Houston Astros vs New York Mets — 3月 21, 2026 | AI予測と統計

Expect another tight, late-spring matchup, but the Mets’ recent dominance in the season series and their deeper pitching staff give them a clear edge. Kodai Senga is lined up on regular rest and should neutralize the Astros’ right-heavy heart of the order with his splitter, while newcomer Jose Alvarado and Adam Ottavino anchor a rested bullpen that has allowed just two runs over its last 12 innings. Houston counters with Hunter Brown, whose command wobbles against lefties; look for Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Alvarez to capitalize early in the third inning when Brown typically turns the lineup over. The Astros’ offense has been feast-or-famine (22 runs in their last two wins, only 4 in three losses), and the trend continues: they scratch a run off Brown’s opposite number in the 2nd on a Jeremy Peña double, add single tallies against a tiring Senga in the 6th and against Drew Smith in the 8th, but never mount the crooked number they need. Jeff McNeil’s fifth-inning RBI knock and Pete Alonso’s two-run shot in the seventh provide breathing room, and Edwin Díaz slams the door with a clean ninth. The Mets extend their head-to-head advantage, stay above .500, and reinforce their top-five power-ranking status heading into the first full week of the season.