets 2; Tatis Jr. 3.
RBI: Bogaerts (25); Fermin (4); France, T (17); Machado, M (28); Merrill 2 (21); Tatis Jr. (17).
2-out RBI: Tatis Jr.; Merrill 2; Machado, M.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Andujar; Bogaerts 3.
SF: Bogaerts.
Team RISP: 3-for-8.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
SB: Laureano 2 (7, 2nd base off Alvarez/Ruiz, K, 2nd base off Alvarez/Ruiz, K).
FIELDING
E: Tatis Jr. (2, fielding).
Outfield assists: Sheets (García Jr., L at 2nd base).
1-Ran for Sheets in the 8th.

Washington Nationals — Batting

SpillerABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
James WoodDH
3100200.273.959
Luis García Jr.1B
5010010.262.698
Curtis Mead3B
4222111.244.856
CJ AbramsSS
2100220.291.936
Dylan CrewsCF
5011000.237.598
Daylen LileRF
5010010.258.736
José TenaLF
1010000.229.683
Drew MillasC
0000000.170.486
Jorbit Vivas2B
1000000.238.652
Totalt35595682
BATTING
HR: Mead (8, 1st inning off Giolito, 1 on, 1 out); Ruiz, K (5, 2nd inning off Giolito, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Crews; García Jr., L; Lile; Mead 5; Ruiz, K 5; Tena; Young.
RBI: Crews (2); Mead 2 (22); Ruiz, K (25); Young (25).
2-out RBI: Young; Crews.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: García Jr., L 2; Ruiz, K 3; Lile 2.
Team RISP: 3-for-12.
Team LOB: 10.
BASERUNNING
SB: Abrams (9, 2nd base off Giolito/Fermin).
FIELDING
E: Nuñez, N (7, throw); Ruiz, K (5, catcher interference).
DP: (Nuñez, N-García Jr., L).
a-Singled for Young in the 8th.
b-Flied out for Nuñez, N in the 8th.
1-Ran for Ruiz, K in the 8th.

San Diego Padres — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Lucas Giolito
2.254441277-414.97
Yuki Matsui
2.011101022-170.64
Jeremiah Estrada(W, 2-1)
1.110002019-142.79
Adrian Morejon(H, 11)
1.100002013-103.99
Jason Adam(H, 12)
0.12000006-40.95
Mason Miller(S, 17)
1.100022030-170.72

Washington Nationals — Pitching

PitcherIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Paxton Schultz
1.021111026-175.49
Andrew Alvarez
3.053321074-454.02
Orlando Ribalta
1.00000007-51.98
Mitchell Parker(L, 2-2)(BS, 3)
2.023101245-275.28
Cole Henry
2.010012032-205.00

Kampinfo

Dommere: Home Plate: Mark Ripperger; First Base: Derek Thomas; Second Base: Dan Merzel; Third Base: Dan Bellino
Stadion: Nationals Park, Washington
Vær: 78°F, Clear
Vind: 11 mph, Out To RF

San Diego Padres — Nyheter

Washington Nationals — Nyheter

Sesongsammenligning

Padres
STAT
Nationals
32-27 Resultat 31-31
54.2% Win % 50.0%
.542 PCT .500
229 Runs for 330
236 Runs mot 337
59 Spilte kamper 62
L3 Rekke L2
3-7 Siste 10 6-4
16-16 Hjemmeresultat 12-19
16-11 Borteresultat 19-12

Innbyrdes

0
Siste 2 moter
2
Mai 31
Padres 2 - 4 Nationals
Mai 30
Padres 4 - 9 Nationals

Padres Siste

Jun 2 @ Phillies 2-3 L
Mai 31 @ Nationals 2-4 L
Mai 30 @ Nationals 4-9 L
Mai 27 vs Phillies 3-0 L
Mai 26 vs Phillies 4-3 L

Nationals Siste

Jun 3 vs Marlins 4-1 L
Jun 2 vs Marlins 7-3 L
Jun 1 vs Marlins 7-3 L
Mai 31 vs Padres 2-4 W
Mai 30 vs Padres 4-9 W

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