Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays — 4月 12, 2026 | AI予測と統計

Taj Bradley’s electric early-season form (1.08 ERA, 22 K in 16.2 IP) should carry into this start. His lively fastball and cutter match up well against a Blue Jays lineup that is suddenly thinner with George Springer sidelined, forcing Toronto to lean on inexperienced bats like Valenzuela and Lukes. Expect Bradley to cruise through the first trip in the order, mix in his changeup the second time through, and hand the game to a rested back-end trio of Sands, Funderburk, and Orze. Max Scherzer still flashes swing-and-miss stuff, but the Twins’ patient approach—anchored by hot hitters Josh Bell and Ryan Jeffers—figures to elevate his pitch count by the middle innings. With Royce Lewis out, Minnesota will sprinkle contact hitters (Martin, Lee) around Bell to keep traffic on the bases, and a fourth-inning surge should force the Jays to the bullpen earlier than they’d like. Given Toronto’s shaky middle relief, a late add-on run in the eighth and insurance in the ninth look likely. Toronto will scrape together runs against Bradley the third time through the order—Guerrero Jr. stays hot, and Davis Schneider’s discipline produces a key RBI—but the Jays’ offense lacks the thump to overcome the deficit. Home-field advantage and Scherzer’s competitiveness keep it close, yet the Twins’ sharper bullpen and deeper lineup tilt the final margin their way, 5-3.