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Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles — Mei 26, 2026 | Prediksi AI & statistik

Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
74°F, Partly Cloudy
2 mph, Out To LF
W Shane Baz L Griffin Jax

Papan Skor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Rays 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 3
Orioles 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 - 6 7 0

PREDIKSI AIRamalan Jaringan Saraf

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rays 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 5
Orioles 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 6
Confidence: 62% Orioles favored
This AL East clash features two teams trending in opposite directions, with the division-leading Rays (34-17) visiting a struggling Orioles squad (24-30) that's been ravaged by injuries. Shane Baz takes the mound for Baltimore with a concerning 4.87 ERA and 1.45 WHIP, though his recent velocity readings (96+ mph fastball) suggest he's finding form. Griffin Jax counters for Tampa Bay with a solid 3.54 ERA, relying heavily on his sweeper-fastball combination that's been effective against both righties and lefties. The Orioles are missing key contributors like Ryan Mountcastle, Jordan Westburg, and Zach Eflin, forcing them to lean on acquisitions like Pete Alonso and Taylor Ward. Meanwhile, the Rays continue to excel despite their own injury concerns, with Yandy Díaz (.315 average) and Junior Caminero (13 HRs) leading a balanced attack. Yesterday's 9-7 Orioles victory marked just their second win in the last seven meetings between these clubs, but it showcased Baltimore's ability to slug with Tampa Bay when the conditions are right. The recent series history suggests another high-scoring affair, with 16 total runs scored yesterday and multiple games exceeding 10 runs. Both starting pitchers have shown vulnerability to the long ball, and Camden Yards' favorable hitting conditions should benefit both offenses. The Rays' bullpen depth gives them a significant late-game advantage, but Baltimore's recent offensive awakening could keep them competitive throughout nine innings.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 4R Both offenses capitalize on starter adjustments
Middle (4-6) 4R Rays break through against Baz, O's counter
Late (7-9) 3R Baltimore rallies in 9th after bullpen battle

Matchup Analysis

Orioles

Home field advantage at Camden Yards
Recent offensive surge with 9 runs yesterday
Shane Baz showing improved velocity
Depleted rotation with multiple IL pitchers
Poor road record translating to overall struggles

Rays

AL East leading record at 34-17
Griffin Jax's effective sweeper/fastball combo
Superior bullpen depth
Coming off two straight losses
Key injuries to DeLuca and other position players

Risk Factors

High-scoring series history
Both starters prone to walks

Key Matchups

Yandy Díaz vs Shane Baz batter Díaz's .315 average vs Baz's 4.87 ERA
Gunnar Henderson vs Griffin Jax pitcher Jax's sweeper effective vs left-handed power

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rays 58%
Strikeouts 14 11-17
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

Griffin Jax will establish the tone early, working his sweeper against Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso to limit Baltimore's power. However, the Orioles have shown renewed life lately, and Taylor Ward's patient approach should help them work counts against Jax's diverse pitch mix. Expect Tampa Bay to strike first through Yandy Díaz, who has tormented Orioles pitching all season with his .315 average. Shane Baz will battle command issues early, likely walking a batter before Junior Caminero makes him pay with a line drive that finds a gap. The middle innings will belong to the offenses as both starters reach their pitch limits. Baz's improving fastball velocity will generate swings and misses, but his secondary stuff remains inconsistent. The Rays should build a lead through the fifth and sixth innings, capitalizing on mistakes from Baltimore's taxed bullpen. However, Camden Yards has been kind to the Orioles lately, and their recent 9-7 victory over these same Rays showed they can mount comebacks. The decisive moment will come in the late innings when Henderson and Alonso get crucial at-bats against Tampa Bay's relievers, setting up a dramatic finish that favors the home team by the narrowest of margins.
The 62% confidence reflects Tampa Bay's superior overall talent and AL East standing, but Baltimore's recent offensive surge and home field advantage create enough uncertainty to prevent higher confidence. Both teams have shown they can score runs in bunches against each other this season.
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Tampa Bay Rays — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson
LF .296012.326.355
Junior Caminero
3B .2661327.358.487
Jonathan Aranda
1B .278941.376.471
Yandy Díaz
DH .312833.388.497
Ryan Vilade
2B .318214.390.485
Cedric Mullins
CF .189315.257.277
Victor Mesa Jr.
RF .25012.333.625
Hunter Feduccia
C .25016.333.333
Oliver Dunn
SS .00000.167.000

Baltimore Orioles — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Taylor Ward
LF .250216.397.357
Gunnar Henderson
SS .2171126.270.413
Pete Alonso
1B .2321033.318.435
Samuel Basallo
C .267822.323.487
Leody Taveras
CF .271220.373.395
Jeremiah Jackson
DH .255626.269.410
Colton Cowser
RF .204314.295.316
Blaze Alexander
3B .23708.293.289
Jackson Holliday
2B .22214.318.389

Permainan pencetak skor

1
Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Colton Cowser. Chandler Simpson scores.
1-0
2
Blaze Alexander reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Richie Palacios. Samuel Basallo scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd. Jeremiah Jackson to 2nd. Fielding error by second baseman Richie Palacios.
1-1
2
Jackson Holliday singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Leody Taveras scores. Jeremiah Jackson to 3rd. Blaze Alexander to 2nd.
1-2
2
Taylor Ward out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jeremiah Jackson scores. Blaze Alexander to 3rd.
1-3
5
Samuel Basallo homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Jackson Holliday scores. Gunnar Henderson scores.
1-6

Tampa Bay Rays — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Chandler SimpsonLF
4120010.296.681
Junior Caminero3B
3010100.266.845
Jonathan Aranda1B
4031010.278.847
Yandy DíazDH
4010020.312.885
Ryan Vilade2B
1010000.318.875
Cedric MullinsCF
4000010.189.534
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
3010110.250.958
Hunter FeducciaC
4000020.250.666
Oliver DunnSS
4000010.000.167
Total341912100
BATTING
2B: Simpson (4, Baz).
TB: Aranda 3; Caminero; Díaz, Y; Mesa Jr.; Simpson 3; Vilade.
RBI: Aranda (41).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Díaz, Y; Palacios, R.
GIDP: Díaz, Y; Palacios, R.
Team RISP: 1-for-7.
Team LOB: 8.
FIELDING
E: Jax (1, fielding); Palacios, R (5, fielding); Dunn (1, fielding).
PB: Feduccia (1).
DP: (Dunn-Palacios, R-Aranda).
a-Singled for Palacios, R in the 8th.

Baltimore Orioles — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Taylor WardLF
3001020.250.754
Gunnar HendersonSS
4100000.217.683
Pete Alonso1B
3000110.232.753
Samuel BasalloC
4213011.267.810
Leody TaverasCF
4120010.271.768
Jeremiah JacksonDH
4110010.255.679
Colton CowserRF
3010120.204.611
Blaze Alexander3B
4001010.237.582
Jackson Holliday2B
3121000.222.707
Total32676291
BATTING
HR: Basallo (8, 5th inning off Martin, 2 on, 2 out).
TB: Basallo 4; Cowser; Holliday 2; Jackson, J; Taveras, L 2.
RBI: Alexander (8); Basallo 3 (22); Holliday (4); Ward (16).
2-out RBI: Basallo 3.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Henderson; Basallo.
SF: Ward.
GIDP: Alexander.
Team RISP: 3-for-8.
Team LOB: 5.
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Baz-Henderson-Alonso; Henderson-Holliday-Alonso).

Tampa Bay Rays — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Griffin Jax(L, 1-3)
2.033003038-263.30
Garrett Cleavinger
2.000003027-174.35
Trevor Martin
3.033021152-303.68
Craig Kimbrel
1.010002015-105.63

Baltimore Orioles — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Shane Baz(W, 2-5)
7.071129099-694.48
Grant Wolfram
1.02000008-74.30
Andrew Kittredge
1.000001010-78.38

Info pertandingan

Wasit: Home Plate: Ryan Wills; First Base: Lance Barksdale; Second Base: Will Little; Third Base: Ryan Additon
Stadion: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Cuaca: 74°F, Partly Cloudy
Angin: 2 mph, Out To LF

Tampa Bay Rays — Berita

Baltimore Orioles — Berita

Perbandingan Musim

Rays
STAT
Orioles
36-22 Rekor 29-32
62.1% Win % 47.5%
.621 PCT .475
271 Poin Dicetak 279
261 Poin Kemasukan 315
58 Pertandingan Dimainkan 61
L2 Streak W3
3-7 10 terakhir 7-3
21-8 Rekor Kandang 19-15
15-14 Rekor Tandang 10-17

Pertemuan Langsung

3
Terakhir 5 pertemuan
2
Mei 27
Rays 2 - 11 Orioles
Mei 25
Rays 7 - 9 Orioles
Mei 20
Orioles 3 - 5 Rays
Mei 19
Orioles 1 - 4 Rays
Mei 18
Orioles 6 - 16 Rays

Rays Terbaru

Jun 3 vs Tigers 7-2 L
Jun 2 vs Tigers 8-0 L
Jun 1 vs Tigers 10-9 L
Mei 31 vs Angels 2-5 W
Mei 30 vs Angels 14-3 L

Orioles Terbaru

Jun 2 @ Red Sox 4-2 W
Mei 31 vs Blue Jays 5-9 W
Mei 30 vs Blue Jays 5-6 W
Mei 29 vs Blue Jays 6-5 L
Mei 28 vs Blue Jays 2-1 L

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