Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins — 4月 1, 2026 | AI予測と統計

Miami rides the matchup advantage on the mound and a deeper, hotter lineup to take the rubber game of the series. Sandy Alcantara, coming off a seven-shutout-inning opener, goes six strong again; his heavy sinker keeps the ball on the ground and neutralizes Chicago’s left-handed power, holding the Sox to solo shots from Munetaka Murakami in the 3rd and Miguel Vargas in the 6th. Shane Smith never settles in. The Marlins jump him in the first with Xavier Edwards’ leadoff single, an Otto Lopez hit-and-run, and Owen Caissie’s sac-fly. Smith’s command fades in the third—back-to-back walks set up Liam Hicks’ two-run double off the right-field wall—and he exits after four innings down 4-1. Miami’s depth shows in the middle frames: a manufactured run in the fifth (Jakob Marsee triple, Griffin Conine squeeze) and a seventh-inning burst when Caissie and Connor Norby lace RBI knocks against a fatigued White Sox bullpen. Chicago’s relievers continue their early-season struggles; free passes by Jordan Hicks and Seranthony Domínguez open the door, and Miami cashes in every extra opportunity. Pete Fairbanks slams the door with a clean ninth after Andrew Nardi and Calvin Faucher bridge the seventh and eighth, limiting the Sox to a single unearned tally. Key factors: • Pitching edge: Alcantara’s elite form vs. Smith’s shaky command and a taxed Chicago bullpen. • Offensive momentum: Miami’s top seven hitters are all above .280 with extra-base pop, while Chicago is leaning almost solely on Murakami for thump. • Run prevention: Miami’s defense (especially up the middle) turns three double plays, erasing the Sox’s limited traffic. Result: Marlins 7, White Sox 3.