San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners — Mar 5, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats
San Diego Padres
2-4
Conclusa
27
:
6
Seattle Mariners
3-4
Tabellone
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Padres
|
0 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
|
Mariners
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
PREVISIONE AIPronostico della Rete Neurale
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Padres
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
|
Mariners
|
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Seattle turns to Logan Gilbert, whose splitter-heavy mix has been nearly untouchable this spring (14 K, 1 BB in 9 IP). He matches up well against a Padres lineup that still leans right-handed even after the winter addition of lefty slugger Jackson Merrill. Joe Musgrove gets the ball for San Diego but has shown reduced velocity in his first two Cactus League outings, a red flag when facing a Mariners team that posted the AL’s highest hard-hit rate against four-seamers in 2025.
Expect a cautious first inning before the Padres nick Gilbert for an unearned run in the second on a walk, a stolen base by Fernando Tatis Jr., and Ha-Seong Kim’s bloop single. Seattle answers in the third when J.P. Crawford ambushes a first-pitch cutter and Julio Rodríguez plates him with a gap double.
Musgrove’s command wavers the second time through the order; in the sixth he hangs a curve that Cal Raleigh deposits into the right-field seats, followed by a Ty France RBI single that scores Rodríguez for a 3-1 Mariners lead. The Padres claw back in the seventh on a Luis Campusano sac fly off reliever Matt Brash, but Seattle’s bullpen depth—the unit allowed the fewest runs in MLB after August last year—closes the door.
Padres manager Mike Shildt rolls the dice with high-leverage lefty Tom Cosgrove in the eighth; Seattle counters with switch-hitter Josh Rojas and righty-bat Mitch Haniger, who line back-to-back doubles to stretch the margin to 5-2. Andrés Muñoz yields a solo homer to Manny Machado in the ninth yet slams the gate with successive 100 mph sinkers to end it.
Seattle’s superior late-inning relief, Musgrove’s lingering velo dip, and home-park familiarity tilt a tight contest the Mariners’ way, allowing them to widen their division lead while the Padres rue missed early opportunities.
BaseballPredicts: Pronostici e Statistiche
AI-Powered MLB Predictions
Previsioni, Statistiche e Altro nell'App
Previsioni AI per le prossime partite, pronostici inning per inning, commenti degli esperti, statistiche dettagliate e aggiornamenti in tempo reale.
Confronto Stagionale
Padres
STAT
Mariners
2-4
Bilancio
3-4
0,333
Win %
0,429
19
Punti Segnati
27
26
Punti Subiti
24
6
Partite Giocate
7
WLLWL
Forma
LLWWL
Scontro Diretto
2
3
Mar 23
Mariners
0 - 0
Padres
Mar 17
Padres
9 - 6
Mariners
Feb 28
Mariners
1 - 7
Padres
Feb 20
Padres
4 - 7
Mariners
Ago 27
Padres
3 - 4
Mariners
Padres Recenti
Apr 1
vs Giants
1-7
W
Apr 1
vs Giants
9-3
L
Mar 31
vs Giants
3-2
L
Mar 29
vs Tigers
0-3
W
Mar 28
vs Tigers
5-2
L
Mariners Recenti
Apr 1
vs Yankees
5-3
L
Apr 1
vs Yankees
5-0
L
Mar 31
vs Yankees
1-2
W
Mar 29
vs Guardians
0-8
W
Mar 29
vs Guardians
6-5
L
Formazioni
ROSA TRASFERTA
Ty France
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H0
AB3
Jake Cronenworth
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H4
AB21
Manny Machado
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H5
AB19
Freddy Fermin
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB14
Luis Campusano
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H0
AB5
Bryce Johnson
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB4
Jackson Merrill
AVG-
HR1
RBI4
OBP-
H5
AB23
Gavin Sheets
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H3
AB17
Miguel Andujar
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H2
AB12
Adrian Morejon
ERA2.45
W-L0-0
SO2
Bradgley Rodriguez
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO4
David Morgan
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO4
Germán Márquez
ERA12.00
W-L0-1
SO1
Jeremiah Estrada
ERA13.50
W-L0-1
SO6
Kyle Hart
ERA8.31
W-L0-0
SO5
Mason Miller
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO5
Michael King
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO6
Nick Pivetta
ERA6.75
W-L1-1
SO12
Randy Vásquez
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO8
Ron Marinaccio
ERA4.50
W-L0-0
SO4
Walker Buehler
ERA6.75
W-L0-1
SO3
Wandy Peralta
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO0
Yu Darvish
ERA-
W-L---
SO-
Fernando Tatis Jr.
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H5
AB21
Nick Castellanos
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H2
AB12
Ramón Laureano
AVG-
HR2
RBI4
OBP-
H7
AB18
Xander Bogaerts
AVG-
HR0
RBI3
OBP-
H4
AB24
ROSA CASA
Josh Naylor
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB27
Brendan Donovan
AVG-
HR2
RBI4
OBP-
H10
AB24
Cole Young
AVG-
HR1
RBI4
OBP-
H8
AB25
Leo Rivas
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H4
AB23
Cal Raleigh
AVG-
HR0
RBI4
OBP-
H4
AB25
Mitch Garver
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H0
AB2
Julio Rodríguez
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB26
Randy Arozarena
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H6
AB24
Andrés Muñoz
ERA9.00
W-L0-1
SO3
Bryan Woo
ERA3.00
W-L0-0
SO9
Casey Legumina
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO4
Cole Wilcox
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO4
Cooper Criswell
ERA3.00
W-L0-0
SO7
Eduard Bazardo
ERA3.86
W-L0-0
SO2
Emerson Hancock
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO9
Gabe Speier
ERA7.72
W-L0-1
SO3
George Kirby
ERA3.75
W-L1-1
SO12
Jose A. Ferrer
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Logan Gilbert
ERA6.75
W-L0-1
SO13
Luis Castillo
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO7
Matt Brash
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO1
Dominic Canzone
AVG-
HR2
RBI3
OBP-
H5
AB15
Luke Raley
AVG-
HR3
RBI6
OBP-
H5
AB18
Rob Refsnyder
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H0
AB8
Victor Robles
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB10
J.P. Crawford
AVG-
HR-
RBI-
OBP-
H-
AB-
