Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies — 4月 1, 2026 | AI予測と統計

Cristopher Sánchez draws the assignment for Philadelphia and he’s the clear difference-maker. The lanky left-hander is coming off a six-shutout-inning, 10-strikeout opener and carries last season’s 2.50 ERA and 1.06 WHIP into this start. His heavy sinker/slider mix matches up especially well with a Washington lineup that features seven left-handed or switch hitters. Expect early ground-ball outs and a quick rhythm that lets him work into the seventh on fewer than 100 pitches. Cade Cavalli has premium stuff but still wrestles with command (15 BB in 48⅔ IP last year; 3 BB in 3⅔ in his first start). Philadelphia’s patient top six—Turner, Stott, Bohm, Harper, Schwarber, Marsh—should force deep counts and elevate Cavalli’s pitch total. The second inning rallies around a Bohm walk, Schwarber double and Marsh sac fly for the game’s first run. Cavalli steadies until the fifth, when Harper finally barrels a middle-in heater and sparks a two-run frame that chases the right-hander. Washington scratches back in the fifth on a Brady House RBI single off Sánchez, but the Philly southpaw strands two and exits after six with a 3-1 edge. The Phillies’ bullpen turns to Tim Mayza for the seventh and Brad Keller for the eighth; Keller surrenders a solo blast to Joey Wiemer that trims the lead to 3-2. In the bottom half, Daylen Lile misplays a Brandon Marsh liner into a run-scoring triple, giving closer Jhoan Duran a two-run cushion. Duran flashes triple-digits and a hammer curve to retire the side in order, sealing a crisp 4-2 Phillies victory and evening the series.