San Francisco Giants vs Baltimore Orioles — 4月 10, 2026 | AI予測と統計

Shane Baz has opened 2026 with sharper command and an elevated four-seam velocity, and facing a Giants lineup that is striking out nearly 26 % of the time, he should be able to lean on his slider early. San Francisco’s only sustained threats project to come from Luis Arraez and Matt Chapman; Baz likely concedes a lone run in the 2nd after a soft-contact single and a sacrifice fly, and another in the 4th when Chapman turns on a hanging curve. Landen Roupp’s low-90s sinker plays when he’s down in the zone, but Baltimore’s hot bats—particularly Taylor Ward (.383/1.038 OPS) and Gunnar Henderson’s emerging power—match up well. Once the Orioles see Roupp a second time, expect a two-run 3rd keyed by Ward’s gap double and Henderson’s opposite-field homer. Roupp settles briefly, but the O’s manufacture an insurance run in the 6th when Leody Taveras legs out an infield hit and swipes second, setting up Blaze Alexander’s RBI single. Bullpen depth is the difference late. The Orioles can roll out Yennier Cano for the 7th, Grant Wolfram to bridge, and Ryan Helsley to close, all boasting sub-3 ERAs; meanwhile the Giants’ middle relief has been volatile, and an inherited runner is likely to score in both the 7th and 8th. Robbie Ray and Matt Gage give San Francisco a chance to keep it close, but the damage is already done. Baltimore’s balanced attack, surging form at Camden Yards, and the more reliable back end of the staff steer them to a 6-3 victory, nudging them above .500 while the Giants continue to search for consistent offense on the road.