Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates — 4月 13, 2026 | AI予測と統計

Paul Skenes is set up for a statement outing. The right-hander’s elite strike-throwing and swing-and-miss stuff match up well against a Nationals lineup that chases high velocity and is light on left-handed thump outside of James Wood and CJ Abrams. Expect seven sturdy innings from Skenes with double-digit strikeouts and one earned run. Cade Cavalli has opened 2026 with sharper command, but his fly-ball tendencies play poorly in the left-center power alley at PNC Park. Ryan O’Hearn and Oneil Cruz both profile to do damage on Cavalli’s four-seamer the second time through. Look for Pittsburgh to string together a run in the 2nd, a two-spot in the 5th as the lineup flips, then tack on insurance against a fatigued Cavalli and a shaky middle-relief bridge. The Pirates’ late-inning trio of Gregory Soto, Dennis Santana, and Yohan Ramírez has been lights-out; once Skenes hands them a lead, they should close the door. Washington will scrape across a run on a sixth-inning rally—Abrams’ speed pressures the defense—and another in the 8th off a sacrifice fly, but the gap remains comfortable. Recent head-to-head play has been tight, yet Pittsburgh’s current form (first place, stingy 3.86 staff ERA) combined with the home-field edge and superior bullpen depth tilts the matchup. Final score: Pirates 5, Nationals 2.