Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves — 4月 13, 2026 | AI予測と統計

Atlanta’s offense has routinely punished Miami pitching, piling up 38 runs in their last four head-to-head wins, and nothing in the current matchup suggests that trend will reverse. Grant Holmes enters with sharp early-season command (1.08 WHIP, two quality starts out of three) and should work efficiently through six before handing the ball to a stingy back-end trio of Bummer, Kinley and Iglesias. Eury Pérez flashes elite stuff but continues to fight inconsistency and the long ball (12 HR in 95⅓ IP last year; four more already this season). A stacked left-right Atlanta core—Acuna, Albies, Olson, Riley, the sizzling rookie Drake Baldwin—forces Pérez into deep counts and cracks him for a two-run third and a solo shot in the fifth. Once Miami’s middle relief takes over, the Braves tack on a pair in the eighth. The Marlins’ best hope is speed and contact at the top—Xavier Edwards and Otto Lopez manufacture a run in the fourth, and a solo blast by Liam Hicks off Holmes in the sixth trims the gap—but Miami’s lineup remains too top-heavy and strikes out against Atlanta’s bullpen when it matters. With superior depth, recent form (WLWWW vs LLLWW), and home-field comfort, the Braves control the game wire-to-wire and widen their early NL East lead with a 6-2 victory.