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San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies — Apr 28, 2026 | Prediksi AI & statistik

Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
60°F, Partly Cloudy
6 mph, Out To LF
W Jesús Luzardo L Tyler Mahle

Papan Skor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Giants 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
Phillies 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 2 - 7 11 0

PREDIKSI AIRamalan Jaringan Saraf

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Giants 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 6
Phillies 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 68% Giants favored
This matchup features two pitchers struggling to find their form early in the season, setting up a potential offensive showcase at Citizens Bank Park. Jesús Luzardo enters with a concerning 6.92 ERA and 1.54 WHIP, while Tyler Mahle counters with his own issues including a dangerous 4.91 walks per nine innings. The Giants' recent momentum (7-3 in last 10) stands in stark contrast to Philadelphia's nightmare start (1-9 in last 10), creating a compelling narrative of teams heading in opposite directions. The Phillies face significant roster challenges with J.T. Realmuto sidelined by back spasms, forcing them to rely on backup catching options. Their pitching staff has been decimated by injuries and poor performance, with the recent release of Taijuan Walker highlighting their desperation. However, Brandon Marsh's four home runs and 16 RBIs provide a bright spot in an otherwise struggling offense. The Giants counter with Luis Arraez's steady .314 average and Matt Chapman's veteran presence, though their own injury list includes multiple key pitchers. The key factor may be the bullpens, where San Francisco holds a clear advantage despite their own injury concerns. Philadelphia's relief corps has been overworked due to poor starting pitching, while the Giants have managed their arms more effectively during their recent successful stretch. With both starters likely to face early pressure, this game could be decided by which team's relief pitching holds up better in the middle innings. The weather conditions - 60 degrees and overcast with light wind - should be neutral for both offenses. Given the Phillies' desperate need for home wins against their 5-10 Citizens Bank Park record, expect maximum effort from the home team. However, San Francisco's superior form, better team chemistry, and more reliable bullpen depth make them the logical choice despite the road environment. This sets up as a high-scoring affair where the Giants' recent confidence proves decisive against Philadelphia's season-long struggles.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Both struggling starters allow early offense
Middle (4-6) 4R Bullpens provide mixed results with key scoring
Late (7-9) 4R Late rally attempts from both teams

Matchup Analysis

Phillies

Brandon Marsh power surge
Citizens Bank Park hitter-friendly
Desperate for home wins
Worst record in NL
Missing J.T. Realmuto
Luzardo's 6.92 ERA

Giants

Luis Arraez consistent contact
7-3 last 10 games momentum
Better road record 6-6
Mahle's 4.91 BB/9 control issues
Depleted bullpen depth
Multiple IL pitchers

Risk Factors

Both teams have struggling starters
Phillies desperation factor at home

Key Matchups

Brandon Marsh vs Tyler Mahle batter Mahle's walks vs power hitter
Luis Arraez vs Jesús Luzardo batter Contact hitter vs high WHIP pitcher
Matt Chapman vs Jesús Luzardo batter Power vs struggling lefty

Statistical Edges

First to Score Giants 62%
Strikeouts 16 14-19
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

The Giants strike first in the opening frame against Luzardo, with Luis Arraez working a leadoff walk before coming around on an RBI single from Heliot Ramos. Philadelphia responds immediately in the bottom half, as Brandon Marsh launches a solo homer to right field off Mahle's elevated fastball, tying the game at 1-1. The third inning becomes pivotal as San Francisco breaks through against Luzardo's command issues. Matt Chapman doubles to the gap, and consecutive RBIs from Willy Adames and Heliot Ramos push the lead to 3-1. The Phillies answer back in the fourth with a two-run rally sparked by Trea Turner's speed and clutch hitting from Justin Crawford, knotting the game at 3-3. The middle innings see both starting pitchers exit early, with the bullpens taking center stage. San Francisco reclaims the lead in the fifth on an Arraez RBI single, then extends it in the seventh with a two-run rally that includes key contributions from their bench players. Philadelphia makes one final push in the ninth inning, with Marsh driving in his second run of the game, but the Giants' bullpen closes out a 6-5 victory that extends their road success and deepens the Phillies' early-season struggles at home.
The Giants' superior recent form (7-3 vs 1-9 in last 10) and better bullpen depth outweigh home field advantage. Both starters are struggling significantly, but San Francisco's offense has been more consistent with Arraez leading the way.
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San Francisco Giants — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Jung Hoo Lee
RF .301210.345.456
Matt Chapman
3B .273112.344.364
Luis Arraez
2B .31508.345.380
Casey Schmitt
DH .286413.337.524
Rafael Devers
1B .211210.250.298
Willy Adames
SS .20236.242.368
Heliot Ramos
LF .267314.308.416
Drew Gilbert
CF .24325.282.405
Jerar Encarnacion
PH .22200.250.259

Philadelphia Phillies — Roster

PemainPos.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trea Turner
SS .254310.323.373
Kyle Schwarber
DH .190917.346.505
Bryce Harper
1B .269619.350.509
Adolis García
RF .23339.310.388
Brandon Marsh
LF .298417.320.468
Bryson Stott
2B .21304.267.263
Alec Bohm
3B .157112.228.216
Justin Crawford
CF .24404.319.329
Rafael Marchán
C .09112.149.159

Permainan pencetak skor

4
Brandon Marsh out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Trea Turner scores.
0-1
6
Bryce Harper doubles (6) on a fly ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber to 3rd.
0-2
6
Adolis García doubles (5) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper scores.
0-4
6
Alec Bohm doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Adolis García scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.
0-5
8
Justin Crawford singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Brandon Marsh scores.
0-6
8
Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Justin Crawford scores. Rafael Marchán to 2nd.
0-7

San Francisco Giants — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Jung Hoo LeeRF
4000010.301.801
Matt Chapman3B
4000040.273.708
Luis Arraez2B
3010000.315.725
Casey SchmittDH
3000000.286.861
Rafael Devers1B
3000010.211.548
Willy AdamesSS
3000010.202.610
Heliot RamosLF
3010010.267.724
Drew GilbertCF
3000010.243.687
Jerar EncarnacionPH
1000010.222.509
Total290200120
BATTING
2B: Ramos, H (6, Luzardo); Arraez (3, Luzardo).
TB: Arraez 2; Ramos, H 2.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Devers; Lee, J.
Team RISP: 0-for-5.
Team LOB: 2.
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Chapman, M-Devers-Mahle; Arraez-Adames-Devers).
a-Struck out for Bailey in the 9th.

Philadelphia Phillies — Pukulan

PemainABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trea TurnerSS
5241010.254.696
Kyle SchwarberDH
3100200.190.851
Bryce Harper1B
4121000.269.859
Adolis GarcíaRF
3112100.233.698
Brandon MarshLF
3111000.298.788
Bryson Stott2B
3000130.213.530
Alec Bohm3B
4021000.157.444
Justin CrawfordCF
4111020.244.648
Rafael MarchánC
3000100.091.308
Total327117560
BATTING
2B: Harper, B (6, Mahle); García, Ad (5, Mahle); Bohm (3, Gage).
TB: Bohm 3; Crawford; García, Ad 2; Harper, B 3; Marsh; Turner 4.
RBI: Bohm (12); Crawford (4); García, Ad 2 (9); Harper, B (19); Marsh (17); Turner (10).
2-out RBI: Turner; Crawford.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Stott; Marchán 2; Schwarber.
SF: Marsh.
GIDP: Marchán.
Team RISP: 5-for-11.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
SB: Marsh (3, 2nd base off Tidwell/Bailey).

San Francisco Giants — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Tyler Mahle(L, 1-4)
5.065533082-465.87
Matt Gage
1.010011020-101.50
Blade Tidwell
2.042212047-303.00

Philadelphia Phillies — Lemparan

PelemparIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jesús Luzardo(W, 2-3)
7.020008088-625.50
Orion Kerkering
1.000002020-132.70
Tim Mayza
1.000002017-113.94

Info pertandingan

Wasit: Home Plate: Nestor Ceja; First Base: Charlie Ramos; Second Base: David Rackley; Third Base: Chris Guccione
Stadion: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Cuaca: 60°F, Partly Cloudy
Angin: 6 mph, Out To LF

Perbandingan Musim

Giants
STAT
Phillies
31-45 Rekor 41-35
40.8% Win % 53.9%
.408 PCT .539
316 Poin Dicetak 323
369 Poin Kemasukan 331
76 Pertandingan Dimainkan 76
L2 Streak W1
4-6 10 terakhir 5-5
14-20 Rekor Kandang 22-19
17-25 Rekor Tandang 19-16

Pertemuan Langsung

1
Terakhir 4 pertemuan
3
Apr 30
Giants 5 - 6 Phillies
Apr 30
Giants 2 - 3 Phillies
Apr 7
Phillies 0 - 6 Giants
Apr 6
Phillies 6 - 4 Giants

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