경기 목록으로 돌아가기 화요일, 4월 21, 2026

Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets — 4월 21, 2026 | AI 예측 & 통계

Citi Field, Flushing
46°F, Partly Cloudy
11 mph, Out To LF
W Cole Sands L Devin Williams

스코어보드

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Twins 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 2 5 6 0
Mets 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 0

AI 예측뉴럴 네트워크 예측

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Twins 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 6
Mets 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Twins favored
This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, with the Mets mired in a franchise-worst 11-game losing streak while the Twins look to snap their own four-game skid. The pitching matchup heavily favors Minnesota, as Simeon Woods Richardson's 6.10 ERA still looks appealing compared to the uncertainty surrounding Nolan McLean's limited MLB experience. The Mets' offensive struggles are compounded by key injuries to Juan Soto and Jorge Polanco, leaving them without two of their most reliable producers. Luis Robert Jr. and Marcus Semien provide some pop, but this lineup has managed just 72 runs in 22 games. The Twins counter with Josh Bell leading their attack at .263 with 15 RBI, though Matt Wallner and James Outman have struggled significantly. The 46-degree temperature and night conditions at Citi Field should suppress offensive production, but both starting pitchers have shown vulnerability that could create scoring opportunities despite the cold. Minnesota's superior run differential (+12 vs -25) reflects better overall team construction, even with both clubs currently struggling. The Mets desperately need this game to avoid extending their historic losing streak, but their depleted roster and shaken confidence create significant obstacles. Minnesota has the advantage in nearly every measurable category, from record to run production to pitching depth, making them the logical choice despite their own recent struggles.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both pitchers vulnerable early, cold weather limits offense
Middle (4-6) 4R Starters exit, better conditions for hitting
Late (7-9) 4R Depleted bullpens create scoring opportunities

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Home field advantage at Citi Field
Nolan McLean's diverse pitch mix
Desperate team motivation
Catastrophic 11-game losing streak
Juan Soto and Jorge Polanco injured
Worst record in majors at 7-15

Twins

Josh Bell's strong offensive production (15 RBI)
Better overall record despite recent slide
Superior run differential (+12 vs -25)
Four-game losing streak
Simeon Woods Richardson's 6.10 ERA
Royce Lewis injury depletes lineup

Risk Factors

Cold 46-degree weather may suppress offense
Both teams on losing streaks create unpredictability

Key Matchups

Josh Bell vs Nolan McLean batter Bell leading Twins offense vs inexperienced starter
Luis Robert Jr. vs Simeon Woods Richardson batter Robert's power potential against struggling pitcher

Statistical Edges

First to Score Twins 65%
Strikeouts 13 10-16
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

The game opens with both teams pressing for early offense, as Woods Richardson's control issues allow the Twins to scratch across a run in the first inning when Bell works a leadoff walk and eventually scores on a wild pitch. McLean settles in initially but falters in the third inning, surrendering a two-run double to Wallner that gives Minnesota a 3-1 advantage. The Mets respond in the fourth with their best offensive sequence of the streak, as Robert Jr. launches a solo homer and Semien drives in another run with a timely two-out single. The middle innings become a bullpen game as both starters exit early, with the Twins extending their lead in the fifth on another Bell RBI and again in the seventh when defensive miscues by the struggling Mets lead to two unearned runs. New York makes one final push in the ninth inning, loading the bases with one out, but Taylor Rogers escapes the jam with a double play to preserve the 6-5 victory. The loss extends the Mets' losing streak to 12 games, while Minnesota snaps their four-game slide and moves back to .500 at 12-11.
The confidence level reflects Minnesota's clear advantages in pitching matchup, overall team health, and run differential, though both teams' recent struggles and cold weather conditions create enough uncertainty to prevent higher confidence. The Mets' desperation could spark an upset, but their depleted roster and historic losing streak suggest continued struggles.
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Minnesota Twins — 로스터

선수포지션AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Byron Buxton
CF .23346.295.430
Austin Martin
LF .31115.484.444
James Outman
DH .09100.167.136
Ryan Jeffers
C .263212.382.439
Kody Clemens
1B .16723.271.333
Luke Keaschall
2B .222112.268.289
Matt Wallner
RF .18737.282.333
Royce Lewis
3B .20028.347.400
Brooks Lee
SS .206312.270.353

New York Mets — 로스터

선수포지션AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Marcus Semien
2B .22518.292.300
Francisco Lindor
SS .20924.301.341
Luis Robert Jr.
CF .24327.349.351
Bo Bichette
3B .21919.255.281
Luis Torrens
DH .24004.240.320
Francisco Alvarez
C .25045.357.467
Tyrone Taylor
RF .20016.226.333
Mark Vientos
1B .23226.267.375
Carson Benge
LF .13613.219.197

득점 장면

3
Francisco Lindor homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Carson Benge scores. Marcus Semien scores.
0-3
6
Byron Buxton homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Wallner scores.
2-3
7
Luke Keaschall singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Kody Clemens scores.
3-3
9
Luke Keaschall singles on a ground ball to left fielder Carson Benge. James Outman scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd. Kody Clemens to 2nd.
4-3
9
Matt Wallner walks. Ryan Jeffers scores. Kody Clemens to 3rd. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.
5-3

Minnesota Twins — 타격

선수ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Byron BuxtonCF
5112031.233.725
Austin MartinLF
0000000.311.928
James OutmanDH
0100000.091.303
Ryan JeffersC
3100120.263.821
Kody Clemens1B
3110010.167.604
Luke Keaschall2B
4022010.222.557
Matt WallnerRF
3111110.187.615
Royce Lewis3B
4000020.200.747
Brooks LeeSS
4000040.206.623
합계335653151
BATTING
2B: Clemens (1, McLean).
HR: Buxton (4, 6th inning off McLean, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Buxton 4; Clemens 2; Keaschall 2; Larnach; Wallner.
RBI: Buxton 2 (6); Keaschall 2 (12); Wallner (7).
2-out RBI: Buxton 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Lewis, R; Buxton 2.
SAC: Clemens.
Team RISP: 2-for-7.
Team LOB: 5.
BASERUNNING
SB: Keaschall (5, 2nd base off McLean/Alvarez, F); Outman (3, 2nd base off Williams, D/Alvarez, F).
1-Ran for Bell in the 9th.

New York Mets — 타격

선수ABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Marcus Semien2B
3100110.225.592
Francisco LindorSS
3113111.209.642
Luis Robert Jr.CF
4000000.243.700
Bo Bichette3B
4010000.219.536
Luis TorrensDH
2000020.240.560
Francisco AlvarezC
4000010.250.824
Tyrone TaylorRF
2000020.200.559
Mark Vientos1B
2010100.232.642
Carson BengeLF
3100000.136.416
합계31343381
BATTING
HR: Lindor (2, 3rd inning off Woods Richardson, 2 on, 1 out).
TB: Baty; Bichette; Lindor 4; Vientos.
RBI: Lindor 3 (4).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Benge.
Team RISP: 1-for-2.
Team LOB: 4.
BASERUNNING
SB: Benge (6, 2nd base off Woods Richardson/Jeffers).
a-Struck out for Melendez, M in the 6th.
b-Struck out for Baty in the 6th.

Minnesota Twins — 투구

투수IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Simeon Woods Richardson
5.043332195-565.96
Anthony Banda
1.000002018-139.31
Justin Topa
1.000001017-113.97
Cole Sands(W, 1-1)
2.000003023-173.48

New York Mets — 투구

투수IPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nolan McLean
6.2533010199-632.67
Huascar Brazobán
1.100002016-100.00
Devin Williams(L, 0-1)
0.012230021-99.95
Austin Warren
1.000003012-95.40

경기 정보

심판: Home Plate: Ryan Additon; First Base: Ryan Wills; Second Base: Lance Barksdale; Third Base: Will Little
구장: Citi Field, Flushing
날씨: 46°F, Partly Cloudy
바람: 11 mph, Out To LF

Minnesota Twins — 뉴스

New York Mets — 뉴스

시즌 비교

Twins
STAT
Mets
29-34 기록 27-35
46.0% Win % 43.5%
.460 PCT .435
290 득점 251
314 실점 264
63 경기 수 62
L1 연속 W1
3-7 최근 10경기 5-5
17-15 홈 기록 15-15
12-19 원정 기록 12-20

상대 전적

0
최근 2 대결
2
4월 23
Twins 8 - 10 Mets
4월 22
Twins 2 - 3 Mets

Twins 최근

6월 3 vs White Sox 8-0 L
6월 2 vs White Sox 4-6 W
6월 1 vs White Sox 6-9 W
5월 31 @ Pirates 3-9 L
5월 30 @ Pirates 9-10 L

Mets 최근

6월 3 @ Mariners 7-1 W
6월 2 @ Mariners 3-8 L
6월 1 @ Mariners 2-3 L
5월 31 vs Marlins 1-10 W
5월 30 vs Marlins 1-6 W

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