경기 목록으로 돌아가기 금요일, 5월 15, 2026

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros — 5월 15, 2026 | AI 예측 & 통계

Daikin Park, Houston
73°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Spencer Arrighetti L Jack Leiter SV Bryan King

스코어보드

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Rangers 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Astros 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 - 2 5 1

AI 예측뉴럴 네트워크 예측

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rangers 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 5
Astros 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 52% Astros favored
This AL West rivalry matchup features two struggling teams heading in opposite directions, with Texas (21-22) visiting a Houston club (17-28) decimated by injuries. The Rangers enter with momentum from a two-game winning streak and have played .500 ball, while the Astros limp in having lost seven of their last ten games. Houston's injury report reads like a medical textbook, missing key players including Carlos Correa, Jeremy Peña, Josh Hader, and multiple starting pitchers. Spencer Arrighetti takes the mound for Houston with concerning recent velocity dips, averaging just 84.7 mph in his last start compared to his season norm. His curveball-heavy approach (32.4%) could be exploited by Rangers hitters like Brandon Nimmo and Jake Burger, both capable of working deep counts and capitalizing on mistakes. Jack Leiter counters for Texas with better velocity (96.8 mph average fastball) but his own command issues, having walked 4+ batters in recent outings. The young right-hander's four-seam fastball/changeup combination will be tested by Yordan Alvarez, who remains Houston's most dangerous threat despite the team's struggles. Both bullpens will likely see significant action given the starters' recent inconsistencies, with Texas holding a slight edge in depth despite missing Chris Martin and Robert Garcia.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both offenses capitalize on pitcher command issues early
Middle (4-6) 4R Astros find rhythm against Leiter, Rangers respond with timely hitting
Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen battle with Houston getting crucial late run

Matchup Analysis

Astros

Yordan Alvarez power threat
Christian Walker veteran presence
Home field advantage
Massive injury list depleting roster
Poor recent form (3-7 L10)

Rangers

Better overall record (.488 vs .378)
Winning streak momentum
Solid bullpen depth
Jack Leiter inconsistency
Road struggles (10-12)
Key injuries to Langford and Smith

Risk Factors

Astros' massive injury list
Both pitchers prone to big innings

Key Matchups

Yordan Alvarez vs Jack Leiter batter Power vs command issues
Brandon Nimmo vs Spencer Arrighetti batter Patient approach vs walks
Jake Burger vs Spencer Arrighetti batter Power hitter vs homer prone pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rangers 58%
Strikeouts 16 12-20
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

Jack Leiter will establish early rhythm, but Brandon Nimmo leads off the Rangers' second inning with a double, eventually scoring on an Ezequiel Duran RBI single for the game's first run. Houston responds quickly in the bottom half as Jose Altuve reaches on an infield single and Yordan Alvarez launches a two-run homer to right field, giving the Astros a 2-1 lead. The fourth inning becomes pivotal as Leiter loses command, walking two batters before Jake Burger drives home both runs with a clutch two-out double. Texas immediately answers in the fifth when Kyle Higashioka surprises with a solo home run off Arrighetti's hanging curveball, knotting the game at 3-3. The middle innings see both bullpens enter, with the Rangers taking a 4-3 lead in the seventh on another Duran RBI single. Houston rallies in the eighth as Christian Walker's sacrifice fly ties the game, setting up extra-inning drama. The decisive moment comes in the bottom of the tenth when pinch-hitter Alex Bregman delivers a walk-off RBI single, capping a dramatic 5-4 Houston victory that provides a brief respite from their season-long struggles.
The confidence level reflects the unpredictable nature of two underperforming teams with significant injury concerns. Houston's home field advantage barely outweighs their extensive roster depletion and poor recent form, making this essentially a coin-flip game that could easily swing either direction based on which struggling pitcher performs better.
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Texas Rangers — 로스터

선수포지션AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Andrew McCutchen
DH .21415.286.304
Ezequiel Duran
SS .274315.345.453
Brandon Nimmo
RF .276412.357.417
Josh Jung
3B .316520.363.497
Evan Carter
CF .174513.295.326
Jake Burger
1B .224727.263.385
Alejandro Osuna
LF .25606.431.282
Kyle Higashioka
C .19415.260.254
Justin Foscue
2B .21412.214.429

Houston Astros — 로스터

선수포지션AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Brice Matthews
2B .208413.261.377
Nick Allen
SS .21900.265.250
Yordan Alvarez
DH .3211430.431.637
Christian Walker
1B .2651029.342.506
Braden Shewmake
3B .36637.366.610
Zach Dezenzo
LF .15812.238.421
Zach Cole
CF .22626.250.452
Cam Smith
RF .199417.289.318
Christian Vázquez
C .253312.306.418

득점 장면

3
Isaac Paredes homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.
0-1
8
Braden Shewmake singles on a line drive to left fielder Alejandro Osuna. Nick Allen scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.
0-2

Texas Rangers — 타격

선수ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Andrew McCutchenDH
1000000.214.590
Ezequiel DuranSS
4000030.274.798
Brandon NimmoRF
3000100.276.774
Josh Jung3B
4000000.316.860
Evan CarterCF
3000000.174.621
Jake Burger1B
2000110.224.648
Alejandro OsunaLF
2000100.256.713
Kyle HigashiokaC
3000000.194.514
Justin Foscue2B
3010000.214.643
합계27010460
BATTING
TB: Foscue.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Foscue; Higashioka.
GIDP: Nimmo.
Team RISP: 0-for-3.
Team LOB: 4.
BASERUNNING
SB: Burger (1, 2nd base off Arrighetti/Vázquez, C).
PO: Foscue (1st base by Vázquez, C).
a-Flied out for Pederson in the 8th.

Houston Astros — 타격

선수ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Brice Matthews2B
4020010.208.638
Nick AllenSS
0100000.219.515
Yordan AlvarezDH
3010100.3211.068
Christian Walker1B
3000120.265.848
Braden Shewmake3B
4011000.366.976
Zach DezenzoLF
3000120.158.659
Zach ColeCF
3000010.226.702
Cam SmithRF
3000020.199.607
Christian VázquezC
3000010.253.724
합계29252391
BATTING
HR: Paredes (4, 3rd inning off Leiter, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Alvarez, Y; Matthews 2; Paredes 4; Shewmake.
RBI: Paredes (18); Shewmake (7).
2-out RBI: Paredes; Shewmake.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Dezenzo; Shewmake.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING
E: Paredes (2, fielding).
Pickoffs: Vázquez, C (Foscue at 1st base).
DP: (Walker, C-Shewmake).
1-Ran for Paredes in the 8th.

Texas Rangers — 투구

투수IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jack Leiter(L, 1-4)
7.031136198-594.35
Cole Winn
1.021103024-165.00

Houston Astros — 투구

투수IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Spencer Arrighetti(W, 5-1)
7.1100450102-621.50
Bryan King(S, 4)
1.200001017-113.26

경기 정보

심판: Home Plate: Ron Kulpa; First Base: Dillon Wilson; Second Base: Manny Gonzalez; Third Base: Tom Hanahan
구장: Daikin Park, Houston
날씨: 73°F, Roof Closed
바람: 0 mph, None

Texas Rangers — 뉴스

Houston Astros — 뉴스

시즌 비교

Rangers
STAT
Astros
42-42 기록 42-44
50.0% Win % 48.8%
.500 PCT .488
340 득점 387
348 실점 429
84 경기 수 86
W4 연속 W2
7-3 최근 10경기 7-3
19-18 홈 기록 20-21
23-24 원정 기록 22-23

상대 전적

2
최근 5 대결
3
5월 28
Astros 5 - 1 Rangers
5월 27
Astros 4 - 3 Rangers
5월 26
Astros 7 - 10 Rangers
5월 25
Astros 9 - 0 Rangers
5월 17
Rangers 8 - 0 Astros

Rangers 최근

6월 28 @ Blue Jays 3-2 W
6월 27 @ Blue Jays 7-4 W
6월 26 @ Blue Jays 5-4 W
6월 25 @ Blue Jays 6-5 W
6월 24 @ Marlins 2-4 L

Astros 최근

6월 28 @ Tigers 7-5 W
6월 27 @ Tigers 8-6 W
6월 26 @ Tigers 0-8 L
6월 25 @ Tigers 2-1 W
6월 24 @ Blue Jays 3-1 W

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