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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees — Mei 22, 2026 | Prediksi AI & statistik

Yankee Stadium, Bronx
66°F, Partly Cloudy
10 mph, Out To LF
W Ian Seymour L Tim Hill SV Bryan Baker

Papan Skor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Rays 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 8 0
Yankees 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 11 1

PREDIKSI AIRamalan Jaringan Saraf

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Rays 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 5
Yankees 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4
Confidence: 72% Rays favored
This AL East showdown pits a Yankees team desperate to halt their slide against the division-leading Rays, who enter riding a four-game winning streak. The pitching matchup heavily favors Tampa Bay, with Nick Martinez (1.51 ERA, 4-1) facing Gerrit Cole in his return from Tommy John surgery. Martinez has been exceptional this season with a 1.04 WHIP and excellent command, while Cole's readiness remains a significant question mark given his limited spring action and extended rehab. The Yankees' offensive firepower led by Aaron Judge (16 HRs) and Paul Goldschmidt provides hope, but key absences of Giancarlo Stanton and Jasson Dominguez limit their depth. Tampa Bay counters with Yandy Díaz's torrid .316 start and Junior Caminero's 13 home runs, plus the league's most balanced roster construction. The Rays' bullpen advantage cannot be overstated - they've allowed just 192 runs while maintaining superior depth compared to a Yankees relief corps that's been taxed during this recent rough patch. New York's 16-8 home record and the short porch at Yankee Stadium keep them competitive, but Tampa Bay's superior pitching, better health, and momentum make them the logical choice in this pivotal series opener.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Martinez allows early run but settles, Cole has command issues
Middle (4-6) 4R Both teams capitalize on middle relief matchups
Late (7-9) 2R Rays bullpen depth proves decisive in tight finish

Matchup Analysis

Yankees

Aaron Judge's power threat
Strong home record (16-8)
Yankee Stadium short porch advantage
Cole returning from Tommy John surgery
Two-game losing streak
Key injuries to Stanton and Dominguez

Rays

Best record in AL East (33-15)
Nick Martinez's exceptional 1.51 ERA
Superior bullpen depth and health
Road record slightly weaker (14-10)
Limited offensive depth beyond Díaz

Risk Factors

Cole's uncertain workload returning from Tommy John
Yankees desperate to stop losing streak

Key Matchups

Aaron Judge vs Nick Martinez batter Judge's power vs Martinez's contact approach
Yandy Díaz vs Gerrit Cole batter Díaz hitting .316 vs Cole's uncertain form
Junior Caminero vs Gerrit Cole batter Power hitter vs pitcher returning from injury

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rays 65%
Strikeouts 12 9-15
Total Runs 9 7-11

Game Preview

Nick Martinez establishes early command with his signature changeup-sinker combination, but Aaron Judge connects for a solo shot in the second inning to give the Yankees a brief 1-0 lead. Martinez settles into a groove while Gerrit Cole, working carefully on limited pitch counts, surrenders a leadoff single to Yandy Díaz in the first that eventually scores on Junior Caminero's sacrifice fly. The middle innings become a chess match as both starters work around traffic, with Cole showing flashes of his former dominance but clearly operating under innings restrictions. Tampa Bay breaks through in the fifth when Ryan Vilade drives home Díaz again, then adds crucial insurance in the seventh against Yankees middle relief. Caminero delivers the dagger with an RBI double in the eighth off the Yankees' overworked bullpen, capitalizing on the depth advantage that has defined Tampa Bay's early season success. Despite a late Yankees rally attempt, the Rays' superior bullpen construction closes out a workmanlike 5-4 victory that extends their division lead and sends a clear message about the AL East hierarchy.
The pitching matchup strongly favors Tampa Bay with Martinez's proven excellence against Cole's unknown quantity returning from surgery. The Rays' superior health, bullpen depth, and current momentum override the Yankees' home field advantage in this critical divisional clash.
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Tampa Bay Rays — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson
LF .291012.323.344
Junior Caminero
3B .2671327.358.503
Jonathan Aranda
1B .263838.368.446
Carson Williams
DH .12003.154.160
Richie Palacios
2B .271114.388.341
Ryan Vilade
RF .306214.375.484
Cedric Mullins
CF .189314.248.284
Nick Fortes
C .26119.296.328
Taylor Walls
SS .211014.318.298

New York Yankees — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trent Grisham
CF .188627.313.369
Aaron Judge
RF .2451630.377.543
Ben Rice
DH .2871633.383.635
Cody Bellinger
LF .273632.382.475
Paul Goldschmidt
1B .256514.358.524
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B .245519.320.386
José Caballero
SS .266413.325.403
Ryan McMahon
3B .187416.253.306
Austin Wells
C .16946.293.280

Permainan pencetak skor

5
Austin Wells homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.
0-1
8
Jonathan Aranda doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Chandler Simpson scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.
1-1
8
Richie Palacios singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham, deflected by pitcher Tim Hill. Junior Caminero scores. Jonathan Aranda scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd.
3-1
8
Ryan Vilade out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Carson Williams scores. Richie Palacios to 2nd.
4-1
8
Jazz Chisholm Jr. triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Cody Bellinger scores.
4-2

Tampa Bay Rays — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Chandler SimpsonLF
5120000.291.667
Junior Caminero3B
4110110.267.861
Jonathan Aranda1B
4111010.263.814
Carson WilliamsDH
0100000.120.314
Richie Palacios2B
3012100.271.729
Ryan ViladeRF
0001000.306.859
Cedric MullinsCF
4020000.189.532
Nick FortesC
4000020.261.624
Taylor WallsSS
3000120.211.616
Total33484470
BATTING
2B: Mullins (3, Headrick); Aranda (8, Hill, T).
TB: Aranda 2; Caminero; DeLuca; Mullins 3; Palacios, R; Simpson 2.
RBI: Aranda (38); Palacios, R 2 (14); Vilade (14).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Díaz, Y; Simpson; Walls 2.
SF: Vilade.
Team RISP: 2-for-7.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
CS: Simpson (7, 3rd base by Cole/Wells, A).
PO: Simpson (2nd base by Cole); Palacios, R (2nd base by Doval).
FIELDING
Outfield assists: DeLuca (Grisham at home).
1-Ran for DeLuca in the 7th.
2-Ran for Díaz, Y in the 8th.

New York Yankees — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trent GrishamCF
5030000.188.682
Aaron JudgeRF
4000110.245.920
Ben RiceDH
4010000.2871.018
Cody BellingerLF
4120000.273.857
Paul Goldschmidt1B
4000010.256.882
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
4021000.245.706
José CaballeroSS
4020000.266.728
Ryan McMahon3B
4000020.187.559
Austin WellsC
3111101.169.573
Total362112241
BATTING
2B: Grisham 2 (9, Martinez, N, Martinez, N); Bellinger (13, Seymour, I).
3B: Chisholm Jr. (1, Seymour, I).
HR: Wells, A (4, 5th inning off Martinez, N, 0 on, 0 out).
TB: Bellinger 3; Caballero 2; Chisholm Jr. 4; Grisham 5; Rice; Wells, A 4.
RBI: Chisholm Jr. (19); Wells, A (6).
2-out RBI: Chisholm Jr.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Wells, A; Goldschmidt 2; Caballero; Judge.
Team RISP: 2-for-12.
Team LOB: 9.
BASERUNNING
CS: Caballero (6, 2nd base by Martinez, N/Fortes).
FIELDING
E: Caballero (4, fielding).
Pickoffs: Cole (Simpson at 2nd base); Doval (Palacios, R at 2nd base).

Tampa Bay Rays — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Nick Martinez
6.091111194-601.51
Ian Seymour(W, 3-0)
1.221102029-174.85
Kevin Kelly(H, 11)
0.10000004-22.28
Bryan Baker(S, 14)
1.000011019-112.53

New York Yankees — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Gerrit Cole
6.020032072-500.00
Brent Headrick(H, 7)
0.120000011-62.08
Fernando Cruz(H, 10)
0.20000208-62.18
Tim Hill(L, 0-2)(BS, 1)
0.034310011-92.75
Camilo Doval
1.00000007-35.40
David Bednar
1.010003020-144.91

Info pertandingan

Wasit: Home Plate: Emil Jimenez; First Base: Doug Eddings; Second Base: Gabe Morales; Third Base: Chris Segal
Stadion: Yankee Stadium, Bronx
Cuaca: 66°F, Partly Cloudy
Angin: 10 mph, Out To LF

Tampa Bay Rays — Berita

New York Yankees — Berita

Perbandingan Musim

Rays
STAT
Yankees
36-22 Rekor 36-24
62.1% Win % 60.0%
.621 PCT .600
271 Poin Dicetak 309
261 Poin Kemasukan 216
58 Pertandingan Dimainkan 60
L2 Streak L1
3-7 10 terakhir 6-4
21-8 Rekor Kandang 17-10
15-14 Rekor Tandang 19-14

Pertemuan Langsung

0
Terakhir 1 pertemuan
1
Mei 24
Rays 0 - 2 Yankees

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