Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — 4月 1, 2026 | AI予測と統計

Casey Mize’s heavy-sink fastball and splitter profile well in Chase Field, and his command looked crisp throughout the spring. He should navigate the top of Arizona’s order early, but Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll are likely to scratch out a first-inning run before Mize settles in. Brandon Pfaadt’s fly-ball tendencies are a poor match against a Detroit lineup that’s begun to elevate more consistently; Kevin McGonigle’s disciplined approach and Spencer Torkelson’s pull-side power figure prominently in a two-run third inning that puts the Tigers ahead. Arizona’s bullpen depth remains thin after consecutive short starts, so Torey Lovullo will try to squeeze a fourth inning from Pfaadt. Detroit capitalizes in the sixth when Colt Keith drives an opposite-field RBI single off a tiring Pfaadt, stretching the lead to 4-2. The Tigers tack on an insurance run in the eighth against Miguel Castro when Riley Greene punches a line-drive RBI single to center. Arizona answers in the bottom half: a two-out rally sparked by Geraldo Perdomo and Alek Thomas chips the deficit to one, but Kyle Finnegan strands the tying run at third. Kenley Jansen, rested after an off-day, dots the ninth with cutters above the hands of Nolan Arenado and Marte to lock down his second save of the young season. Detroit’s slightly deeper bullpen, the matchup advantage of Mize over Pfaadt, and early-season form tilt a tight contest the Tigers’ way, 5-4.