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Washington Nationals vs New York Mets — Apr 28, 2026 | Prediksi AI & statistik

Citi Field, Flushing
57°F, Cloudy
7 mph, Out To LF
W Clay Holmes L Zack Littell

Papan Skor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Nationals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1
Mets 1 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 - 8 6 0

PREDIKSI AIRamalan Jaringan Saraf

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Nationals 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 5
Mets 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 62% Nationals favored
This matchup presents a fascinating study in contrasts - the struggling Mets hosting a Nationals team that has found surprising success on the road despite their overall mediocrity. Clay Holmes brings a respectable 2.10 ERA to the mound for New York, but his sinker-heavy approach and relatively low strikeout rate (5.70 K/9) could be vulnerable against a Washington lineup led by CJ Abrams, who has already launched 7 home runs. The return of Juan Soto from the IL provides the Mets with their most potent offensive weapon, but they're still without Francisco Lindor and Jorge Polanco, creating significant holes in their already anemic lineup. Zack Littell's 7.56 ERA tells the story of Washington's starting pitching woes, but the Nationals have shown remarkable resilience away from home with their 10-6 road record. Littell's slider-heavy approach (24.9% usage) will be tested early against a Mets offense that has managed just 92 runs in 28 games. The weather conditions - 53 degrees with light drizzle - favor pitching, but both starters have shown vulnerability this season, suggesting this could turn into a battle of the bullpens. The key storyline revolves around which team can capitalize on the other's weaknesses first. Washington's offense, led by Abrams (.268 AVG, 7 HR) and Luis García Jr. (16 RBI), has been more productive than the Mets' struggling unit. However, Holmes has been one of the few bright spots for New York, and his ground ball-inducing sinker could neutralize Washington's power. The Nationals' superior road record and current two-game winning streak suggest they're the more confident team entering this contest, while the Mets' 9-19 record and -30 run differential paint a picture of a franchise searching for answers.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Littell's struggles early, Holmes settles in after first inning
Middle (4-6) 4R Both bullpens get tested as starters exit early
Late (7-9) 3R Washington's superior road record shows in clutch situations

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Clay Holmes solid 2.10 ERA
Juan Soto back from IL
Home field advantage at Citi Field
Worst record in MLB at 9-19
Missing Francisco Lindor and Jorge Polanco
Three-game losing streak

Nationals

Strong 10-6 road record
CJ Abrams leading offense with 7 HRs
Two-game winning streak
Zack Littell struggling with 7.56 ERA
Poor home record suggests inconsistency
Missing multiple starting pitchers to injury

Risk Factors

Light drizzle affecting grip and ball movement
Both teams dealing with significant injury lists

Key Matchups

CJ Abrams vs Clay Holmes batter Abrams' power vs Holmes' sinker-heavy approach
Juan Soto vs Zack Littell batter Soto's plate discipline vs Littell's control issues
Luis García Jr. vs Clay Holmes batter García's contact ability vs Holmes' ground ball tendencies

Statistical Edges

First to Score Nationals 65%
Strikeouts 13 11-16
Total Runs 10 8-12

Game Preview

The game begins with Zack Littell immediately in trouble, as CJ Abrams works a leadoff walk before scoring on a Luis García Jr. double to right-center. Clay Holmes responds by settling into a groove, retiring the Mets in order in the first on three ground balls. In the second, the Mets answer when Juan Soto lines a single to left and eventually scores on a Luis Robert Jr. sacrifice fly. The third inning becomes pivotal as Washington breaks through against Holmes - Jacob Young singles, steals second, and scores along with Abrams on a Curtis Mead two-run triple that barely stays fair down the right field line. Littell continues to labor, walking two batters in the fourth before Marcus Semien drives in both with a clutch two-run single, tying the game at 3-3. The fifth inning sees Washington regain the lead when García Jr. launches a solo home run off Holmes' sinker that didn't sink. The Mets respond in the sixth as Soto works another walk and scores on a Tyrone Taylor RBI single. Both starters exit after six innings, setting up a bullpen battle. Washington's Paxton Schultz strikes out two in a scoreless seventh, while the Mets' Austin Warren matches him. In the eighth, the Nationals break the 4-4 deadlock when Abrams crushes a solo homer off Carl Edwards Jr., his second hit of the night. The Mets threaten in the ninth, loading the bases with one out, but Washington's closer induces an inning-ending double play to secure the 5-4 victory.
My confidence is moderate at 62% because while Washington's superior road record and current momentum favor them, both teams have significant weaknesses. The Mets' terrible overall record is offset by Holmes' decent pitching and Soto's return, while Littell's struggles could be exploited despite Washington's offensive advantages.
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Washington Nationals — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
James Wood
RF .2371021.400.553
Luis García Jr.
1B .242116.270.347
Brady House
DH .226310.281.349
CJ Abrams
SS .267721.377.505
Daylen Lile
LF .269314.336.403
Jacob Young
CF .237212.276.355
Jorbit Vivas
3B .28803.386.339
Drew Millas
C .16003.222.200
Nasim Nuñez
2B .195010.300.207

New York Mets — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Bo Bichette
3B .237214.276.331
Juan Soto
DH .30027.407.460
Francisco Alvarez
C .22847.319.405
Tyrone Taylor
CF .20927.227.372
Mark Vientos
1B .23627.291.347
Brett Baty
RF .212112.250.318
Marcus Semien
2B .21419.274.291
Carson Benge
LF .19526.258.293
Ronny Mauricio
SS .27801.278.278

Permainan pencetak skor

1
Bo Bichette homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-1
4
Marcus Semien reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Jorbit Vivas. MJ Melendez scores. Mark Vientos scores. Brett Baty to 3rd. Marcus Semien to 2nd.
0-3
4
Carson Benge singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Brett Baty scores. Marcus Semien scores.
0-5
4
Bo Bichette out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder James Wood. Carson Benge scores.
0-6
4
Juan Soto homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Ronny Mauricio scores.
0-8

Washington Nationals — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
James WoodRF
3000120.237.953
Luis García Jr.1B
4000010.242.617
Brady HouseDH
4000010.226.630
CJ AbramsSS
4010010.267.882
Daylen LileLF
4000020.269.739
Jacob YoungCF
3000020.237.631
Jorbit Vivas3B
3010000.288.725
Drew MillasC
3010010.160.422
Nasim Nuñez2B
2000110.195.507
Total300302110
BATTING
TB: Abrams; Millas; Vivas.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: García Jr., L.
Team RISP: 0-for-1.
Team LOB: 5.
FIELDING
E: Vivas (4, fielding).

New York Mets — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Bo Bichette3B
2112101.237.607
Juan SotoDH
4112001.300.867
Francisco AlvarezC
4000000.228.724
Tyrone TaylorCF
1000000.209.599
Mark Vientos1B
2100220.236.638
Brett BatyRF
3100100.212.568
Marcus Semien2B
3101100.214.565
Carson BengeLF
4122000.195.551
Ronny MauricioSS
4110010.278.556
Total30867532
BATTING
HR: Bichette (2, 1st inning off Littell, 0 on, 0 out); Soto, J (2, 4th inning off Littell, 1 on, 2 out).
TB: Benge 2; Bichette 4; Mauricio; Melendez, M; Soto, J 4.
RBI: Benge 2 (6); Bichette 2 (14); Semien (9); Soto, J 2 (7).
2-out RBI: Soto, J 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Mauricio.
SF: Bichette.
Team RISP: 1-for-4.
Team LOB: 4.

Washington Nationals — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Zack Littell(L, 0-4)
3.258431284-467.85
Brad Lord
2.110001027-193.74
Andre Granillo
2.000021032-188.53

New York Mets — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Clay Holmes(W, 3-2)
6.030016094-641.75
Tobias Myers
2.000012025-182.33
Craig Kimbrel
1.000003014-105.06

Info pertandingan

Wasit: Home Plate: Chad Whitson; First Base: Bill Miller; Second Base: Brian Walsh; Third Base: Chad Fairchild
Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing
Cuaca: 57°F, Cloudy
Angin: 7 mph, Out To LF

New York Mets — Berita

Perbandingan Musim

Nationals
STAT
Mets
40-37 Rekor 34-42
51.9% Win % 44.7%
.519 PCT .447
413 Poin Dicetak 309
400 Poin Kemasukan 336
77 Pertandingan Dimainkan 76
W1 Streak L1
6-4 10 terakhir 5-5
16-22 Rekor Kandang 18-18
24-15 Rekor Tandang 16-24

Pertemuan Langsung

3
Terakhir 5 pertemuan
2
Mei 21
Mets 2 - 1 Nationals
Mei 20
Mets 4 - 8 Nationals
Mei 19
Mets 6 - 9 Nationals
Mei 18
Mets 16 - 7 Nationals
Apr 30
Nationals 5 - 4 Mets

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