This Subway Series finale presents a fascinating contrast between a Yankees team with superior talent but recent struggles and a Mets squad playing with house money after yesterday's statement win. Freddy Peralta takes the mound for the Mets with solid season numbers (3.10 ERA, 9.12 K/9) but faces a Yankees lineup that, despite recent offensive inconsistencies, still boasts Aaron Judge's 16 home runs and a potent middle-of-the-order threat. The key concern for New York (AL) is Elmer Rodríguez making just his third start of the season with a 4.50 ERA and limited major league experience. The injury situation heavily favors the Yankees, who are missing Gerrit Cole and Giancarlo Stanton but retain their core offensive weapons. The Mets, meanwhile, are without Francisco Lindor, their offensive catalyst, along with multiple other key contributors including Luis Robert Jr. and Jorge Polanco. This depth disadvantage becomes more pronounced in a rivalry game where every at-bat carries extra intensity. The Yankees' +69 run differential compared to the Mets' -17 tells the story of two teams heading in different directions, despite the Mets' recent hot streak. Peralta's pitch mix, featuring a 55.8% fastball rate and effective changeup, should generate strikeouts against a Yankees lineup that has shown vulnerability to secondary pitches. However, Judge and Cody Bellinger have the power to capitalize on mistakes, particularly in the favorable hitting conditions with 89-degree temperatures and minimal wind. The bullpen advantage clearly favors the Yankees, whose relief corps has been more reliable despite recent struggles. Expect a competitive game that showcases the intensity of crosstown rivalry, but the Yankees' superior talent and depth should prevail in a close contest.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both pitchers settling in after first inning runs

Middle (4-6) 3R Strategic scoring with runners in position

Late (7-9) 3R Bullpen vulnerabilities create late drama

Matchup Analysis

Mets

Peralta's solid 3.10 ERA and strikeout ability

Recent offensive surge with 6-run outburst yesterday

Home field advantage in Subway Series

Missing Francisco Lindor and multiple key players to IL

Poor 10-13 home record and -17 run differential

Yankees

Superior +69 run differential and 28-18 record

Aaron Judge's 16 home runs leading powerful offense

Better overall roster depth despite injuries

3-7 in last ten games showing recent struggles

Elmer Rodríguez's limited track record and 4.50 ERA

Risk Factors

Yankees' recent poor form could continue

Mets riding momentum from yesterday's win

Key Matchups

Aaron Judge vs Freddy Peralta batter Judge's power vs Peralta's fastball-heavy approach

Juan Soto vs Peralta batter Soto's plate discipline against Peralta's 3.47 BB/9

Cody Bellinger vs Peralta pitcher Peralta's changeup effective against lefties

Statistical Edges

First to Score Mets 65%

Strikeouts 16 13-19

Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

The finale of this intense Subway Series begins with both teams looking to make a statement. Freddy Peralta delivers first-pitch strikes to Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, but the Mets strike first when Tyrone Taylor connects on a hanging changeup for a solo homer in the bottom of the first. The Yankees answer immediately in the second when Judge works a walk and Bellinger drives him home with a double into the gap. Peralta settles into a rhythm through the third and early fourth, but the Mets capitalize on a Yankees defensive miscue and Elmer Rodríguez's control issues to push across two runs in the fourth inning. Rodríguez, making just his third start, shows flashes of his mid-90s stuff but struggles with command, walking three batters through five innings. The Yankees respond in the fifth when Jazz Chisholm Jr. connects on Peralta's first-pitch fastball for a solo shot to dead center field. The game's turning point comes in the eighth inning when Peralta reaches his pitch limit and the Mets turn to their depleted bullpen. Paul Goldschmidt and Amed Rosario string together consecutive hits off the Mets' setup man, and Judge delivers the decisive blow with a two-run double down the left field line. The Yankees add insurance in the ninth when Bellinger drives in his second RBI of the game. Despite the Mets' late rally attempts, the Yankees' superior depth and timely hitting secure a 5-4 victory to take two of three in Queens.

The 72% confidence reflects the Yankees' clear talent advantage and superior run differential, but the Mets showed yesterday they can compete at home. Rodríguez's inexperience and the Yankees' recent struggles create enough uncertainty to prevent higher confidence.

Pitcher yang Diperkirakan

New York Yankees — Roster

Pemain	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Trent Grisham	CF	.166	6	27	.293	.338
Ben Rice	1B	.301	15	31	.406	.671
Aaron Judge	DH	.266	16	30	.401	.598
Cody Bellinger	RF	.265	5	30	.375	.458
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	.230	4	16	.312	.358
Ryan McMahon	3B	.183	3	13	.258	.283
Max Schuemann	LF	.250	0	1	.400	.417
Anthony Volpe	SS	.222	0	3	.563	.333
Austin Wells	C	.173	3	5	.292	.264

New York Mets — Roster

Pemain	Pos.	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	SLG
Carson Benge	RF	.243	3	14	.301	.347
Bo Bichette	SS	.210	2	18	.262	.269
Juan Soto	DH	.281	6	14	.376	.491
Mark Vientos	1B	.241	6	22	.282	.421
Tyrone Taylor	LF	.188	3	14	.207	.325
Brett Baty	3B	.231	2	17	.305	.343
Marcus Semien	2B	.229	3	15	.287	.325
A.J. Ewing	CF	.294	1	3	.500	.588
Luis Torrens	C	.200	0	10	.262	.283

Permainan pencetak skor

▲ 3

Ben Rice homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.

1-0

▼ 4

Marcus Semien doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Spencer Jones. Mark Vientos scores. Brett Baty to 3rd.

1-1

▲ 6

Anthony Volpe singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyrone Taylor. Cody Bellinger scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Max Schuemann to 3rd.

3-1

▲ 6

Amed Rosario out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Carson Benge. Max Schuemann scores. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.

4-1

▲ 6

Trent Grisham reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Bo Bichette. Anthony Volpe scores. Trent Grisham to 2nd.

5-1

▼ 6

Luis Torrens doubles (5) on a ground ball to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Marcus Semien scores. A.J. Ewing scores.

5-3

▲ 7

Anthony Volpe walks. Cody Bellinger scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd. Max Schuemann to 2nd.

6-3

▼ 9

Tyrone Taylor homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Carson Benge scores. Juan Soto scores.

6-6

▼ 10

Carson Benge reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by left fielder Max Schuemann. Marcus Semien scores. Luis Torrens to 2nd.

6-7

New York Yankees — Pukulan

Pemain	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Trent GrishamCF	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	.166	.631
Ben Rice1B	5	1	1	1	0	1	1	.301	1.077
Aaron JudgeDH	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	.266	.999
Cody BellingerRF	2	2	1	0	3	0	0	.265	.833
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B	3	1	2	0	2	1	0	.230	.670
Ryan McMahon3B	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	.183	.541
Max SchuemannLF	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	.250	.817
Anthony VolpeSS	3	1	2	3	2	1	0	.222	.896
Austin WellsC	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.173	.556
Total	33	6	6	5	9	8	1

BATTING

2B: Volpe (1, Peralta, F).

HR: Rice (15, 3rd inning off Peralta, F, 0 on, 1 out).

TB: Bellinger; Chisholm Jr. 2; Rice 4; Volpe 3.

RBI: Rice (31); Rosario, A (16); Volpe 3 (3).

2-out RBI: Volpe.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Rice; Wells, A 2; McMahon; Escarra; Chisholm Jr.

SAC: McMahon.

SF: Rosario, A.

GIDP: McMahon; Wells, A.

Team RISP: 1-for-10.

Team LOB: 10.

BASERUNNING

SB: McMahon (2, 3rd base off Williams, D/Torrens).

a-Hit by pitch for Jones, S in the 6th.

b-Hit a sacrifice fly for Escarra in the 6th.

1-Ran for Goldschmidt in the 6th.

New York Mets — Pukulan

Pemain	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	HR	AVG	OPS
Carson BengeRF	5	1	1	1	0	1	0	.243	.648
Bo BichetteSS	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	.210	.531
Juan SotoDH	5	1	1	0	0	1	0	.281	.867
Mark Vientos1B	5	1	2	0	0	1	0	.241	.703
Tyrone TaylorLF	3	1	1	3	0	0	1	.188	.532
Brett Baty3B	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	.231	.648
Marcus Semien2B	5	2	2	1	0	0	0	.229	.612
A.J. EwingCF	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	.294	1.088
Luis TorrensC	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	.200	.545
Total	39	7	11	7	4	3	1

BATTING

2B: Semien (7, Rodríguez, E); Torrens (5, Bird).

HR: Taylor, T (3, 9th inning off Bednar, 2 on, 2 out).

TB: Baty; Benge; Bichette; Ewing; Semien 3; Soto, J; Taylor, T 4; Torrens 2; Vientos 2.

RBI: Benge (14); Semien (15); Taylor, T 3 (14); Torrens 2 (10).

2-out RBI: Taylor, T 3; Semien.

Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Taylor, T; Senger 2; Bichette 2.

SAC: Ewing.

Team RISP: 4-for-13.

Team LOB: 12.

BASERUNNING

SB: Ewing (2, 2nd base off Rodríguez, E/Escarra); Soto, J (4, 2nd base off Bednar/Wells, A).

FIELDING

E: Bichette (4, fielding).

DP: 2 (Semien-Bichette-Vientos; Vientos-Bichette-Vientos).

a-Lined out for Melendez, M in the 5th.

b-Doubled for Senger in the 6th.

New York Yankees — Lemparan

Pelempar	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Elmer Rodríguez	4.1	5	1	1	1	1	0	64-38	4.15
Ryan Yarbrough	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	0	21-13	4.32
Jake Bird(H, 5)	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	18-12	4.91
Camilo Doval(H, 3)	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15-8	5.19
Fernando Cruz(H, 8)	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	13-6	2.37
David Bednar(BS, 2)	1.0	3	3	3	1	1	1	23-15	4.95
Tim Hill(L, 0-1)	0.1	0	1	0	0	0	0	10-6	1.45

New York Mets — Lemparan

Pelempar	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA
Freddy Peralta	5.0	2	3	3	6	4	1	96-44	3.31
Sean Manaea	4.0	4	3	2	2	3	0	57-36	6.26
Devin Williams(W, 3-1)	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	14-8	4.60

Info pertandingan

Wasit: Home Plate: Jeremie Rehak; First Base: Dan Iassogna; Second Base: Adam Beck; Third Base: Jonathan Parra

Stadion: Citi Field, Flushing

Cuaca: 85°F, Sunny

Angin: 2 mph, Out To CF

New York Yankees — Berita

Guardians mengalahkan Yankees dengan permainan rotasi yang kuat

Kemenangan CLE memperpanjang seri mereka menjadi 5-5 selama 10 pertandingan terakhir di balik ERA 3.07 Williams dan rekor 8-3, sementara rekor 36-24 Yankees menyembunyikan kerentanan rotasi—Weathers (ERA 3.52) adalah starter utama mereka dengan rekor sederhana 2-3.

Kyle Harrison

San Francisco Giants

New York Yankees

Milwaukee Brewers

Hakim menjalani evaluasi khusus untuk memar tulang rusuk

Cedera Judge datang saat dia mempertahankan produksi kelas atas (.415 OBP, .533 SLG, 17 HR dalam 59 G) dan Yankees memimpin Divisi Timur AL dengan catatan 36-24 dan selisih lari +93. Ketidakhadirannya akan menghilangkan sumber kekuatan utama tim di periode kritis.

New York Yankees

Goldschmidt: 4 RBI dalam kekalahan Yankees melawan Guardians

Performa 3 dari 5 Goldschmidt tidak mengatasi keunggulan selisih lari New York (36-23, +98) terhadap Cleveland (34-27, +1) dalam pertandingan yang relevan dengan divisi.

Paul Goldschmidt

New York Yankees

Cleveland Guardians

Dodgers mengalahkan Phillies; Yankees mencetak 13 dalam satu inning

LAD meningkat menjadi 38-21 dengan catatan 8-2 di 10 pertandingan terakhir dan diferensial lari +129, sementara PHI turun menjadi 30-29 dengan diferensial -26 setelah kekalahan. Ledakan ofensif Yankees melawan lawan pitching yang berjuang adalah dominasi rutin dari tim dengan diferensial lari +98.

Philadelphia Phillies

New York Yankees

Los Angeles Dodgers

Tangkapan Siri mempertahankan kemenangan Angels atas Rays

Permainan defensif Jose Siri patut diperhatikan, meskipun LAA tetap pada rekor 23-37 dengan selisih run -51 dan menghadapi ERA 2.65 Jose Soriano hari ini melawan Colorado.

Jose Siri

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees

Los Angeles Angels

New York Mets — Berita

George Kirby menderita kekalahan kelima melawan Mets

ERA 3,77 Kirby dan K/9 7,18 tetap solid, tetapi empat run yang diperoleh dalam empat inning Rabu menandakan kesulitan baru-baru ini di musim di mana dia telah mencatat xwOBA 0,294. Seattle (21-40) tertinggal 11,5 game di AL Barat dengan margin terbatas untuk inefisiensi rotasi.

George Kirby

New York Mets

Mets memainkan 12 pertandingan ekstendi; tiga lebih banyak dari tim lain mana pun

NYM (26-34, -14 run diff) 4-6 dalam 10 terakhir dan 11-19 di jalan—pertandingan ekstendi mengungkapkan kedalaman bullpen dan mengompresi istirahat, memperburuk selisih run mereka yang sudah lemah. Harrison (1.57 ERA, 15 SO dalam 14.2 IP) menghadapi tim MIL sementara Gausman (3.13 ERA, K/9 8.61) melawan pemain awal Braves Elder (2.50 ERA) dan Sale (2.02 ERA) dalam pertandingan yang menguntungkan rotasi elit Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves

New York Mets

Mets Memilih Cionel Perez, Menunjuk Anderson Severino

ERA 5,57 Peterson dan catatan 0-4 dalam 5 pertandingan pembuka membenarkan gerakan kedalaman rotasi, meskipun kinerja Perez di Triple-A tetap tidak tersedia untuk menilai dampak langsung. New York duduk di 24-33 dengan selisih putaran -27 dan membutuhkan stabilitas rotasi di belakang ERA 3,54 Peralta.

Anderson Severino

New York Mets

Manaea menggantikan posisi Peterson di rotasi Mets

ERA 5,57 Peterson dan rekor 0-4-nya dalam 5 awal pertandingan membenarkan pertukaran, meski Manaea tiba dengan ERA 5,56 dan tidak ada IP musim ini—NYM tetap 23-33 (-29 selisih lari) mencari stabilitas rotasi di belakang ERA 3,52 Peralta.

Sean Manaea

New York Mets

Rays Menandatangani Penabung Luar Austin Slater dalam Kesepakatan Liga Minor

Slater (.209 AVG, .233 xwOBA di 2026) bergabung dengan organisasi keempat Tampa Bay musim ini setelah dikeluarkan oleh Mets. Rays (34-17, +38 diferensial lari) menambah kedalaman ke roster yang memimpin AL East.

Austin Slater

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Mets