Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds — 3月 28, 2026 | AI予測と統計

Expect a crisp, low-scoring first half before the depth and balance of Boston’s order tilt the game. Sonny Gray’s heavy sinker should play well in Great American Ball Park; look for six efficient innings with one run allowed, leaning on a strong infield defense anchored by Mayer and Story. Brady Singer matches zeros early, but his third-time-through issues surface in the sixth when Roman Anthony’s patience and Marcelo Mayer’s gap power spark a two-run rally. The Reds manufacture an early run via Sal Stewart’s opposite-field double and an Elly De La Cruz infield hit, but their lineup still looks disjointed—too right-hand–dominant against Gray’s sweeping breaker. Cincinnati’s bullpen, already stretched after Opening Day, yields tack-on runs in the seventh (Garrett Whitlock sacrifice fly off Connor Phillips) and ninth (Aroldis Chapman closes but Boston scratches one against Pierce Johnson before that). Boston’s late-inning trio of Whitlock, Slaten and Chapman slams the door, while Cincinnati’s lone late push comes in the eighth on a Matt McLain RBI single off Justin Slaten. Overall, Boston’s superior plate discipline (Anthony, Duran) and defense keep pressure off their pitching, and the Sox ride their momentum to a 5-2 win and a 2-0 start to 2026.